« Real Coffee With Scott Adams

Episode 2309 Scott Adams: CWSA 12/01/23 The News Has A Pattern Lately. I'll Tell You What It Means

2023-12-01 | 🔗

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Content:

Politics, Visual Persuasion, Matt Gaetz, Facebook, Disney, Judge Engoron, Judge Engoron's Wife, Montana TikTok Ban, AI Humor, Blackmail Style Government, Epstein Flight Logs, Trump VP Selection, AG Paxton Sues Pfizer, Climate Scam, Eva Vlaardingerbroek, DeSantis Newsom Debate, J6 Deposition Videos, Chris Cuomo, Ukraine War, Mehdi Hasan, Israel Hamas War, Bari Weiss Free Press, Scott Adams

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This is an unofficial transcript meant for reference. Accuracy is not guaranteed.
The republic of moldova must promote good morning everybody and welcome Another highlight of human civilization has called coffee was scott atoms because it includes both of those things and, if you'd like to take this experience up to a level which nobody can even imagine with their greatest imagination,. All you need is a cup or mug or a glass of tanker, chelsea style, the canteen, jug or flask, a vessel of any guy fill it with your favorite liquid, like coffee and join me now, for the unparalleled pleasure is the dopamine of the day. The thing that makes everything better, it's called simultaneous sip that happens now save for it savor it well happy december. I'd like to start with a human interest story about my garbage.
I you say to yourself that scott, how interesting could a story about your garbage be well, not very, but I'm going to tell you anyway, so I have a garbage anxiety which the people who watch me livestream on my man cave now, so there's a on Wednesday night. I have to take my four garbage cans. You and two of them are from outdoor waste and recycling, blah blah. So there's four of them. I got this long kill of a driveway, so it's kind of a lot of work. Now I have anxiety about forgetting to do it. By Wednesday night. You know by the time it's after five o'clock in the evening. You know I I start really early, sometimes three or four in the morning. So that's the end of my day. Basically, so I often forget
I forgot last week or I got confused because of the holiday, so I got. I had two weeks full of garbage in my garbage cans. Now the the locals platform reacts to my hand, gestures when I said to it. Read peace sign and balloons went off, so that's one. You can see that, but if you could you'd think it was funny anyway, so at two weeks, full of garbage in one week. Care is like that it's packed to the top, but I notice that I had two garbage kids in case. I have these big days of garbage that happens sometimes, and both of them were like one was half full and the other was full, so I reached down by hand and took countless old gnarly garbage is and stuffed them into one. So they'd have one less trip down the driveway. So now I've got garbage, that's so heavy. I could almost not drag them down hill
they're so heavy well over a hundred pounds and either two of them. I give them down there, and I was you know, maybe close to seven o'clock at night, and I and I had a really hard day- worked really hard got up really early been working all day and my body was really sore, and I thought you know what I gotta do something I never get to do. I'm feeling good, because my work's done my garbage is up to the street. I don't have anything that I have to do the rest of the night, I'm going to draw myself a hot bath. When was the last time you had time to do that, like the most decadent thing, you could possibly do as an adult as an adult. When do you have time to take a bath?
or just sit in hot water and have nothing else to do. But this was the first time I can think of. Probably in a year where I just legitimately would I was done with all of my work and especially done with my garbage the best part. I could get that in my mind. So I go to fill my bathtub Gonna put some epsom salt in there and really rest of my muscles, and I get a message saying: oh it's my next door. Neighbor, your garbage cans have been hit by a car. Your garbage is strewn all over the street. Now. Do you ever think that the universe is just messing with you that this was actually my one of my
guess irrational concerns is remembering to put my garbage out and of all the times I put my garbage out. So I bet in this house and fifteen years or something so in fifteen years of putting the garbage out, I'm the only one who does it every night only once only once in all those years as Abaddon the most packed that the garbage has ever been packed only once and I actually got on the security cameras, I won't be more specific, but I got a good picture of the car taking him out. It didn't stop, imagine imagine driving at full speed. He knew two objects that are one hundred pounds: apiece, knocking them all over the street.
I can tell you probably drunk probably junk, maybe drunk or maybe there are two drivers and one of them was having a better time than the other. If you know what I mean like, I like to think about it in a positive way, so that was my evening but always get onto other things? Here's one my topics, visual persuasion And as I've told you, visual persuasion includes somebody talking and describing something they you imagine visually so Here's my gaze using amazing, visual persuasion, talking about the potential spoken of george santos from congress. For what behaviors that are boring, and I don't care about, but tat gates says whatever MR santos did with botox or only fans, is far less concerning to me than the entire.
against senator Melendez way for it whose holding gold bars from Egypt. While you still giving classified, things now? I think he actually went on to say that the gold bars we had an arabic on him, so yeah yeah gold bars with arabic, writing from Egypt and he's still doing his job. That one of the most critical confidential jobs in all of the world is still on. job, but the boy we got. We gotta get rid of this george centres. Guy because he's told some lies. And apparently made. May views about toxin any elected born once so getting get that guy anyway, the visual persuasion of the gold bars where there are become friends
job that has really really good public speaking like it. If you don't catch our good, that is just always look for the visual. This is what dropped us now. He doesn't say we need born securities as build. The wall is, can you imagine the one good technique So you know twitter is coming under all this. A great scrutiny. or what people are claiming. Is you bad people on there being mash earth, identify less a content being pair that shouldn't be buried and all that. But what do you think's happening over a facebook, so facebook is being accused of having
Much, I don't really want to say the word, but let's just say, if you're not over eighteen, you know what I mean so basically content of people who are not adults that should the illegal, which is your paired with advertisements and staff and fed to kids all kinds of damn things. And then other people are saying that there is a palestinian group goosey matter, the parent company, Of unfairly moderating speech because Israel amass situation, I think to myself. My imagination, or is everything about facebook feeling old anna date lay facebook doesn't even feel relevant to anything. I know it must be the meanest gigantic.
But in my life it does any relevance and all the Only time I look is you know once every several months. I want to maybe check and see what people are up to. That said, like I never interact and never comment, it just has no appeal at all. I imagine if you've got kids or something you're, young kids, maybe or where you'd like to show off your vacations, maybe it's better for that, but facebook in twenty twenty three, almost twenty and twenty four feels like a dinosaur, whereas the x platform is still so edgy that we're still talking about what it is. We can't even one it is is changing so quickly and there's so much going on the x always seems new to so everything about x feels fresh and new. It's about what's happening today and you know big things that I care about and facebook is tiny little things.
Shouldn't even say like some was seventy eight on vacation, just bullshit, really, I have no idea how facebook could be a viable product going forward. Now I get, I do get instagram I get what's up so they have, they have assets are valuable. I just don't get the core business at all, anyway. People are cancelling disney, plus an hulu which is owned by dizzy after the dust up between elon musk in his advertisers, including disney, and I wonder, do you think that bob? I knows the disney doesn't have any modern, good products is rare to see a company that is that completely fucked completely because so
If they owned a b c news right, do I have that right? Disney owns a b c news, but but tv news is just the most ridiculous where in the world, so I wouldn't want any. I wouldn't want to own a b c news or a b c. I wouldn't want to own network news.
But I also wouldn't want to own a a theme park in which you have to stand for long periods of time for a brief thrill when most of the kids have a smartphone in their hand and then looking at their phone, and they got seven hundred bits of entertainment, while they're awaiting for your three minutes of going up and down whoa whoa, I can't even imagine how a theme parks could be in existence ten more years from now. How does that make sense? I feel, as though
Yeah, maybe virtual reality or something there'll be something that is just more interesting, but if I, if I were making woke movies, nobody wanted to see with dying franchises, that I had mostly killed by my bad decisions about woke this. Usually there is nothing happening at disney. That looks good, there's nothing happening. That looks good. I think bob iger has got a problem, the likes of which only china can understand only, talk about that later. Well, unloving. This story, bout, dat, trumps,. and the trial about whether overvalued assets. As you know, an Jonathan Charlie's writing about this and in training about it. Imagine that year the the judge
you ve, already ruled keep in mind that the current process is to figure out what the penalty will be but the ruling has already made trump is already guilty. According to this judge of fraud for inflating his assets. So now the question will be how big is the penalty including taking away their ability to operate their business, at least in new york. I guess I mean serious, like the most the biggest penalty you could ever imagine now. The essence of it is that he did something bad so that the the banks were on the other side of that badness. But then the bank itself testified and they said, keep in mind. This is in the penalty phase, not the trial phase right, but in the penalty phase
the testimony debunked the trial? I don't know if I've ever seen that before can they that here's? What I mean. So, the trial was that trump, a bad thing by evaluating assets and that's fraud? The bank said- and this is just me paraphrasing right- they didn't say this exactly the bank said he was a great customer. We would love to work with him again again, I'm paraphrasing they didn't say exactly, but the essence of it is yes, a great customer. He was a whale of a customer of the ones we seek out. We made millions of dollars would love to do that kind of business with him again and here's the punchline. We never accept the borrowers word for their assets, that is ordinary business
it's to do our own investigation, which we of course did and made our own decision about the value of the loan. Apparently we made good decisions because they were always paid back on time and we made a profit, would love to do it again. That's in the penalty phase! Here's a question for you. Why wasn't that in the trial? Probably because it didn't matter, probably because the judge said it doesn't matter what the opinion of the bank is, if you lied that would be fraud. But I assume that something like that, because isn't the most critical part.
Understanding what he did is what the other party to the transaction was thinking about it. What the other party was thinking about it and how they turned now is not maybe not the most important thing, but it's pretty close for well. Maybe this the most important thing: the fact that there's no victim not only is there no victim, but the victim would love to have it happen again like please, can you victimize me again, MR trump, and by the way, if everything works out for you, we love to do business with you again. Imagine being that judge, just imagine how faced that judges right now that there has to be the most embarrassing judicial situation, I've ever heard of. Have you ever heard of a judge being embarrassed like that? That is super, embarrassing.
wow, and I would like to go further now and I've already bragged that, because I was a banker, and specifically I was a loan officer I was I was the guy who approved loans to certain kinds of businesses, and I told you early on in this process that the bank isn't going to complain because the bankers does their own checking, no exceptions. You can't be a lender and sometimes take the the word for it. That's not a thing that there is no loan ever ever everywhere in a in a traditional bank ever not once where, where the lender said, you know what you look like an honest guy,
I'm gonna take your word for that literally never now, venture capitalists might, if you're a venture, capitalist or especially, an angel, more an angel than a venture, capitalist, essentially capitals and pray we bankers, but an angel. My say you know what I don't know exactly what you're talking about, but you're such a good manager. I'll just take your word for it that that does happen, but not in a bank not not ever gonna bank it just doesn't it so now the public knows that bears the interesting question. How many
criminals. Do you believe, according to this judge, who says if you exaggerate or lie dear bank, you ve committed a crime. If you were to look at the deutsche bank loans files, how often do you find that the person s for the loan at grossly exaggerated the value of one of their assets? How often a lot and that's why the bankers were completely unconcerned, because it's actually routine completely normal that the and trust me I'm not guessing. I've looked at a lot of loans and the first thing you do is you take their estimate and you cut it by half. That's just the most basic banking thing. You do everybody does. So
Isn't this a case of unequal justice? So you ve got but let's say you ve gotta filing, cabinet full of loan loans yeah. Obviously it's digital, but just imagine it and maybe two thirds of those loans. The bank didn't believe the esa value and the bank was partly right. Bank was right, the esa values overstated are all those people go to be tried Are they are going to be put out of business by this judge? how in the world Any world could stand, they supreme court reveal. Like I'm, not even a lawyer or or even close to a lawyer, and to me it's obvious, as this can't possibly get through any kind of you know a higher court approval. How can it how in the world do you think the supreme court is going to say yes,
The banker and tromp acted in the most routine way that anybody acts exactly like chooses if there are other lenders and are there other customers just like two thirds of all the customers, but one of them is going to go to jail, or one of them could lose their business not going to jail. How does that work there, there's not any chance that this can hold up. This is so political. this judges. How embarrassing and, as you know, laura Loomer discovered that the judge's wife was posting. You know f trump memes and showing him with a shaved head. Then a prison suit long before the trial. How in the world does this
as I at the supreme court rubio, I mean that alone. Well, I dunno how the supreme court works on that, but it's the supreme court knew that his wife was, you know, unambiguously biased against them. How in the world? This is real. Of course, a yes, justice was served there, how in the world, It is absurd and trump posted about the judge's wife posted that stuff onto social, alright. In two thousand and eighteen, my step son died of a fentanyl overdose and I publicly vowed that I would get even with china The cartels too, and I told you in twenty eighteen I was going to persuade the world that china was unsafe to do business because I believe that was unsafe to do business, but I didn't think people can see it the way I saw it
so I started say that over and over and over again and. the news today from the wall. Street journal is that five years later, China is unsafe for business and I'll betcha. Every single company that invested in china a long term investment in two thousand and eighteen is kind of unhappy that that happened. So do you think that was my prediction. So, in a prediction about the trial. You know the banking trial with trump. That was right, and I didn't hear anyone else make that argument to do it.
here. Anyone else in the public domain make that argument that the bankers would say. There's no problem here. I didn't think I was the only one now it's not because I'm smart is because I was a because I always teach you I having teach good talent, stack. Combination of talents gives you extra vision on things. I happened to be a person who talks about the news every day, but by luck I was
Lending offer so I can see this before people can say it was obvious aid you wanna, make a bud guest specifies, can a platform that lets you make one super easily then distribute it everywhere and even money all in one place for free, it's called spotify for bud gasters and here's how it works. Spotify for bond gases, less you recorded antipater gas rate from your phone or computer. So, no matter what your son of his like you can start reading today, then he couldn't distributor, bud, cast a spot, a fine and everywhere else, pod guess her video park s role so available on spot. If I was fond of five robotic asters, you can earn money in a variety of ways, including ads and pod. Gas. Subscriptions and best of all is totally free would no catch. Ever since I first discovered spotify for pont guessers, my life has been easier and I've been making money as great features. So I highly recommended given to try download the spot five republics
who's up or go to w w w dot, spotify dot com backslash broadcasters to get started must take another. One montana tried to ban tik tok in their state, but of course save you. A district judge has blocked the ban, so will not be damned. What did Montana do wrong and does it look like something like, warn them about if they had listened to me what they have made this mistake. Well, let me tell you what they go wrong.
The reason that Montana gave his data security, the argument for banning it was not the influence part, which is the actual risk. It was over data security and the judge just said you know they say they can handle the data security. It's kind of an overreach free speech, totally Montana totally botched this. They they should have gone for the influence, because because it can be demonstrated quite easily that china controls chinese companies and the chinese company has a heat button.
And even at this moment there is great concern that they may have pushed the heat button on the Gaza situation and is not even illegal in China I mean the argument was so good, so easy and instead they went for the weakest dumbest diversion that is really about the data security. Now that data security is not nothing but it's the least important part of the story. By far So if Montana had followed my advice, would they do better while they couldn't do worse with their have had a chance of doing better here's, my next prediction, since I'm so good. I predict Let me tell you what's going to happen with ai and movies, and everybody else's opinion is wrong. Mine is right. It goes like this
So I guess Ridley Scott was saying you know a. I would just change everything and he probably thinks that everybody lose their jobs. I think not, I think, what's going to happen is all the same. People who make movies you get your directors and producers and costumers, and your actors and whatnot, so you've got dozens of of trades that come together for it and here's what I think. I think each of those entities will just use ai to do their part better. Now that the obvious question is, why do you need the human? You know you? Even if you imagine ai is not good enough yet will it not obviously but good enough very soon, and I say nope because here's what you're missing, if you're, not a cr? This is one of those talent stack things again. I I had a good good prediction about banking.
Because I was in that job. That's the only reason I have that visibility, I'm also a creator who writes and crates- and you know, does artistic things. So I'm going to tell you that ai, when it comes to artistic things as a disadvantage that humans have- and I don't know how ai would overcome it just by getting smarter in it's. This humans have two brains minimum they. They have several personalities going on in their head all the time, but the two that matter to this conversation are somebody who's. Pitching yeah. This is u to yourself you're pitching united to yourself, but you are also a value waiting. It instantly so you're the pitcher in the catch, her you're, the buyer, you're, the seller and the buyer. You're, the artist suddenly autocratic. So
then you do you infinitely evaluate, but you do have based on this, this instrument, which is your physical body, and it's the only one that matters because having issues that go body which includes your brain allows you to to estimate was somebody else would enjoy and you can estimated in real time. in a in nay Zeit, gazed or correct way, those my douche bag words. What that means is
I played this funny today and I mean literally today, as in December first, twenty twenty three won't be the same as what's funny in a month. Do you get that they won't be? The same was funny in a month, isn't the same as was funny now. The reason I can guess what's funny today is because I have an instrument. My body is my instrument, I feel it. I feel the Zeit, the diagnosis, the thing everybody's thinking, but maybe as us, nobody ceta, yet how in the world could ay. I know this. I gazed when, by definition is this thing that people are thinking, but they haven't said
Ai learns from what people have said. It literally is trained on things you said is not trained on things you haven't said yet, what's the difference between a good joke and a bad joke, you let let's say or a dad joke bad or dad joke the bad or dad jokes are based on like classical humor things which yeah I get that you have the form of a joke and had an unexpected punchline. It met the criteria of a joke. That was pretty good. That's a good! That's a good dad joke, but to tell a chappelle joke. They'll just use him as top of the game, asia, Pelo jo. You think you see a common and he says something that you were thinking kind of, but you never even put it into words. I can't do that
I can do that and I don't know how I'd ever cut, because it can't solve the timing problem of having a human body. That's instantly evaluating, so yeah people always ask elon musk. What's going on in your head, he says, is basically it's terrible, there's just too much happening in there I wouldn't want it if you could- and I can tell you that in my own, my own creative world, since my job is to create on some days I create twelve jokes in one day I might have one or two in a dilbert comic. I might write six different jokes in one of my robots, nudes comics, it's a daily comic just for the people and locals, might might make three jokes on the exploit form.
And then I might be writing something separately and makes a jokes. Do you know how hard it is come up with twelve commercial gray, jokes a day is crazy. That's crazy level of productivity artistically, and the reason I can do it is that there is a hurricane going on in my head and my head is always pitching criticising pitching criticise, criticizing prison. Never stops I couldn't turn it off if I wanted to write just always on so utterly unable to eat. I to do that. hey. I would have to put it out there in the real world and that people react to it, but it wouldn't be able to start with the intuition of how you feel I start with the intuition of how I feel. How does it? I do that so
I dunno, I think everybody will have their own little ai. I think the I think the the costume will say the costume creator. If ai created the costumes, she might say, wow that was pretty good for ai, but a costume expert, a human is going to know if It looks like a academy award winning costume right. The ai is just going to stop when it's good enough. Okay, this is definitely a costume this. This fit all the criteria, but the artist is going to push it a little further. The artist
just so you know this isn't what it really would look like in the real world, but I'm just going to I'm just going to tweak this a little bit. So it's real but accentuated in a way and that's what makes it special a. I can't do that same with directing that, let let's state the simplest thing: let's state the simplest thing, the edited you think, oh, but for sure my ai will do the editing for me no way you're going to need a human to tell it. If it did it right.
because they have the attention span that ai doesn't know. Alright dick Durbin according to jesse waters either is covering up the motion to have a subpoena to get the Epstein flight logs or maybe maybe they were just too busy. So the excuses they didn't have time but we'll see if it gets done today, but do you think that doesn't seem weird to you that the upstream flight logs are not public years after his death yeah makes you wonder, I know I've told you that when it comes to the government they are guilty until proven innocent. I would say at this point: the weight of evidence suggests that we have a black male based government and maybe other countries as well. Would you say that's a fair assessment of our current government that it is a black male. Fundamentally, that's the operating system of the government as blackmail. Now it only makes sense because I've told you before,
cassie any situation where any company any country, whether the united states or somewhere else. If you have a highly functional intelligence group within your country, eventually they will take over the leadership. There's no way around it. The trained to do it there. The type of people who don't mind do. and somebody's going to take a run at it, and somebody will eventually succeed your through blackmail. So if you're, if you're a group that knows how to use blackmail and has no moral qualms about any of it, eventually they're going to run the country, you just don't know if it happens on day, one or day, one thousand a day, a million, but eventually there's no way. It can go any other way, and I would say that the same is probably true for russia and china. Probably, but do you know how I think they handle it in russia and china?
This is they get blackmail. Somebody kills them. They are sensitive to to him like, even if you are the one who transmitted the message like you saddened, room with you, she or putin said you know what we found out. Some things about you you'd be dead before he had the hallway and anybody who published it would be dead before before they lunch. So I think, maybe in the totalitarian of countries that they can just burger people until they get it done. But I have this hypothesis that that would also cause china and russia have have bad intelligence agencies that, on average they probably have to kill all the good people, because the good people will take over the country if they didn't, kill him first. So it's just a guess, but about the dunning krueger incompetents level of the room,
and, and chinese intelligence is off the chart because, as soon as you've got a good operator in there, the leader would have to kill, because otherwise that leader would kill up. Basically, you can't you just can't let somebody capable be in charge of your intelligence, or else will take over the country. Why? Wouldn't they most of you would if you had. so another hoover was a blackmailer and why would a change can imagine would change So I'm going to assume that the government is guilty and that the AP student logs probably are protecting somebody, and that is exactly what it looks like it's exactly. What it looks like the Epstein was. A
black miller for either our intel or maybe Israel's, where somebody else's? Maybe he was probably working for more than one anyway. There is rampant speculation that if trump is nominated, you will pick a tucker carlson for his vp. How many of you believe that do you believe that trump would pick Tucker carlson for his vp, I'm going to put the odds of that at zero, Everybody locals saying signal zero, because it would bring him more heed, not less tucker,
his has his own set of historically. You know huge group of critics. You don't bring that into your campaign. You're, young and Ben Carson is a ridiculous idea. Honestly, yeah there's no way he's going to pick Ben Carson if he picks Ben Carson. That's like giving up Ben Carson is like that's like taxes way more than politics I mean I. I need signs of life when, when somebody said that he was considering a Ben carson, I literally said to myself you still alive. I thought he passed away, but then compare that to know vague or just santas. In the unlikely case, yeah there are tons of people we'd be better than tucker Tucker. It would be awesome and fun
but it wouldn't get trump elected, can baxter meiji of taxes is suing pfizer. Misrepresenting covert, nineteen vaccine efficacy and conspiring to censor the public these discourse. Now the beauty of this is not the real necessarily win on anything, but that close discovery, so at least the legal system will cause pfizer to tell us We think they know as much as possible so that can get interesting. I saw a doctor say the other day,
it is now well understood. I guess that's debatable that the vaccine did not work and enough to make it worthwhile for any group, except you know one group with co. Morbidities does that? Does that match your opinion? What would you say that there's still one population of people who are over a certain age and maybe had a comorbidity that they still believe? Maybe it was better. It was more yet there's more good than bad
Maybe there's bad as well, but but is it true that the consensus is that everybody was worse off on average, except for this group of special people above a certain age and with co morbidities would so I'm seeing lots of yeses seeing lots of yeses, but also some nose? So I guess you could argue with the consensus is, but my understanding is that the data still supports the idea that there was this specific group of people who benefited on average is an amazing that we would disagree on this. I don't know it's true by the way I don't know. What's true. I do know the doctors say that there's one group that probably came-
and now. The reason I ask is because I'm in that group- but I dunno, if it's true, maybe we'll find out if it's true from this lawsuit, but maybe maybe- and I just point out that most of the people who mock me because I got the I got the first two shots didn't get any boosters after that, but I got as do I'm in that group, I'm dead, I'm dead in the center of the comorbidity cause. I have asthma, which at the time they thought was a comorbidity. I'm not sure it is, but it can't be good to have a lung infection and asthma. At the same time so yeah I dunno, then mind keep an eye on there's a dutch political commentator.
Even larger and larger broke lording broke. and, as she's talking out speaking out about the climate climate scam. By the way, I remember climate change used to be the thing that was always trending on the old twitter and now what trends is climate scale? The climate scam is trending unclear at least my my version of it almost every day. So it feels like there's been like a sort of a quiet, but major shift I mean when bill gates came out and said: yeah the temperature might go up a little hand lip as I felt like that was when it all fell apart. At least the you know, you're all going to die from climate change messaging. I think it all fell apart,
and then when, when people realize that nuclear power with all of it's problems, was a probable solution to a lot of problems that took away a lot of the lot of the energy, because we have a solution we just have to use. It takes all the energy out of it. So I think that the the the momentum or the let's say the natural swing of the pendulum is that the scammer will be trending more than hey everything's falling apart. But I want to tell you what this dutch political commentator who I noticed follows me: an exit might be listening right now and say get to it. What are you going to say about me so in case you're listening, so she said recently that talking about the climate, the scam so to speak, quote the people behind this want to establish a one world government, a new world order.
They decide what we'd, what we when we eat, where we travel we travel, who we meet in what we are led to spend money on. Basically, control, every single aspect of our lives. They don't want to steal foods. make us wrong. They want us to eat synthetic meat created by bill gates. They want us to eat bugs. They want us to drink soy, milk, so that will become weak and obedient, and we do. As I say,
Does that sound? I want to get a reading of the audience. Is that a good summary of reality? How many would say yeah that sums it up, I'm saying spot on? Yes, yes, yes kind of! Yes! Yes! Yes! Yes! Yes! Yes! Yes, yes! So that's right down the middle of what my audience believes right. I don't believe any of that. I don't believe any of it, because the the motivation part doesn't really make sense. Like I can't imagine, there's somebody's room saying if only we can get them to bugs and saw milk, do they don't really somebody having that conversation behind closed doors really let me try. The really is a real,
if somebody behind closed doors who is planning to make humans humans eat bugs, but all of their plans and make humans eat bugs, but not because they're playing to make money. You're saying that it's more of a philosophy, really, I don't believe any of that. Here's why? I don't believe it. Let me give you a reason: it's it's poor form to say I just don't believe it.
I need to make my case, wouldn't you say I haven't made my case. It was my case every bit of it can be explained by incompetence plus greed. That's it yeah. You could explain all observations by incompetence, plus somebody wants to make some money that's at now. On top of that, I do think there are some people who have some idea of how the world would be better bill gates being one of them, but to imagine that bill gates, if he wanted to do all these things, do you think he would be conspiring with other people or would bill gates want to be the one who's in so here's was four years was logically wrong with the thing in imagines that there are all these powerful people who are on the same page as we have seen that powerful people
The one thing you can always say about powerful successful people is they're, never on the same page there never on the same page, the thing that makes them powerful and successful. Is a thing that says, I've got a better idea than you have and that never turns off. Do you think bill gates is bill gates and then we're guessing the meeting young people will push them around and tell them what to think
I don't think so so unless you can find out that there's one powerful person in charge and everybody else is bowing to them, for some obvious reason, like fear or money or something none of it makes sense. There's no model of human behavior, in which the most powerful people by coincidence are all part of this major scheme, and they all have the same idea about how to run it because the real world anything you do that changes. The real world will create winners and losers. Let's see if you agree with that. First, any major change to the whole system of the world, which is what we're talking about a major major change, will destroy some people completely put them out of business, but some other people might be able to rise. So do you think
this big collection of bankers and bill gates- and you know the the world economic forum and all these heads of industries. Do you think that they all you believe, they're all working together in this big elite thing? You believe leads things that they would individually be better off. That's insane. That that there is no real world analogy where you ve ever seen it happen anywhere you even the government of every country. Let let me take the simplest example pick any country that democracy will not even in democracy pick any country look at their elected leaders. Are you tell me all the same page? What why doesn't congress? The united states collude
so that everyone in congress like comes off good and may be at the expense of the rest of the public. But why don't they do that? Why are that? Why are they against each other and fighting like crazy, even republicans, fight republicans democratically democrats? Why? But- but you believe that although every example in the history of humanity every example, the powerful people are actually opposed to each other, we time, but this is the first exception as also the biggest thing, however, and that all the only leads a kind of on the same page if we can get them the bugs, though by more oil or whatever, it is, if we can get them to you bugs and will be able to razor taxes if we can get on the avenue enough soy they world,
my own military won't be able to fight. I don't think so. Does that to you, but none of this tracks. None it makes sense, even in a general directional sense, none of it makes sense, does it assumes something about human behaviour? This absurd. What is the thing that you always say about why marxism and socialism doesn't work it. Sometimes we say grace dictators, but the real reason is that it ignores human behaviour. Here these are very predictable. If you say you know what, if you
work harder than your peers: you're not going to get anything extra, but you'll get to share what you made with everybody. Will people work as hard as, if you say, hey, you're, going to be a superstar and you'll be better than everybody and you have more stuff if you work hard, there's no question which one works, but there isn't capitalism makes more stuff and then socialism or communism is a better system, but but suddenly, suddenly an entire hundred thousand years of consistent human behavior. suddenly changed because of the world economic forum and climate change or something now there isn't any chance. There isn't any chance that there's anybody plotting to make you drink soy, milk, any bugs The people want you re bugs if they exist, are probably two types. There's somebody in the bug eating business wants to make money.
there. There are seeding the the media with stories and they're they're trying to like you know, get it in so there's clearly a there's, a commercial factor here, obviously not nothing gets us mustn't. Nothing gets as much attention unless somebody's trying to make money off it. The news doesn't just tell you what's interesting: they tell you what somebody who makes money wanted them to say that's how it works when it's about commerce.
And yeah. If you, if you don't understand and then and then on the other side, people like the world economic forum, there are people who like to tell you the interesting thing that they heard it's in the news. Maybe it's futuristic. Maybe it's forward looking. So some people like to talk about the potential of things to come, but it doesn't mean they needed or wanted, or is the only thing that could happen or they're going to force you to do it. None of that. So what one of the things that conservatives universally have, as I would say, a blindspot is that people are not that coordinated to me. That's the big blind spot now there are definitely things that seem coordinated. In other words, the the deep state does seem to act like one big blob, but when you look at the deep state are not their motivations, the obvious ones that people have always had obvious, they want their side to win. They want good jobs and power, and it's all obvious. So when you're looking at the blob or the deep state and you've got a conspiracy theory but hey, I think that intel people are working with the media and the media might be working with the Democrats. That's all observable: it's not only directly observable proof.
in documents and you know leaks and whistleblowers, so you have tons of direct evidence, but it also completely fits the greed and selfishness model that explains all human activity forever. But if you tell me, there's somebody sitting in a room who wants you to eat bugs and drink soy milk? Unless they're making money from bugs and soil milk, no no that's not happening. anyway, that's my bed, but I do think climate climate is a scam, Are a governess, amanda dissenters, debate? Hannity was the moderator I tried to watch it. Let me tell you when I bailed out. The santa says.
explain why everybody cues moving out of california and moving to by state in florida. So there For them, the winner does the people that are voting with their feet. The people in your state are all you know. This is the most you halls, they've ever used they're all coming to florida and what does the santa say to that to center? I'm sorry, what does what does newsom say is what newsome says no they're, not they're. Moving from florida to California. That's when I turned it off, because I realized that the it was the format this problem. How many times have I told you. If somebody can win debate by saying Something absolutely flocking ridiculous, because because half of the public doesnt have access to the news, they have had access to you.
I began to descend, this could lie all day long and republicans will think what they thought of them all long. When change and democrats who say that was very brave, he wins the lions dead and you roughed up to santas good job newsome totally. One. newsome totally? What did he say? Anything that was true, probably not did dissenters, do a better job of the same making arguments based on facts. Probably did they help em no make any difference. Read the review is side exact thing. You suspect right Democrats, a new someone republicans. Maybe they like the santos more.
but now as long as this answers can just deny reality and nobody knows a difference on his team. Europeans use so newsome one, instead of simply by showing up- and you smiling and and.
I am doing the same, but what else do we learn about this? The santa says that Gavin newsom's own father in law have fled from california to live in florida. Now, that's that's kind of a funny gotcha, but it doesn't win you any debates because, as a human being you listen to that story, you say to yourself: ok, there can be a lot of reasons for that right. It's not like. That's, not exactly a kill shot is fun. It's fun, you might remember it, but it's not really kill shop and then I guess you know newsome said his lockdowns were great new saved lives and the the trouble with the
and of course nobody on the right- believes that they think it's the opposite everything he did: kill people ruined children all that, but debates are worthless this. This could not have been more worthless because you'd never get to factcheck anything. I've said it a million times somebody's going to create a debate show in which the fact checkers are part of the debate and each team has their own and the host has their own so that, if, if a fact comes up instead of instead of this bullshit, where you can just claim is true and run out the clock, you stop so you say I there's a fact jack and then they both show their sources and then maybe the moderator says all right: I'm gonna rule that either
Neither of them are reliable or you know it's a it's. A jump ball so make your own decision home, or one of these is just wrong. Now one of them just lied. Now, that's a debate. I'd watch that, all day long, even if it took longer because you could do alive when what is a little slow, because it slows down with the false claims- But then, when you edit it together, you just fast forward the fact checking that to get to the end of it, and that would be great imagine a fast forward through all the fact checking, but they always have to stop when there's a fact check that would be a debate. That'd be fun. Alright, we have a moron here: moron jason, farris clot got your booster items, so jason sell for the four cib hoax that reversed all of my opinions on the pandemic. Jason, you should be very embarrassed.
bell fallen for that, alright, so here's some oh and then the census held up the so called poop map of san Francisco. So it's a map where there was an app where you could report. If there was human feces on the sidewalk sophomore, so people can stay away, but what happened? Was the entire map turned brown because there were so many so many reports of feces on sidewalks that you couldn't even use it was just brown now remember. I said that persuasion is visual, so dissenters holds up the map. So you can see this big pile of shit and it holds it up next to his face, and that was his persuasion.
I know what he was going for. What it was aiming for was good visual persuasion a moment that people will remember that would really brand newsome as a bad governor. What made instead wasn't association of Rhonda santos and a giant pile of shit right there, Joel persuasions doesn't live completely on its own right. You can't make the other, makes you dont want to associate yourself with something this disgusting. So what I want our remember about that has run dissenters is big all had here. And a big old polish right next to it. That's what I remember
I already knew the san francisco had some problems, so I learned nothing new from that. So nothing changed because I know the san francisco s problems, but now in my head I ve had a pilot shit dissenters, his head in.
yeah and see it yeah. That's visual persuasion done this wrong, as you could do it, but I ask myself- and you should ask yourself: if trouble had done this, would I feel differently? Yes, you know why? Because for trump it would be on brand. It would be on brand, but trump doesn't like to do gross stuff right. Trump has like a yeah he's, not even a big fan of shaking hands, so I don't think he would hold up a big pile of human feces and say: hey. Remember me, remember this pile of feces that will be opposite of trump's personality. I can't imagine him doing it, but if he did
Because it's trump it would seem funnier than that see. The problem is that the santas, if he does something that this anime brand, because that was a little bit at a brand- the synthesis just the he's, the accountant who's not going to make a mistake, he's going to tell you what he's gonna do and that he's going to do it and you'll be pretty happy about it. Like he's, an operator is good, probably one of the best governors of all time, but if you're a showman and people say okay, what what? What is the guy who's bringing the shogun and show me? Well, you might I got a differently, but it would still be a mistake. Alright, in all those a january six depositions that the committee, the congressional committee got
and now the republicans would like to get a copy of all the ones that we didn't see because there were a lot of depositions or not public, and wouldn't you like to do whatever the committee knew yeah they're, all missing everyone who everyone of the deposition videos now some of them. Now, some of them every one of them, is gone. Why should you assume about that? Well, if this were a case abetted individual American citizen that say well that person is innocent until proven guilty. That's our standard! We should not change that boy happens when it's a government and the government does something that every
single person who's who sees this as well, that's a little sketchy and corrupt looking. Why should you assume you should assume guilt, doesn't mean it doesn't mean it's not a mistake could be per se, but you should assume guilt.
Cause that's the that's the better system. So I'm going to assume that the January ces committee was as corrupt as they looked. I mean it looked corrupt without even knowing this, but I would say this is confirmation of their corruption, and I think the january six committee committed worse crimes than anybody did on january six. I think the committee committed a far worse crime than even the people who did violence. Even the people who did violence, I'm including them, were not nearly as bad as what the january six committee attempted to do, because the violence as bad as it was clearly a tragedy. We have empathy for the victims. I am not making light of victims, but they were individuals and there weren't that many, but when you corrupt the country, you know the entire system as grossly as the january six committee.
yeah even without the bloodshed. I I gotta say it's worse. If you found out that the republic were overthrown tomorrow, you wouldn't say to yourself: well, nobody died, you'd, say: okay, that's worse, because you know down the road and it's going to be much worse. You know. So that's probably exactly what looks like kyle Becker against reporting on that chris chrome quiz chris oh, when on the patrick, then David Joe divers neighbour.
Our guest and here's. We said this is cuomo Chris globally, we said, as Patrick says, the data is the data. If nobody was trying to kill us when tromp was present in the way that they are not now in a way that their now, I think this table, if anything, there's more hostility, so PBS says so: you're open to a trump vote. This Chris Cuomo, who had been on cnn until he went a noose nation and equality, says I am always open and I'll tell you this people say: oh, oh bullshit, Are you never voting for republic in your life? You Coloma says wrong. Not only have I the first vote, I ever overcast was for republican. Let's do a test Do you believe that he's telling the truth that he would consider is now so you would offer but tat he was.
Seriously. Consider if only for job you're, very mixed. I see lots of yeses lots knows. I gotta tell you the definitive answer this. because so Chris Cuomo was among the first. You can say the first major news person who asked to talk to me after I got cancel now it took him some convincing, so we had some extensive private conversation. Before I appeared and I'm not going tell you my private conversations, but I will tell you will certainly he means it was certainly based on private conversations with. Certainly he means that these open to it. Now again, I want to be clear. I am not saying that he's
Certainly voting for tromp. Nothing like that. I'm saying that he is absolutely open to the argument. But again and again, if you didn't talk to him personally, you wouldn't have any sense of that, because europe is in the public version, but keep in mind. What's the worst thing that happened to Chris cuomo professionally and who did it to it? Wasn't republicans getting cancelled on CNN was the worst thing that ever happened to me, and I was purely Democrats right and do you know what I said when he was getting in trouble. For years, helping his brother, the governor of new york, I said, that's bullshit. He can help his brother all day long. I don't care if there is a conflict of interest. Everybody knows that's the most obvious conflict of interests that it couldn't be more war, trance,
arid. He couldn't be more honest about it. You would have his brother on and do you own a giant tip, jokes and shit? Obviously, Leaves gonna help his brother and who want him not to Why him not too crazy insane? But now imagine you went through that, and I told him more than that. I was one of his supporters and that absolutely that was that was just so raw that they took him out That so, when I tell you that you don't know exactly what his private thoughts are, because his his cnn performance was more of a performance, but when he dealt with me, it was totally straight. Yes, tough questions because he showed- and he listened completely to my answers. He didn't talk
Do I mean no more than a normal interview and he was completely completely a legitimate honest agent on that issue and I think you're completely wrong. In fact, I'm sure of that with complete certainty. He is absolutely open to looking at both sides. Absolutely by the way. That's that's called reciprocity. What I interested, but I'm telling you he treated me fairly when almost nobody was so I'm defending him, because
I owe him, so that's payback, alright and ukraine is allegedly going on defense, so the new orders are to dig in and and defend rather than being on the offense. So I would say that the captors on the roof on this one in the sense that that doesn't look like they think they're going to gain any more territory. So I think that when Putin says I'm going to wait for the end of the for the election in america before I do anything, I think Zelensky realizes that his best bet is to wait for the next election because it's going to happen, so I feel, like all the signals are pretty obvious now,
it is going to get negotiated. It's going to look like something like where the the current lions are. I imagine it'll be right along those lines and there's no other way. This is likely to go yeah. I hear the stories about zelensky, buying yachts and stuff, but I wouldn't necessarily believe those I don't disbelieve them But in the five of war and knowing that russia, this information is really a thing. I wouldn't believe everything about linsky getting rich. I assume is true. If you ask me what I assume, why assume so? But if you look at a specific report about buying to yachts and stuff like that, I think that's unlikely to be true. Even if he is stealing is probably that buying yachts with it s. My guess, lay it might be a secret bank. It gave us a more about.
By the author. You can't use Glenn greenwell talking about MSNBC, who. he says, talked about many many her son met a year meant the dear her sons. Sorry I can't against Israel. Name right by use is his amazon BC, along with two other pro palestinian house after october, seventh. But what sure thing is that its along- time now says it's three weeks later after he got killed and he hasn't said a word in public, that's kind of weird. If you're, a host of a major tv show. But apparently the no one was watching you show anyway, it was like the lowest rate it Joe on cable news. I think it was just like invisible who so lowly attended.
so I think Mn Msnbc made the right business decision because keeping on there wasn't making them any money, but it might look, but but it could have lost their money because they would have lost a lot of jewish support But the real question is- and I think Glenn Greenwald is on this page- is: why did he have to get canceled just because you hate everything he says and he's young baby some would say, is anti Israel and pro to pro bad guys, but doesn't he get to say that don't we have a country where you get to say that and isn't that a point of view that
there are enough americans who want to hear that they ought to hear it. No matter how no matter how nazi like it might sound to your ears, it did not get to say that in america you don't get to say something that everybody hates, while not everybody. Obviously. So the question I don't know where the line is because on one hand I dont want to hear what he has to say. On the other hand, I know that's not the standard works. The standard is, For me to be able to say what I want to say, I lay him say what he wants to say so
Well, I've got a little bit of agreement to hear with Glenn greenwald that as much as I think he's a malign bad force and his show was a disaster. I hope he didn't get canceled just because people didn't want to hear what he had to say. That would be the wrong reason if he wasn't making money- and it was just too much problem for the company than just a business decision, hope it wasn't because of what he was saying and again I'll remind you, I'm one hundred percent behind Israel for it's gaza policies, anything that happened before october. Seventh, I don't care, I'm just not involved in that, so I don't care about their history. I don't care who did what to october. Seventh, I'm going to I'm going to judge everything that happens in gaza by october,
I suppose. That's mostly alright. Israel has put out some fighting maps or maps that show gaza in a grid with numbered numbers on each of the boxes, and I guess, are dropping pamphlets now, because the ceasefire didn't work as ceasefires over while the ceasefire Work is a exchanged prisoners, but there are still some to go, and the claim is that the Hamas is not doing everything they said they do so. Israel is gonna, go back to the attack now that could also be a bluff. So it could be that Israel is doing everything that looks like you're going on and aggressive attack together. Hamas do you know,
for them the last few things about the the prisoners, maybe or maybe it's a winning their way getting ready to fight because they need to well. You just need to do that, but if it had the effect of causing the hostages to come back well, that's good do so. It makes sense what living animal, sense that they would have this grid. But remember I told you: a visual persuasion is the strongest. when you actually see the map- and you see this lots and lots of boxes
and you see that they're gonna drop their people in advance, hey we're going into this box if you're a civilian get out of this box, but the boxes not so big that they don't know how to get out of it. In other words, it's all walking distance. If you said you have to get out of northern gaza. Well, that's too far to go like to do what you get out of the north. The north is just too big you get it now is now no easy thing, but if you make a small enough box, cause everybody can walk to the next box until the bombing stops in that box. Now I dunno how this is going to work, because I wouldn't have Hamas get out of the box too So what will soon habits it could either the best the idea of the worst idea, but here's what's important from a persuasion, public relations standpoint
when I heard israel say: hey innocence can leave. I said to myself: ok, I back israel on their side. but can I really live. Can you really walk from northern gaza? The southern gaza? In a war zone to me that didn't look like they could really live, did you have the same feeling? It's yeah I get in principle. You say they can leave, but in a practical sense, there's no way it's not there's no way so now they have a new visual representation of the area, so you can just look at and you could look at and say: oh yeah, that would work,
your brain instantly says. Oh, I could walk from that box of that box and wait for a day. I could do that. Jason you're such a bad troll, like you you're, not even making a dent. Are you drunk already jason? You act like you're, drunk by the way, the number of times you can make somebody go away by asking if they're drunk you should see it. Often networks is crazy, drunk so drunk and jason, we'll see if it comes back, it got real quiet and when I asked him if he was drunk because you probably drunk archer yeah, I know it's the morning with a bunch of drunk. So the fighting maps are good form. The university of California is scarcely conflict hundred fifty professors.
Condemning the schools president, the universe in california, s presence viewpoint because he wants to make some changes and he wants to be. Was the teachers professors to have more neutral opinions on things like climate change and middle east atrocities? And people are saying how can we have a neutral opinion on atrocities? But
where's. He doesn't mean that he means the whole context that includes the adjusted now. Is it a good idea for educators to try to be objective and not insert their opinion into politics in the news? Well, like your common sense says: yes, that's a good idea. You dont want these teachers propagandizing people, but here's. The second question: is it possible? No, now is that possible. You cared not inject opinion into world events. That's not a thing because live just a word choice and why you leave out and what you emphasise your opinion will always be in it. So it's impossible.
So the suggestion is to do something is literally impossible and people are complaining. So I dunno, I think, it's just more of a sign that the the higher levels of education- I don't know how to educate cause. They don't know if they should give an opinion or they should not give an opinion, and it would completely change what you were taught if you can't figure that part out. So I side with the news people who say that all news is opinion, and that includes ida bay wells was the what was it the sixteen whatever project so the other sixteen nineteenth and author, she said that the newspeople have to be have to be opinionated and biased, not bias, but have opinionated, because that's the only reasonable thing I would argue that that's always been true of george santos has been expelled. Breaking news jorge santos has been expelled. Is that a real thing? Well we'll find out about that yeah? I don't think that is realistic to expect people who have not put their opinion in their teaching
because how can they do that? I mean seriously. How can you do that, but as a standard, it might make sense to get as close to it ass she kept. So I don't hate that. But the question was: how do they teach climate change? How would you treat imagine you thought that climate change was an existential threat you're here, professor and you really believe it, and maybe it's true, I don't watch
but maybe this? How could you possibly allow the critics to get equal voice in that conversation? If you thought one would kill the world, and the other would save the world and you're going to ask your professor to be unbiased about that. How, because here's the problem, if you're unbiased about it, the skeptics, whipped sorry, the skeptics just have a stronger argument, doesn't mean they're right doesn't mean they're right. I mean that if you had an honest debate with the skeptics and the pro climate alarm people, I believe the skeptics would win one hundred percent of the time. If he had the right skeptics right, not all some of them are frauds, and it's not because I want to be clear about this is not because I know that climate change is or is not real. I don't have magic abilities. What I know is that the argument will sound more persuasive, because when you say when I say for example, do you really think the scientists can measure the temperature of the planet and that they're accurate within half a degree or something which you would have to be people just laugh at that go well, you know if you've ever worked in a big company- and you know how much bullshit big companies tell their public and tell the customers, you know, that's not a thing, you know, that's not a thing or every part of your common sense tells you know they don't put. They didn't put thermometers around the world and then tracking for one hundred years and they were accurate,
alpha percent right. If you put me on that debate, I would slaughter a scientist who knew one hundred times more than me, because, what's the scientist going to say, scientists is going to say, but but but here's my detailed scientific study, that is peer, reviewed and I'll say what preserves your peer review. Things are true. Well, yo, that's our process, I know, but what what percentage are true? Well, you know it's the best process I know, but what percentage of peer reviewed studies turn out to be true in the long run? Just to give me a number well most of the time. Is it because I've got a study that says
fifty percent of the time half now you tell me this. If you took a bunch of scientists- and you said, if you, if you say, is true- you could be happy and live a happy life. If you say b is true, you will be destroyed as as science, in other words, the the the critic argument is just super easy to understand and strong. The argument that we're in trouble and we're all going to die might be right. I dunno is too complicated for me to understand, but too complicated and the only people who understand that are making money from it compared to you haven't been right for forty years, half of science is made up and you're all paid to say Israel who wins that debate and by the way they convince you that they could put thermometers around the earth and tell you the average temperature of the earth within half a degree. You put me on that panel. I would destroy climate change in one hour as an alarm narrator
but I might be wrong your that's the funny thing, I'm not telling you I'm so right that my argument with it's, not because it's right is because it's a common sense, observable set of arguments, common sense and observable the other is well. I can't even tell what that science this age and aren't you paid to say, is real, Somebody says you're right, you're, arms and recruit says I might be, might wrong that's not what I would about my life on. Well, further to bury weiss. in the sort of an independent, this type broke. Some big stories so she got a new start up called the free press and apparently especially during this Hamas Gaza situation. She seems to be getting tons of attention for not being a biased source of news. I guess
so good for, I just just want to give her a sharp shadow that I think Barry weiss has been one of the most useful citizens in the united states over the past few years by being aggressively dedicated to what's real and being unwilling to play along with- what's not real, so all credit to her and apparently the free press is being quoted by notable people and getting a lot of attention and I'd like her to get a little bit of extra attention, because when you do work that good, maybe good things should come to you, alright nature self regulates, does not going to cascade failure.
yeah. So the the climate alarmists have an argument that oh yeah, maybe you can't see, what's going wrong, but when it reaches breaking point you know that's where everything will fall apart. I have no confidence that our scientists can look at the complexity of all the systems around our globe and they can tell us that there's an upcoming fall off a cliff boy that might be. But how would you predict that that would be the hardest thing? You could possibly predict in an environment where they can't predict everything. I am, and I want to say this prediction is truth right if you predicted you know accurately in the past
you probably have something like truth, but if he can predict again now the history of climate, is they ve predicted terrible? But if you actually, if you ask them, they say now, or models are right on oh yeah, maybe thirty years ago we had some crazy ideas, but those guys role dead, current batch of scientists finally got a right it. We got all these models. If you haven't heard, we explain why the models or bs allow me to do it. This way. Nobody can predict the future you can do with math, though I can predict the future. That's not a thing. It's also not what prediction models are for models are not for predicting the future. That's not even the point of them. Do you know what, therefore, therefore, to tell you what the cone of possibility is
in the worst case to the best case, but where it is within that code, nobody can predict that. So that's the first thing is way too complicated too many variables. Nobody can predict it, but in general, general that's true of a lot of things now this also, I am suspicious of the large language model, a I.
If the large language model was built to predict what what the next word in a sequence, would it be and that's how it pretends to be intelligent? How come it can't do it when I ask it to do it, try going to your large language model and give it half a sentence and see if it can accurately complete the sentence, because that's what is built to do right is built to do literally that complete the sentence. Try it give it give a half a sentence and see if it can complete the sentence with what you had in mind, not that it can complete. It obviously couldn't complete it. But can I complete it with what you had in mind, because if it can, then it's doing what they say in knows that you're likely to say this now, you'd have to repeat the you know the thing to make sure that it's repeatable, but if it can fill in the sentence that you give it as just a test, is that I was thinking the only time you can't do it is when you give us the first part of the sentence, but it can do it. Otherwise, here's what I think, I think the reason it can't complete your sentence is because it can't predict the future and if it could complete your centers, it could compute. It could.
predict the future. This is not a thing now, I'm not sure. That's a good point. I haven't thought it through, but I just don't understand why you can't complete my sentence. If that's the entire basis for us intelligence is completing sentences, it's a little mystery to me. So I would say that anytime anybody tells you they have a secret process that you don't fully understand. That can predict the future. They do not have a secret process that you don't understand. That can predict the future because nobody's done it yet, and I haven't done it with the stock market. Haven't done it with anything, it's just not a thing in complex systems. Now somebody said scott NASA predicted enough to send a ship to the moon and back and that's a lot of predicting, to which I say it's a lot of predicting with very few variables in physics. You know you got your gravity and your you know, but basically things that we have formulas for the never never fail. Basically. So that makes sense, because, even though your mind says that going to space
it's complicated. It's not complicated in terms of the rules of physics. Would you buy that it's not complicated in terms of physics, whereas the weather is insanely complicated in ways, we can't even know what the variables are exactly yeah, very different: it's not complicated, just difficult. That is good, alright. So that's why we know. Ladies and gentlemen, are there any stories I left out? I think I've gotten it all will catch up with the george santos story in a little bit, but remember get your visual persuasion right and your whole life will be better. It's a big big deal. What and recruit and making up some news, argentina's or some newser sandra day O'Connor as passed away. Troops in vegas, Dr Fong juice, is asking me the next time the other story about the troops in vegas I saw I saw your dm and I was missing the context. I didn't understand the context, and so there are some troops and
and las Vegas, for what I dunno are there. Are there federal troops were talking about Peter's? Am he quit acts? I'm the guy who pointed you toward roberts ever you call them racist? No, I didn't call him a racist, yet you know there really needs to be a shelter for the all caps if youtube could add to filter to just
just stop the all caps people. You would almost say no, no, Charles at all, because trolls don't know how to use anything. But all caps is like that. They don't know how to turn that ability off and let's save youtube will not replace us yeah. No, I didn't you're you're. All caps continue to reveal you as the troll that you are alright, everybody, I'm going to say, bye to youtube, going to talk to locals for a minute and I'll see you later.
Transcript generated on 2023-12-04.