The Trafalgar Group's Robert Cahaly explains his election poll outlook on 'Hannity.'
This is an unofficial transcript meant for reference. Accuracy is not guaranteed.
About Hunter Biden and his
scandal
this weekend, more blatant
dishonest,
a Biden ad in Michigan features
a bar owner struggling to keep
his business afloat during the
pandemic.
Well, thats. Actually, a wealthy
millionaire tech investor who
supported governor Whitmores
stay at home order.
Joining us now is one of the
only pollsters in the country
predicted in twenty. Sixteen that Donald
Trump would win. Michigan and
Pennsylvania
Robert Good to see you
you predicted it would be as
close as it was in twenty. Sixteen,
you predicted it accurately.
I have you right now: Wisconsin one
point lead for Biden,
Michigan, one point lead for Trump
Florida trumping up. We two
Pennsylvania Biden up by one
Ohio trump up by four.
We have North Carolina, the
President up by a point and a
half
Minnesota is a dead heat
dead even
and the President winning
Georgia, which other pollsters do
not have.
What are you seeing that others
are not seeing?
What we have noticed is that
these polls are missing the
hidden Trump vote,
the shy trump voter.
There is a clear feeling among
conservatives and people for the
president that they are not
interested in sharing their opinions on the telephone
opinions on the telephone.
We have seen people be harassed
and have their houses torn up
for expressing political
opinions that are not in line
with the politically correct
establishment.
If you are not trying to give
them a poll, they can participate
in with a lower threshold to be
anonymous. You wont get honest
answers.
There is a reluctance.
There has been hostility,
people who wear a maga hat, they are open to attacks and people
are open to attacks and people
are afraid to put up lawn signs.
This would tell me this is
a very close race.
We are two weeks out.
We have one more debate on
Thursday night.
Certainly this ever growing
scandal might play an impact, or
will it not,
if can be shown that Joe Biden
lied when he didnt know about
Hunter Biden, making millions
from Russia and Ukraine and
China and elsewhere? Would that
have an impact on the race?
It certainly could
right now its mainly the
conservative media and creating its own scandal,
its own scandal.
The online providers and
mainstream media are acting like
its not happening.
People are seeing a level of
corruption being hidden
its, not something anybody
experienced before.
I think, if the president uses it
effectively in the debate when
a more bipartisan audience is
paying attention and puts him on
the spot, I think Biden might
crack like he did in the
primaries.
If that happens, the mainstream
media will have to cover it.
You see this intensity
with early voting in a lot of
states. Right now
I dont see a lot of passion for
Joe Biden.
I see a lot of passion for
Donald Trump and then you have a
lot of trump haters.
You mentioned big tech
companies.
I thought them as part of the
group and the media and
everybody in the democratic
establishment in that group.
How do we read all of the early
voting and the change in voting
laws that has been happening in
the last one hundred days,
its very confusing
we are having court decisions.
I warned about corruption in
Pennsylvania.
Then there was a court ruling on
Monday.
They brought vote stealing to an
Arta in parts of Pennsylvania.
Its great concern
right now. What we see are people
voting on election day seem to
be for the president.
We have been digging around
looking at the low propensity
voters.
They are clearly in favor of
trump.
These are people who only voted
once or twice in the last twenty
years
we see a strong enthusiasm for
them to turnout and they are not
being measured.
I started in radio in
one thousand nine hundred and eighty seven
I am in my 25th year at Fox
Joe Biden, is in hiding in his
basement half of the month of
September.
Fourteen days to go,
Joe Biden was off Saturday.
Joe Biden did one event on
Sunday.
He is off yesterday today
tomorrow and most of the day on
Thursday until the debate,
you obviously love politics, and
you are a keen observer of
presidential politics.
You have ever seen anything like
it.
Do you agree with me that some
sort of calculation had to be
made by the Biden campaign? They
are better off keeping him away
from campaigning.
I have never seen anything it
like in my life,
your thoughts,
I agree,
it doesnt seem like an
accident.
Hillary Clinton talked about a three
a dot m phone. Callism wonder: if is
a noon. Phone call is a problem
here.
If you have had to make
a final prediction, how do you
predict this race goes
when we will know based on if
your mail in ballots have a post
mark ten days after we will
count it in some states.
I see the president winning
with a minimum and going up
based on how big this under
current is
as to when we know, I wont try
to predict.
This is Nate Silver,
which the Liberal NEWS as a holy
grail.
They are showing a significant
increase in the number of
African Americans and
Hispanic Americans supporting
the president.
Do you see that translating into
no votes for the president,
absolutely
across the battleground states?
We see a significant number
in the high to mid teens among
the african american Vote and
Biden, not getting anywhere near
the eighty percent. He needs
hispanic north of thirty five percent and even.
Transcript generated on 2020-10-21.