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--- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/scott-adams00/supportThis is an unofficial transcript meant for reference. Accuracy is not guaranteed.
Due to the to to to to to do good morning, everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization and if you'd, like your experience, which will already be amazing,
to go to levels that nobody can even understand.
All you need is a cup or mug or a glass. I take your jealousies, die at the canteen, jug or flask a vessel of any kind,
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As for the unparalleled pleasure of the dopamine the end of the day, the thing that makes everything better and it's called the simultaneous sip and it's gonna happen now go well. Would you like to hear all the stories stories of the day? That's why you come here for the stories, though, I'm to turn this device upside down. First, on the locals people, if you'd like to say hi to the locals, people are right here, it'll, be on this
bad air? We go much better. Now, first dorie, I saw your speech by a vague roma swami. You, sir he's got some things,
to say about Hamas you'd like to see the top,
one hundred hamas leaders heads on stakes as a message to the rest hm, to which I say the vague decaf, just one word, decaf, don't really neither as other snake too far dial dial it back a little bit just just about ten percent has often stakes, personal debt still dead. Yes, we can all agree on that as on stakes little too far, but I gotta say you'll. Never forgive it talk about visual visual persuasion. If this were trump. What would I say
without it. I would say you cannot get the image out of your head of heads on the stake. A number two, the only thing you'll remember, is that he was the toughest one on Hamas. That's all you will remember like you, you won't tell you,
to seriously to say wow. That was stronger than anything anybody else said, and it was visual.
So, even though I have followed
by saying he should switch to decaf you're, not gonna. Forget it.
If you of europe at all you're, not gonna, forget it. So that was pretty good, pretty good persuasion, branding there
matthew. Perry has tragically passed away drowned.
in a hot tub
we had a long history of drug.
can alcohol abuse it's hard to. Imagine that now part of the story, but we don't know
he he generally was. Not the picture of health is later years. It was fifty for those pretty
pretty alarming. I have anything to say about that, except it's terrible. There's not much said.
Scott galloway, you know Scott galloway
So use bill mom.
as I mentioned this, but he's
That too is part of the school board for his kids school. I guess he was pushing hard for keeping kids out of school.
social distancing, and he now says he was totally wrong about that. It was the wrong way to go buddy. He asks that people maybe have some grace about it, because he was he was trying and everybody was trying and some of them got it wrong, and now he's saying I tried tried
Everybody's I've got a wrong now. They reaction that most of the people, who believe they got it right or would have got it right was screw him
You heard our children, you must go to jail and pay for forever. I disagree with all of you.
And I will remind you that at the beginning, the very beginning of the pandemic, there were suddenly I told you all- which I'm gonna stay true, do
I said, there's a big old pandemic and nobody knows what the right thing to do is, but, unlike you and I, there are people who are going to have to make decisions without knowing what's the right decision when they make the wrong decision,
and they will not. All of them will be writing some lagasse rights and will guess wrong. We should not hold that against them. After the fact. If later we find that it was the wrong decision and I'm going to stick to that.
So I think everybody who says he should be punished is wrong. You you're all wrong. In one sense, you not wrong in terms of feels how you feel about it is simply
I do, but in terms of a system that you want to support, you don't want to start punishing people who are well meaning well educated, well informed, but got something wrong in the context of nobody knew what was right now. I also said at the very beginning of the at the pandemic. I said we have basically a bunch of binary decisions,
Vaccination, yes or no locked down the us are now so a lot of it is yes or no in these yes or no decisions. The thing you can guarantee is, as somebody will be right and somebody Lou be wrong. You can guarantee that if there are millions of solutions, but if this either yes or no yes, we do a yes no without
We gotta know some boy. What was right and you'll know. So that was wrong, so I think we should
be a little bit more humble those of us who were right.
If you are right about anything, somebody was going to be right cause there were people on both sides and everybody was operating without complete information. So big right has nothing to brag about. Honestly, it really isn't being wrong is nothing to feel bad about. The only thing I would have felt bad about is people didn't try if you didn't try or you didn't, try to get informed or try to make a difference. Well, maybe maybe that wasn't used.
But if you tried you're, okay with me- and I do- I do understand that the outcome was horrible for children. I get it, but I'm not going to tear the country apart by going after people who are smart and well meaning and tried that doesn't help who's Alp. Who is better off for that? So would you like that, the next time? Let let me just ask this question.
Would you like the next time, there's an emergency that all of the well meaning well educated young people who are very capable scott galloway, is a very capable adult right. You want the very capable adults to send it out next time.
Because you're all assholes to be an or to the people who tried you not yet again to try again.
So what do you want? What do you want for next time? You want you want everybody just shut the fuck up that you do
it'd be better so next time there's an emergency or something just everybody just take a pass because you don't want to get in trouble. I well I'm sure glad that there are people like Scott galloway in the
We got that one wrong. You says you gotta wrong. Move on.
Take ten of him over anybody who is criticising him I'll, take care of him over everybody whose criticising.
because the people criticising or not the system's thinkers, you're, you're, being goal oriented.
The goal was to get it right right. The goal was to get the right, but sometimes you doubt the system. The system is to let these smart people do as well as they can to make their best judgment, learn what you can from it and then maybe a just for the next time. But if your system is to punish people who guest wrong, that's a terrible.
You're just going to discourage people from trying so think about it in terms of a system don't think of in terms of a binary. Oh, I was right. My enemies were wrong, which might be also true that you are right in
your enemies wrong doesn't help you ourselves, not at all.
flying cars of italy, there's a couple. Companies make your product coldly Jetson one. Finally flying cars,
doesn't fly their long. I guess you have to charge for hours yet tenants, but is basically a bicycle that flies.
This tiny little thing you just sit at its four propellers like a drone just lies.
I for one hundred dollars, somebody says: do you think the time will come when the rest of the world looks at Israel and thinks they're too great a liability to continue to exist, know that wasn't really worth one hundred dollars, but thanks and no, I don't think that people will give up on Israel.
As you know, there have been many claims made about the twenty twenty election, but nothing has been.
Proven to my satisfaction that there was anything illegal illegal. They wouldn't change result, but there's always drama anders fun.
Love. I love what's happening in maricopa, so
Some kind of you know extra checking. I dunno. If you want to call it an audit, or is it an audit,
so there were some claims that are still looking into and the claims that there
Two hundred thousand individual ballots. There were printed on some kind of unauthorized paper, which some would suggest was intentional and or a sign of something illegal
I'm not making that claim. I'm saying that is a clean being made, but here's a fun part about. I may have some of the details wrong. So give me a fact check on this. My understanding is that those ballots still exist and there in a room this locked away and if we can get. If, if the people want to check it could get act
rest of the room literally just unlock it and look at it that it would be really easy to see. It's not the right paper stock. That was the only paper stock allowed for the election, and that would prove that there's some big irregularity. Maybe then you could look into it now. I couldn't believe just read in the paper or somebody made a paper mistake. May maybe somebody didn't have access to all the paper they needed and you know, got a second source and they just didn't know anything's possible right. But I love the fact that just maybe there's a room with a lock on the door that unlocking the door good answer.
If you have questions this, is that just the greatest drama, if only they'd, just I locked that door was back there now if it's like every other crack, and it will turn out not to be what you thought it was hoped it was or suspected it was, but I love the drama of it that they exist there behind the door and if you can get the key in a legal sense, if you could get the key will know what happened. I doubt there will actually
happened if we got the gay, but that's a funny story. Spear fun stories that are actually bad. My
yea, yellow me to carry the PAMELA price. She made no mistake. A party or a car in oakland do idea to finish the story.
Yeah, you could complete the story without even knowing the rest in the story just say. The first part again
Do we have and I'm not even sure, I'm gonna tell you the rest. The story.
It's in your head is so close to the real one close enough, yet
in the county DA who is allegedly one of the soros type DA's that she had a laptop she left in her car and parked it in oakland,
Well, you know I'm not an additive giving advice about crime to local da's, but if I had a laptop
a car. I would not combine the laptop and the car with oakland talk about asking for it, but of course she jail
the police who told her I healthily
go online and make a report. If she didn't want to wait for an officer to arrive, does it make it might take so long for a police officer to arrive that they don't want or standing on the streets in oakland?
you you might want to you. I want to get out of there as soon as possible closure in oakland,
Maybe online talk to us our line rather than wait for a up. We don't know if we get there in time to save your life
anyway, that's the news from walking. This is from my house well and take a long time to walk there, but I can't do it. I could do it.
Germany is running out boomers fairly. Germany's employment situation is terrible, really somebody spending another hundred dollars to ask the site the same question again. If you wouldn't mind, could you please explain why you don't believe the rest of the world will eventually consider Israel a liability, well who's, the rest of the world? If you talk about the christian world or to linked?
you know by tradition and everything else so that the christian world isn't going to give up on Israel and the law says secular, secular people in christian worlds say you know china doesn't care right. So, as basically you know the the pro palestinian types will always be against them. The the left will always be against them. The right will probably be always before them, but no, I don't. I don't see it giving up now. If you're asking, would it be wise for the rest of the world to say you're too much trouble doesn't matter because it will happen, it doesn't matter. Was wise,
It is sort of like talking about. Should Israel, you know, attack Gaza, you could talk about it all day long, but it doesn't matter cause they're going to attack Gaza, there's nothing. You can do about it. So there's not much to talk about. I don't think there's any chance at all that Israel will be abandoned by its primary supporters. I mean not. If talk he had twenty years to fifty years. I don't see it changing
anything can change in two hundred years, but no I what what holds us together is psychology and the violence has never changed. The psychology that I can remember you know things have been terrible. Things have been done to Israel. Israel's been accused of doing terrible things back. You know who knows what to believe about anything but doesn't seem to change anything, so I don't think
This is this: will change much either so Germany's running anna of boomers, but just in time
replace them with robots. So
it was really hard to get people in germany to do skilled work, not enough of them and so robots to the rescue. I mean it blows my mind that we're having a skilled worker shortage in the world at exactly the same time. Well, you must have too much body, but thank you somebody's paying one hundred dollars. This will be three hundred dollars they paid, but the third hundred dollars is just a thank you. So thank you. I appreciate that, but I would encourage the rest of you. The the super prompts are not ideal for for the live format, because it's a little distracting but
I appreciate that I always appreciate it, but just in terms of the flow of the thing better not to do them. I love your money, though. Thank you, alright. So let's talk about that main shooter, the guy who killed a bunch of people in maine, but then he killed himself.
I've seen no no media reports that there were two bullets that seems to me just an internet rumour thing
so I've seen nothing that would suggest there were two bullets in him right. There's nobody actually now right, yeah, there's, there's no credible report of that. So forget about that.
do we still do that, whereas bow is. Why don't we know where his boat is? That was like a big part of the story. I'd love to know if they ever found his boat, I mean- maybe you just put it at a different doctor and there's nothing to it, but you'd kind of want
That also was the rumour that one point that I broke up with a girlfriend and we ve heard nothing from many girlfriend. So I think that girlfriend part was fake. The two bullets part was fake,
and then we're. We also know that the locals knew he was a shooter risk, so the locals actually knew it go see. Had you know there was enough there was there were enough hints and suggestions that the police actually went to his house to try to find him
and they were not successful, so they gave up because they can figure out where it was late. Just thought well,
I don't know what happened to that.
Apparently, there was.
Somewhere in the system? They knew he was a risk and they were looking for him. So that's interesting, so I think the odds that we'll hear much more about that situation seem low, yeah yeah. I I don't think it's likely that it was anything exact except exactly what it looks like. It was probably exactly what it looks like crazy guy with a gun. Somebody suggested that if he was a crazy paranoid, paranoid guy who heard voices that he may have chosen the bowling alley in the bar, they shut up because he imagined something happened there like he imagined somebody was talking about them or something it's gotta, be that dunno, it is still doesn't make sense why he killed himself in a dumpster by his old job that still doesn't quite make sense so and yeah. I still have lots of questions about this, but we'll say hello. This is Scott Adams and now's your chance to reply to questions hot takes and calls for feedback from myself and all of your favorite podcasters on spotify. Every new episode could have a cure day or poll with a topic for you to weigh in on.
So lay your voice be heard. Personally, I plan to use these tools to get you to enjoy the content, even more so that over to spot, if I searched for coffee was got Adams or your favorite punkahs and view the latest episodes and respond to cure d and bowls on spot. If I only I hears a thought experiment that I liked
every now and then to make everybody feel bad goes like this. I imagine in a magical world, so this is not actually possible, but imagine it work. If somebody could tell you the real story, like all the bad stuff, behind the scenes of every major,
if the city and political party in the united states, so you knew what really happened like why why decisions were made and where the money came from and who's getting paid and who's, corrupt him and all the schemes that have tried before and all the fake news, random suppose you are taught that and he knew all the bad history as well as what's happened recently. He knew all the bad things about every part of our government.
and every politician, except to just be one exception. The only thing you wouldn't know anything about more than you already know is about our election systems, so you would be taught the full level of deep corruption in every one of our other systems, but you would learn nothing about our election system. Why would you assume about the election system? Pretty good, look
good. Well, that's pretty much the situation there were in right now
No, we don't magically know about
All of our other systems,
we know. One of we know enough to know that are major members of congress who are not just maybe corrupt, to really corrupt. Just the way you thought it right. So while I don't believe that you know, pizza gate was necessarily real there. There are some
and that their bad people doing Epstein island things for real. There really is an Epstein island. I was
real place, so you don't have to know every bad thing that happened with every government entity and every important person to know that anything that can be corrupted hello. Can you finish my sentence and the thing that Kennedy corrupted.
It will be right and there are still people who say, for example, we know that there was no corruption in two thousand and twenty, because there were lots of challenges and none of them at the level that they would change the election. It turns out that there were more successful challenges than you remember if you subtract from the challenges. Kyle bekker did a good thread on this. If you subtract the challenges that were thrown out because of standing- and you can question whether that was even appropriate but standing means the people bringing the suit were not the ones who are specifically damaged by it, I guess- or so so they didn't have the standing to take it or something like that. I mean that's, that's the dumb guy's impression, but of the ones that the courts accepted and said: ok, you're you're the appropriate person to bring it worthy, appropriate.
what to look at it. The pro trump people have won more than they lost. Did you know that? But they were smaller. There were smaller improprieties that they didn't change the whole picture. They were just real things that really happened, which does not by itself doesn't say anything about any larger attempt, except that there are people involved in elections who are willing to do sketchy things, and sometimes things don't add up so
I think it s a laughable to imagine that all of our systems in the country or broken we are completely aware of it. But maybe not the toll depth of how broken their except for election systems are good election systems.
Now, which part of the year which court looked at the alleged two hundred thousand ballots in maricopa mercosur, which wonder that none right so so, can you say for sure.
It's no cheating when there are two two hundred one thousand ballads sitting in the room that are questions. I suspect, if I had to bet on it. I'd bet a bet that whatever is beyond their room, doesn't change anything because the smart bet.
is against every claim, which is different from saying reclaimed was wrong. I'm just say the smart, but is now probably not a crack and probably about, but it doesn't mean there is no crack. It just means bet against that, if you have to
Or else like about the middle east, a little bit,
I would say he s way that the whole mentally situation looks like a murder suicide situation. The only difference as we can't decide who is a murderer. Who is the suicide you think about it?
His is a Hamas, a suicide situation, and you know they're they're, deaf they're, trying to murder israelis, but it's a suicide plan or is the existence of Israel in the middle of all this hate, essentially a suicide thing and Hamas is trying to murder them at the same time. So it just looks like it looks like bite.
Design they couldn't possibly work. I mean it's like somebody created a situation, that's guaranteed to be terrible forever and then everybody said alright. I guess this is the best. We can do this terrible situation that can never be better. It's a murder suicide. You know slow moving, it's like a slow motion, murder suicide anyway and.
I challenge this people to describe describe any scenario in which works out in the long run another.
what's a scenario where Israel finds something like the peace that other countries enjoy or their neighbours not trying to kill him all the time
Who was an area would ever get to that point that send the trends that we say are the population is growing faster in the countries that want to destroy Israel, Israel's geographically in the middle them. So you ve got a growing population of haters you not even if it's only a small population within the larger population that wants to kill all israel is, is still growing. Does a larger population is growing, so whatever percentage they are is growing as well. The children, at least in the the palestinian errors
weird to be weaponized, meaning that they've been taught that is their sacred duty to grow up and kill jews. Now I dunno what percentage of them I dunno, if it's eighty percent or ten percent or two percent, so it's a little unclear if that's universal, but I guess it is. If I had the gas I'd, guess it's closer to universal, not yeah, it's probably one hundred percent, and how do you fix that? If today, all the adults surrendered instead of Hamas didn't work, sorry didn't mean it will put down our guns: you'd have an entire generation which is like half of the entire.
Population, because the young people are about half of all the palestinians who are just replace him and while they were replaced them as adults, the new children would be taught to be the new replacements alone.
So as long as the education system is weapon eyes and children, there are more children every day and then the power of weapons, a weapon that one individual can use, is getting stronger everyday right. One person will build the launch and drowned the does immense steam damage pretty soon, if not
So under that scenario, what is a scenario in which everything works out in the long run? Can you even describe
world. Where that happens, I can't think that they can you the rash to me. It always just looks like buying time. I mean that I think
Israel's going to be there for a while, but how in the world can you how? How am I going to survive in the long run? Let me put it another way. Somebody borrow somebody's example for Israel to survive. It has to be able to successfully repel every attempt to destroy it forever. That would be was survival is destroying every attempt to destroy it, but the people doing the destroying themselves typically get destroyed, but they only have to be right.
once. So the math is really really bad here, Israel can be, you know, destroy the enemies, ninety nine out of one hundred times, but the enemy only has to get it right once and Israel disappears now we're not there yet, but did you see what happened when they all just sort of ram toward israel individually, got it in their motorcycles and their little pair of planes or whatever they were, and it was just a bunch of individuals who are attacking to me. That's always been. The big risk is the wave of individuals. I don't think the big risk is necessarily missiles, although it is a really really big risk. I don't know if the biggest risk is necessarily nuclear
because it's hard to imagine that anybody whose islamic would want erratic irradiated a wholly lip zone- is only land for both sides right so.
I don't really see a nuke, it seems unlikely, but if you're just getting more and more people who are on that capita gun drug the drug, where they can hand you a rifle and say I've got an idea once you run as fast as you can into that hail of gunfire and see how many people you can kill on the other side, don't worry about the arm. Yeah! Don't worry about, I think just wrong and shoot. If you, if you have enough of them, could they not overrun? Basically in the israeli city so
and especially, we saw that the israeli citizens are largely unarmed, so would be the same kind of thing but bigger, so I don't know how to stop them from happening in the future.
And I didn't see anybody who could describe a scenario where it does work. I will say that from the missile category, if the let's say Hezbollah has got two hundred thousand pretty good missiles at this point, which should be enough to take out the entire city
I think that some, but Israel is also working on that. You know laser beam, defense weapon and I can't imagine anything else that would work if that works, because there's no way you're going to shoot a missile to block every incoming missile, because the bad guys will just have a bunch of fake missiles. They will make as many fake missiles as it takes to overwhelm your missile defense. But if your missile defenses lasers, the lasers,
just met my work and take out the missiles quickly user watched. So then there's this fast missile launcher.
Then the bad guys adjust to their. Like okay, we can't get a missile through we'll put her on the back of a motorcycle, and a bunch of us will just make a run at ya. Something like that. Anyway, it's really difficult to imagine where it all goes, but it's I don't know. Let me ask you this,
Is there any parallel in history where there was a little landlocked country surrounded by people with bad intentions, who want to take it over where it lasted in the long run, so Taiwan's lasted awhile, but there's no way that tired taiwan will always be separate from china, poland, yeah. Well, ok, landlocked is relative. Nuclear powered lasers.
That well so apparently kyle bass, was posted either talk to somebody. You said the the big.
terrorist network in the united states
dearborn Michigan,
so the united states is now a bunch of hamas and hezbollah supporters
and quite a few of them and their in dearborn michigan. Now the question is
how how many of his lubbock supporters were. There needs to be in america before america was guaranteed to turn islamic the numbers really small, like ten percent, you think europe is probably over that number right. So europe is above the number where they can survive. I think the survivors, their current form, they would become islamic, so I think great britain, France will probably last last or if you like what is going to turn into you'd like it, I guess, and so to me. It looks like there's. I don't see how that can be reversed, because the thing about islam is it's hard to leave and many of them while they're supporting them. They have a pretty aggressive
opinion about things so watch out for dearborn Michigan. I think maybe the next one hundred years will be about trying to escape war zones because they're going to be everywhere, while the good news is that yesterday is di.
There were three years chief funds launched recently wall, thirteen closed down and less three months there are thirteen years to EU funds are closed and less three months and, as you know, a black rocks, Larry think said: quote: m ashamed of being part of the crop rotation talking about yesterday. So there are big pushers, vs ie, but it became so scandalised that they didn't want to be part of it. Now it's not dad is or three s chief,
was lodged, even though thirteen closed, but I I think you can see the trend looks like he. Sg doesn't have a chance. Well, elon musk, of course, has been dragged into the Gaza situation. I wondered why it took so long, I'm just waiting. It's like okay. How does this will accrue a fan of big anti israel? I dunno that that's a fad. I don't think that's going to change. I believe that the us educational system is anti israel unless you somehow change the entire education system. What's going to happen, so it's the it's, not a trend. If it's being taught to young people, if it's being taught to young people, then it's just education.
As bad is as bad as it is so Israel that cut ties with their starling because
as must said that you would give starling access to
am only the authorized international bodies that were trying to help people in Gaza. So he wasn't going to make it available to all people and certainly not all terrorists, but he was going to make it available to the the
People by Israel did like that cause quite reasonably they're, not sure. If the aid people will be the only ones who got it so that Israel is basically just closed and everything.
And make it hard in there there's a new technology for tunnels. I knew there would be a new technology for tunnels. Did I tell you that? Does anybody remember me? Maybe I only set it on the locals. Only livestream, I said that you would find out the israel had the best. You know tunnel.
Killing technology- and I guess they have been trading with one of these technologies called sponge bombs, not spongebob spongebob is actually lives under the sea in a giant pineapple, almost useless against tunnels are so not a sponge bob. The sponge.
bomb. So apparently it's two different chemicals. You throw this sponge bomb down the tunnel when it explodes it expands into this big sponge thing that hardens and
acetone now you say to yourself: why do you lie that? You could just you know, bulldoze the tunnel or something while you would use it if you're in the tunnel trying to clear
so, let's, let's say you're you're in a tunnel and there's more than one way, and suddenly you hear the bad guys coming down in one of the tunnel things, but you, you still have another tunnel that you could escape to. You, can block their tunnel and still do
work. So as you hear the bad guys coming down this totally throw the bomb down block it, and then you just keep keep working down the rest of the tunnels, cause it's pretty bad, pretty bad stuff. I guess a couple of his israeli soldiers were actually blinded just just doing exercise with it recently,
it's dangerous stuff, but it's one of the options. Alright, here's the most interesting thing and a. I think it was the last prime minister
Israel has a very long whose name is now tele bennet he
Printed, a very long explanation of what the strategy is or should be for the so Israel
The attack on Gaza, now I use suggesting, is a slow squeeze the siege
so, instead of going in hard, he sang squeeze it and siege it.
In Egypt. So I'm going to read the chat g p t for summarization of what the last prime minister said of Israel. So just see if it sounds familiar, maybe have heard some of this before, but here's the idea. So this is Chad. Gb T did a not just a translation, but also
some relation. So these are not his exact words, so the siege plan would be to suffocate the hamas operators in the tunnels. So as they can turn off the power, the tunnels become almost impossible to stay, and so you have an air problem, and,
hence problems. So if they go and hard biologists really surprised attic instead of entering deepened to Gaza, the plans Jes impose
complete siege on northern gaza, for
The boss operatives to leave their tunnels right. So the first part is you: don't have to go down the tunnels. The tunnels are already a prism. Do you think that even one day and that tunnel is a good day, I don't think you're emanated good
is down there for the rest of the time so basically they're already captured. Why would you lose any more soldiers to capture somebody who's already captured they're already in the tunnel there during the worst place you could be in the world? There's no place, I would less rather be than in a tunnel of Gaza, so you say: leave them there, yeah the they ask about eventually or just either. I guess security strip establishing a two kilometer deep permanent security strip along the border, and so they would clear that out with firepower and I'm not sure the exact purpose of it, and we, if Israel wanted to take the nuclear option with the usb incentivized to take them out before they can do it. Are you really asking me if the united states would nuke israel to stop Israel from nuking? Somebody else is that really what you're asking the answer would be? No, we will not
nuke Israel to stop them from doing anything, so the security step strip. I don't know the its purpose, but I had, I suggested one point that they make us security strip that would allow anybody use a civilian one.
To get out. They'd have a chance right, so at least there'll be someplace. They could run to it's like, oh, if I can get to the security strip, you know, maybe I can run to the other side. I dunno, if it's only for that or if it's just for transportation, but they need that security strip is probably also so that they can move their assets.
They wanted want to quickly continuous firepower, so they will just keep pounding things
you boning and then here's
export there would I
Late neighborhoods, without having to clear every town, so essentially they find a neighborhood. That's easy to conquer, with relatively low losses,
and they will just conquer it, and then they would look for and other low hanging fruit. Then they conquer that they were basically just shrink shrink the battlefield, good idea, yeah just do it slowly,
slow squeeze and he actually uses the word squeeze. I think in an article about it. So a siege squeeze.
humanitarian corridors are actually that was exactly what I'm talking about. So
give them a corridor so that they can get water and food, food and medicine to the locals and then evacuate them.
A little over time also
as you able just keep evacuating people. If you don't do the big push you also get to keep negotiating for for the release of the hostages, you get that.
It says a strategic patience utilizing time as an advantage and who told you that time was on Israel's side. Now they do have the issue that they got too many mobilized soldiers that are out of the economy. They gotta get him back, but if you don't do the hard full push you don't also don't need your full military. They just take the
I see egypt and squeeze it minimizing collateral damage. Of course, that's going to be good for public opinion, as well as everything else, and they say this would well the ex prime minister says, surprise and deception, so the plan is to catch them off guard because they sort of expected a full on attack. So if you just don't give them the full on attack,
they may not be as we prepare for the siege impression shift transportable pressure from Israel. The moss changes, the power dynamic. It does right. If you do this slow squeeze. There's no question is and who is in control from that point on
So this would force the moss leadership to choose between disarming or facing a historical disaster. Basically a slow motion, death to all the hamas fighters or disarming unjust, rendering surrendering. I soon will take death back
see, and I liked this part reduced likelihood of hezbollah are getting involved. So if Israel did, you know a big, brutal, bloody, you had an attack that would be a trigger that would make it easy for the other israel hate against these to get involved. It's like, oh, you went too far too far, but if you use the technique that I always tell you, my mother taught me that
can get used to anything, if you simply keep squeezing the news on a tuesday sounds exactly like. The news on Monday is hard for the other
I do believe say: oh you went too far cause today is just like Monday. You blew up a few buildings, you squeezed it a little bit more. We don't really have a trigger to go, is sort of like it turned into just background noise, so if they can do that, they can keep other people in the fight. Pretty good
strategy line? The return of these is really hostages with the end of a superior and the law.
They hold the hostages. While the siege is going on the less power they have compliance with international law so that they can make sure that Israel is doing the thing that would look the most humane but also might be the most effective so that serve a tougher you'd want to be the most effective, but usually that means the most the most casualties. But this is a strategy that the most effective and the least strategies at least the least casualties. Now that assumes that there are some points where the civilians can mostly be so now you are released from the battle.
well if they can never be released. It ends the same everybody's dead, but you know much better chance under international law, especially to get them out this way. So basically, they want to strategically weaken and isolate Hamas
keeps them alive as their symbol of hate I mean actually keeping Hamas alive for a little bit might not be bad. You know make sure that we don't forget them if a mosque got beaten in a week. A month later, we wouldn't remember but making us thinking about them for three years to five years.
Well, that's an interesting strategy, so this player has the right psychology, international law, military effect of this gets some of their workers back to the regular day jobs and would be, I think, completely effective. So does that does that the plan sounds familiar sound like a plan that you'd heard from anybody before doing the slows? Please siege, right, Jim Davis. He talks about this all the time. Alright, it's old news is it's old news that there's nothing. I've ever talked about my life or somebody didn't say two things, one, it's impossible! It's a bad idea to it's already being done. I always hear both of those legs already been done and it's impossible. Alright,
Culture, two thousand, ah, I just saw the best military idea. I've ever seen.
Require all the people in Gaza to give vaccinations and let s just that's just messed up ass messed up
Alright, ladies and gentlemen- and those are my comments for today- is there anything I missed. Anybody else want to ask a question. We talked about starlink in Israel. Yeah I mean I, I'm not sure it makes that much difference,
whether starlink is there. If it's only authorized for the aid people, I dunno how it can be that bad, but anyway, Israel, Israel has to be sort of absoluteness at this. At the point
would give you a maui update, maui update,
update, unfortunately doesn't have any that behind the scenes stuff but the locals. Let me say this from how the locals are begging for people to come visit. Why, from the places that were
acted beggin now I don't know how hard it is to get a place, but for the poorest
the island. There were not affected by the fire. There are. Restaurants, are the hotels or looking for business. I think, and but I'll give you one warning,
Some of the the there are a lot of locals who are still put up in hotels, so you could end up at a facility. That's got a lot of locals in it as well as guess, if that matters to you might be, might be a little different vibe to it. But hawaii's open maui is open for business, just not the line apart. So there's there's tons of parts that were not directly affected, and let me put it this way. The locals are mostly back to work. The server
the hotel service people, but they're not getting tips. The reason they're not getting tips as cars are they're handling a lot of locals because the locals are there, but also there just aren't enough guests. So the the employees in the service industry are just getting killed, cause they're, they're they're getting base pay. If you knew a base pay for a server or bartender is you know how dire that is? Base pay is like below. A minimum bullet is way below is way below minimum because they assume that there are tips. So it's a dire situation, employment, wise. So if anybody was thinking of going, if you had any consideration of going, there you'd be doing a solid service to the people in maui, so I would encourage you to take a look at it and what is the baldy take on dean phillips? Well, I appreciate your your
description eventually the bolder you take, but I do accept that I do accept that the whole phillips thing running for president against Joe biden- I don't know what he expects to accomplish, and I don't say I would see how he could ever win the nomination. But there is, there is definitely need for a backup, the the odds of Biden, getting the nomination and then failing physically before the election itself is really high.
really I? So if the? If the democrats to have at least one normal person, just sort
Sitting there hanging out was not Kamel Harris. There are a lot of trouble because I think their odds are not looking good right now, so it makes perfect sense as a backup plan. He doesn't have any chance if, if Biden's reasonably healthy and what was the other question about a pen, strep upto yeah mike pence, you know what I
so thought about. When I heard that my pence drop down, I was suddenly reminded I am my pencil running for president.
I dunno who's going to get his half of one percent support. Who knows who knows, but that was, I think, a few more will drop out pretty soon yeah the the people who are sub two percent probably need to
Do something else am I related to John Adams, the president, I'm not a descendant of, but we we probably meet in england. At some point, I assume I assume all the adamses are related in england if you go back far enough, but I'm not sure so, let's see I might
as out who's your who's, your least trusted candidate. Now, how do you feel about nikki haley? Does she feel like a military industrial, complex choice, or is she just good at what she does
I'm not repeat that word. You just used alright rhinos ass. She I think that can help
creates? A lot of she has a trump like approach in the sense that people when people are angry, they're really angry at her. Have you noticed that when I look at mike pence, I say well wouldn't be my choice for president, but I don't hate him. I know Adam, but I think people have these really vicious feelings about nikki haley, for a variety of reasons. I guess.
Don't know what that's all about wheelbarrows, one, oh and then there was a weird video
Rhonda santos and some campaign events. He was walking across the stage and apparently his boots were so large that, like half half of the boot was bending as he walked, so people were laughing that his his boots were twice the size it used to be. I dunno, if that was just fun, krispy kreme christie, alright, did Dave, get fired, no davis, still there
Roma come here. I will I like that most of the vehicle tax are fake news. There should tell you something about something
Like almost all of the vague ones are just fake news, I don't think any of Israel. Actually, I think actually one hundred percent of it is fake news, but people like to fake news yeah when I, when I said the santas, my first thought was the same as pants.
I just forgot he was running. When was the last time you saw a just scientists like campaign news of it like. Why is he still running? Doesn't? Is he just there in case trump goes to jail or something happens? You see the backup plan, vegas, big pharma, why? Why would you save of acres big pharma because he had a from a company that doesn't have any more, but do do you think he is going to go, be a ceo of big pharma? He is not going to take a job. How? How is he connected to big pharma? You might want to look into that a little bit.
The what's that oh people on twitter are claiming that yahoo controls Hamas. Well, that's just dumb that I saw ian bremmer bremmer who's well connected in the sense that he understands the entire field, and he had a quote that I'm going. To paraphrase it, but it sounded like Netanyahu had said in two thousand and nineteen that the best way to thwart the palestinians was to support Hamas. Something like that. It was like a cynical plan to support hamas because it was really a plan to make the palestinians look bad. What's the problem with that? Who has a problem with that? What would it be? Isn't that just like the most obvious statement in the world? So there was this one time that Netanyahu said something that was one hundred percent obvious and everybody thought
im saying and so he's a bad guy, because he thought exactly what you think. What's what's the argument exactly? Is it not completely obviously true that supporting hamas for the last several years was guaranteed guaranteed to make gaza? You know poor and terrible and not really a threat least in a big military sense, but in terrorists
yes: now, I'm not even sure I was wrong play now. Obviously,.
Yeah, you could argue a well supporting them created this this october, seven thing, but I feel like it would have happened anyway. What was there something that Israel could have done differently that would have made the october seventh not happen,
I don't think so. So if Netanyahu is sort of
beverly in a three dimensional. Just gonna way say the worst linked for the palestinians in terms of their aggression against Israel is to support the worst leaders, because that would mean
an effective. You know the worst thing that could happen to israel in my bed in Gaza being super prosperous. The worst thing that could happen was Gaza being progress or the panel
the news in general being prosperous because the more money their enemies have, the more of it is going to get funneled to the percentage of them? That would want to be violent, so, unfortunately, keeping the palestinians in a relatively low economic situation is probably the only way that Israel can survive. I'm not saying it's, you know moral or good or bad. It might be just the only thing and if there's only one way to survive it's hard to criticize it. The Gaza experiment is over, while Gaza will never be an independent state. Again, I feel, like I feel, like Gaza will just be a
some kind of special zone of some sort. It you know in the short run, it won't be part of israel, but it'll never be some self governed palestinian state. I would say that the two state solution is absurd. At this point, would you agree? Is there anybody thinks a two state solution could ever work? I would see it. Here's everything you need to know about a two state solution: you're ready, there's one variable you need to know about a two state solution are lots of variables involved. There's only one that matters, the palestinians weaponized their own children, there's nothing else to say once they've weaponized their children, you can't help them and you can't let them prosper because their weapons they're literally weapons, so they may be. Children they're, definitely children, but they are also weapons. And if you treat them like children, you die if you treat them like weapons, that's not good for them, but that it is what it is so yeah. The the the last thing you'd want is a big oil, rich country. Next to you that also wants to destroy you more than they want anything in life. That you'd be a worse situation
I am actually wondering if Gaza will ever be re populated, because here's what it looks like it looks like the idea is to get rid of every building, at least in the bad part, gaza once or no buildings there. What's anybody here we go home to them
you say we're going to announce this big rebuilding program, but Israel will not fund it cause. You know we're not happy with you, but the rest of the world can rest of the world can fund it and then Gaza will be rebuilt. But since Israel controls the security- and I think always will Israel can say you absolutely can fund and rebuild Gaza here are all the obstacles which you must pass number one. The ownership of the building has to be approved by us.
So we make sure it's not a hamas supporter and then they can't fight it buddy they go okay, we're still looking for somebody who, Israel will say is not a Hamas supporter and then they can own this building and they can build back but they're thinking of either way. So I think that Israel will use a dilbert approach to keep Gaza undeveloped. There there'll be a planned development, there'll be money to develop them, but nobody will get building approval because they can't pass the test them not being terrorists. And why would why would Israel allow even one building to be rebuilt in Gaza if somebody that was their enemy was going to be the rebuilder or the owner or even the tenant? And so I think what they'll do is: keep them in permanent camps,
I think that they'll make the expense of those camps somebody else's problem as in if the international community doesn't want to feed them too bad? Why is that our problem? So I think Israel wants to have a permanent situation that says that's where Hamas boucher see these camps, where you're living in misery. That was some us know. Of course, half of the world is going to say no, that was Israel, but Israel's got a strong argument there that there would be no camps if there were no moss. Alright anything else
israel's withdrawal in two thousand and five was an obvious mistake. Why why? Why was Israel's withdrawal from Gaza mistake? If you think this was not going to happen, I mean they last what fifteen? What what's the death count? Fifteen one hundred, how many? What did they have lost? I dunno they might have lost people a different way. I do think that sometimes you have to make things worse before you can make them better if what Netanyahu is doing was allowing Hamas to show the rest of the world, what Netanyahu and
The leaders already knew that it's not just a difference of opinion that one group is just murderers. They want to kill you all. The only way that the world could understand. What Hamas was really understand is to let it happen now. You can say therefore you're a terrible leader if you created a situation where you knew this would happen to which I say compared to what compared to what should they, let you know Hamas e building is getting stronger or until the attack would be successful. I hate to say it, but what happened was the best case scenario. You hold that in you had to try to digest that thought that the hamas attack on Israel as horrible as it was
one of the most like shockingly horrible things in your entire lifetime was the best case scenario, because it was the only thing that authorized them to take care of a problem that had to be taken care of. There was no. There was no long term. There was no way that Gaza could just build up a unfriendly powers and just keep getting stronger. That wasn't going to happen.
So what do you look at that? I think the problem that we all have looking at the middle east is that we fantasize that there is a nonviolent solution. That's pure fantasy. There are no nonviolent solutions: you're choosing among horrible alternatives, horrible alternatives, and if you would argue to me that even as bad as the attack was it puts israel in a much stronger position, because now they can finally do what they are they've needed to do all along, but they didn't have the trigger for it. So so, if you tell me that, oh that netanyahu-
he created a situation where I would get worse. Maybe he fucking dead and maybe he's the best later that I've ever had.
can't rule them now, by the way I dunno, if it was a good idea or a bad idea, I'm just putting out the general idea that you don't know either you don't know, you don't know that making it worse wasn't the best thing they could do, because there are other alternatives. Was you know, maybe half the country disappearing or something yeah, the the the depth of how bad it could have been is unfathomable. I mean it's full on holocaust. What they had was an absurdly horrendous terrorist attack that you know affected the entire nation with ptsd and might have been better than the next best scenario, unless you're fantasizing that everybody just decided to be nice all of a sudden, because the alternative is moss would have gotten stronger before they eventually attacked again might have had missiles. Might
Better drones, my dad god knows what so, and this premise agrees with some intelligence. Endless I listen to oh well, that's good. Have you noticed the ability to simply beat the experts just because you watch the news a little bit? If you see that many times that can be done, how many times can the experts be beaten just by somebody who was paying attention to the news? No expertise yet, but there are some general principles that just apply to every situation. So if you're aware of general principles about how human beings
quickly work. You can bring that almost any situation and the one that I always bring. Is you forgot to look at the alternative? How many times do I say that
I say it over and over and over on all situations, and this is another one-
your analysis of Netanyahu was, he did a thing that intentionally created these situation. Were hamas would do this horrible tat? You might be right. You may
right now now argue that there wasn't. The best case began no way to know, but I'll tell you one,
and if I'm, in a situation where I have an unsolvable problem, what's the first thing I'd do. If I have an unsolvable problem, what do I do? Shake the box shake the boxes orange again. You have to create a different situation and the different situation might be chaos you might need.
ass to get to the better situation. So we don't know what would have happened if Netanyahu had had a different strategy, but I'll tell you it wouldn't have been crazy if his strategy- and I dunno- if it was really it- Wouldn'T- have been crazy to invite some amount of danger to avoid some far far bigger amount of danger. That's all all right! So that's all I'm going to give you for today youtube thanks for joining. You are very awesome today by the way I do appreciate the the the super chat questions, but there were reasonable questions, not normally the superjet questions or maybe a little off topic and stuff, but those are perfect. Those are good questions. I appreciate them, thank you guys and all guys and ladies and binaries non binaries to buy for now
Transcript generated on 2023-10-30.