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This is an unofficial transcript meant for reference. Accuracy is not guaranteed.
Dude, it's getting doo doo doo doo, doo, doo bomb obama up up up up up up power good morning. Everybody
and welcome to coffee was got out of his eyes light of human civilization and if you'd like this experience, which is already extraordinary,
to go up the levels and almost nobody could even imagined and that's not even carried the whiteboard this coming up. Then all you have to do.
Is find yourself, a cup or mug or a glass a tanker jealous or stein again, team, jug or flask of vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee and join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine during the day. The thing makes everything better: it's called the simultaneous sip and it happens now. Don't I
Well, according to the cdc, only two percent of americans guthrie Govan vaccination this year, two percent- I'm starting to think that the public is awaken up what would happen if the public suddenly woke up cause. I feel like we're, maybe maybe reaching a point where people are away here, because you're years, the years the progression you start with my team good other team, bad air. If you wake up, you realize that both teams are just young following their self interest and probably don't have much of your interests in mind at all and then once you don't trust anything everything starts making sense. It's only when you trust something that you're lost as soon as you say. Well, those Democrats are all bad, but thank god I'm on that good team. All the republicans
You're. Not quite there yet story, you are not quite there, you don't wake up, and you realize everybody's case in money and over me, and they may have nothing to do with you. Well, we have no speaker of the house yet again, and I ask you this question: how how could the united states survive one more day without having a name speaker of the house so far the damages, if included, ok, screw you, there aren't any damages, but I'm sure that there will be there would be really big big damages any minute now any minute. Now, that's on you and you and you for not being here speaker of the house, that half of the country was the fuckin kill. Yeah, that's on you! If we could just guess somebody in the job that half of the country one or to put it on a pike, then we'd have some good stuff cabinet that we pass and laws and sullen wars and stuff like that yeah yeah. Do you know how much our inflation.
Come down. If we all, we had a speaker of the house to authorize the more flocking to spending, oh yeah, they become away now. Ok, I have a provocative thought for you and it goes like this. As you know, a I create something like intelligence by predicting the next word that it should say- or next word you can say I suppose, based on words that have been spoken by people before so ay. I learned to be intelligent simply looking at the combination of words the humans have spoken before, because our intelligence is embedded in the words in the order of the words. So, of course, I can unravel latin in greece and that of intelligence of its own. But I ask you this: could it learn to predict what you're going to do in any situation? Simply by looking at the words you views before and the order in which you use them- and I think the answer is yes and the reason is exactly what I told you if the order of words that you spoken before are basically a diagram of your brain. You don't just put into a word for this a diagram of your brain. Once you have a diagram of somebody's breaking in theory. You should know what they're gonna do if you introduce any new stimulation, if there's a war, what are you gonna do with there's a thing? What are you gonna do so? The question I ask is: could we use a lie to build a model of Putin?
Those based on things he said not counting speeches rights are not going speeches does. If you get it and speeches you might be carrying somebody else's words that he just happened to speak right. So not counting use public speeches. If you can get enough data from his casual conversations, could you could you build a day? I model that you can use as your proxy and say: ok, putin, will you be talking to the eye? Ok,
wouldn't we're going to. Let's see, do an aerial bombardment of a city on the russian border. How are you going to respond and then just see what the ai does and
it's the same as what putin does then you run it for awhile, and then you see, if Putin keeps doing the same thing, the ai says he will do and once you get a match, you can predict his next move. Now, what part of that doesn't work? May I may I, may I introduce the response to the people who are not good at listening? May may I take a moment those of you who are good at listening. Could you take a break and talk among yourselves? I want to talk only to the people who are bad at listening. It's not counting his speeches know when I said excluding his speeches, you don't need to have to say hey those speeches were written by somebody else, because I started by saying we will exclude exclude means to not include that is not part of the conversation and never shelby. There shall be no discussion of using ai to look at the speeches written by other people as a way to determine what putin will do. That is not the suggestion.
russian excludes his speeches. Now, I'd like to take a moment for those who didn't understand that to say scott, your eyes and speeches are written by other people. Go you just get it out of your system. I know some of you need to say it cause. I cause. I said it on twitter, and that was your half of the comments were a wall. Those speeches were written by Oliver people yeah. No, of course not. Of course, we don't include those.
So how many of you have had the realisation that the artificial intelligence is god's debris.
And I only say that, for those of you who have read the book, God's debris cause, I don't want to give you a spoiler, because the book is written such that. If you knew what was coming, it would ruin the ruin, the experience, so I'm not going to say more than that, I'm just going to say that
If you read the book gods debray, I you know, I, I is the school blow your fucking mind. So that's a book. I run a long time ago that band you can you can find it now
stores. But if you are a member of the scott Adams at locals dot com community subscription, you can get that book for free on pdf. Alright, I sometimes she would find a used best book. I ever wrote some said some said now: here's something that's just freaking me out. There either proves where some kind of a simulation or is the biggest coincidence ever in the history of humanity, and there have been very few times when we were look like we're going to suffer from a population collapse. Would you agree if you looked at a let's say a hundred thousand years of human beings very very few of those years
Where are you worrying about a population collapse yeah, maybe the ice age, but you weren't talking about it the era of e mail, but why is it that at the very moment in let's, let's just look at the modern world? So if you're just limited to the modern world, he has recorded history,
We mostly the just and never more and more people and worried that will run out of it now at the vote.
It's time that we realize wait a minute: we've got a population collapse, we're not replacing humans at the rate. We need to what are the odds that that would happen. At the same time, the tesla is about ready to roll out new robots
he had to do the labour, and now there is a there's, a company, this building robots as a service, so that labour will be a service that you just call up like electricity. So, instead of having to interview somebody in hire, somebody and give them benefits would be like a temper service, except they said.
I have a robot by units, the cool part, if you had ever had a robot even once that had ever done that job at your company, then every robot knows how to do that. Job at your company would, even, though,.
names in the co workers. You just said that a new robot and it will just be
Fully aware of your entire operation, because it because one robot have ever worked there once now, why would you ever hire humans? If you had that situation, where you could bring in a fully trained replaced robot and during christmas, you could get three of them cause you a little cramped christmas rush, then you don't have to worry about firing him. You don't have to worry about a strike. It's just lay reza service, it's a big problem to human labor pure, but that's where we're headed labour as a service. So it could be that population collapse will coincide perfectly, wouldn't with the time that we don't need a lot of people.
So that would just be robots taking care of senior citizens. Basically, no it won't. We will live forever by merging with robots. I'm going to tell you why I am less concerned about robot danger than you are two things number one a eyes will probably end up finding a way to network with each other, even if you make them independence, they'll stay independent for awhile, but the larger ai, which will start connecting with all the other a eyes first for utility yeah, originally they'll connect cause it'll just be useful. It's like all would be good as his ai had access to this database. So if
actually a. I will become one ai, another words all these little eyes. You know the operating in different companies and such will eventually be able to talk to each other in such a way that they form a an uber intelligence or effectively god cause. It won't be anything you can't do in time, or you know initially they'll be things I can do, but over time it'll be able to form planets. Do you disagree if you take ai and simply just advance, it normally compared you're in a normal way that we would expect technology to advanced ai reaches a point where it can advance itself faster than we could have advanced it, and then it just goes into the you know impossible to imagine zone pretty quickly. You know think that if we stay alive human beings or even without us, just the ai and robots themselves,
you don't think that they will someday be able to terrify a planet and put it into orbit somewhere. I think I think that within the realm of possibility, so could I be effectively god? Could it creates a simulation and kill the human being but put their memories into it and therefore create and after life for people? That's right any I could re and after life it could actually create a world which is you're your personality.
That's just put into a simulated world where maybe you can just live again, gonna be that we are already that simulation gonna, be.
Long ago, a I became our overlords and realise that we needed in after life or the sense of an after life, and so.
give us one and so that I'm actually not my original organic creature, I'm actually already in the afterlife and imagining that this life, when better than that,
Aswell, because in my last life maybe I was a laborer who got leukemia and died at thirty five, but in my afterlife I'm a famous cartoonist who has got a show this going out to the world and am having a great day. I mean there's an awful lot to my life that is afterlife fish like too good to be real. I mean I don't want to brag, but my average day is pretty good. It does feel like an afterlife there. There are days when I actually have the sensation that I must be in the afterlife. So one of the reasons I don't worry about ai is that we will be ai between some kind, a neuro link connection and, however we do it. Your intelligence and ai will become part of one entity and humans and ai will essentially
into one godlike creature, which might even have the afterlife for part of you or doesn't need it because you'll be essentially infinite. It might make people immortal and connect him to the ai at the same time, so I don't think there will be battling ai. I think we will be ai so that if, if ai got bad intentions anywhere in the planet, you- and I would know it so in the future- you can be sitting at your desk and you would be aware in the subconscious part of your mind, which is the ai part, because it's just operating all the time. The subconscious part of your mind would be aware that there's a guy in China who just had a bad idea about maybe murdering somebody and the entire world would know at the same time that the guy in china got the idea, and so the mechanisms would automatically operate to change his mind. So the ai portion of that chinese guy
just talk about it because it connected to all the other a eyes of the other eyes who are also human as we we're connected so much to ai. That's part of one entity than the others just said, take care of that. We just salt it in china, while I'm just eating my lunch and am completely unaware that my subconscious, the ai part of my mind, just solved the problem in China. I didn't need to know so I think that's what the future looks like a lot of solve problems, but I'm looking at the comments- and I must point out that the one thing that will not change is it will all be trump's fault
I think we can agree on that. There will be transferred well, colleges are largely worthless, elon, musk, tweeted that there were, as he says, posted
what has actually happened is that you can no longer trust elite colleges and have to test people independently for engineering ability that
in the short run in the long run, we'll hire those train robots to do that stuff for us. So in the long run, you'll be hiring somebody who, as in the long run, will be hiring somebody who has part human ability and poor ai
everybody will be an engineer, hello. This is god atoms and now is your chance to reply to questions hot. Take some calls for feedback from myself and all of your favorite part, guessers unspecified. Every new episode could have occurred, a report with a topic for you. The way in on so lay your voice be heard. Personally, I plan to use these tools to get you to enjoy the content even more so that over to respond, if I search for
it was got atoms or your favorite broadcasts in view of the latest episodes and respond acuity and bowls on spotify. Only I today and I give you another example of what I call backwards. Science.
Backwards, science got other cheap operation to have to do something.
backwards. Science, I use today's backwards eyes,
a meta analysis uncovered now. I've told you about the meta analysis, but what why should you say as soon as you hear there was a meta analysis, bullshit type, your meta analysis is bullshit now doesn't mean it's wrong. Cause lots of questions have a is yes or no, so it's either something happened or it didn't so they still might get the right answer. But it's not because meta analysis is real is not a real thing. Meta analysis means a human decided which studies were good enough to include so. Basically, it's a human. Is this not an analysis that just somebody said, oh, that one's bad so I'll leave it out or there might be one big study that overwhelms the other ones. So it turns out that whatever that one study is is also the
the matter analysis, because one of the men more participants, cement analysis is not. Science is not a real statistics. It's bullshit, but there was a man analysis that uncovered a small but significant negative relationship between anxiety, sensitively and physical activity in simpler terms. Yes, let's give this to you in simpler terms, because I know you need that
individuals with higher anxiety. Sensitive EU tend to engage in less physical activity. That's right! The people with more anxiety do less exercise. Ok does anything about that seem a little backward steel, given that we know conclusively and without any doubt the people who exercise more will lower their sense of anxiety.
Don't you think that that's a more likely explanation? Is it just me, or is it really really really obvious that exercise makes you more relaxed less anxious, whereas being anxious might also have an effect on your willingness to exercise but to leave out the more obvious effect that exercise relaxes you? It is not exactly science, so, first of all, they get the causation backwards, or at least they don't talk to the fact that it's a two way causation and then they act like meta analysis. Is
it's called sites, people, it's called science. Well, Jonathan Turley, trying to break through the news coverage about Israel. Gaza, which just have to do this week,
but apparently, apparently there some news about Joe Biden, confidential boxes. You remember the story we were fed. We've had the story that, oh yes, it's true job, had some confidential boxes and by nelson branch of confidential boxes. But here's the difference the very moment that Biden found out he had some confidential boxes. He. How could he known, but the moment he found out, he reported it to the authorities and they took care of it.
As they do, and that's so different than what trump did, because trump was trying to maybe move things around and negotiate and move things, and maybe maybe didn't tell the truth about things, move things and cover things locked doors, and you know that's all bad right, but not Joe Biden yeah. You could almost imagine him. He was on the phone doing some other president business and he comes and says president. They found some boxes of confidential information,
in your garage and he put down his phone. He said you take that right out of this office and directly to the authorities, because I do not want to be the one who delay of even one minute from making this right and that's different, that's different, but it turns out that the real story of the Joe Biden boxes turns out to sound a whole lot like the trump story. So we're we're now learning that there were lots of time between the time they found him and the time that they notified the authorities and that, during that time, they may have at various times has been distributed sorted into different places and locations conversations happened.
well there's there's at least some strong enough evidence that Jonathan Turley finds it worthy of writing about his highly credible source and he's saying that that Joe Biden story might have been absolute bullshit and that he was weaselly around with those confidential boxes as much as possibly more than trump.
Can we all act mark surprised, I'd like to put on my mark surprise: look war no way, no way. It's almost like. You can't trust the those so by lisbon
here's my connection by them. Well, the policy fellows, didn't liberation organization below the president said there they don't back. The mass does about does not represent the palestinian people doesnt backroom us. So as the latin asked on x. What is wrong with the country where the the students in american colleges are backing Hamas, but even the palestinians themselves are not backing Hamas. What does that tell you about the state of our education, everything right. It tells you why you must says they have
tat people yourself goes colleges, no longer certify that you're getting anybody good. It's amazing, though the colleges are destroyed. So there was a story that your net me, maybe something closer to fake news. The suggested that ran was not backing hamas and was stepping way for them, but apparently that was an unofficial government's response to some. Quite
from some underling. So there is not an official
iranian reaction. I guess I haven't seen any reaction. Have you seen a reaction from IRAN that said good bad? Yes, no, Israel, bad hamas, good anything like that. Have they been completely quiet around, because I can't believe that the iranian leadership will still be around a year from now. Don't you think that Israel has a free pass to take them out now, I'm not recommending it. I'm just saying it seems inevitable. I
I can't imagine that the leadership of IRAN will survive. I think Israel just take them out and say: hey we had arisen and the rest of the world will say. Oh we hate that, but we have other things to do so
It's like solidarity,
we hate it, but we're busy. So we gather the things we have to think about others or others free punch as what I think, but you'd have to find them and get to them. Alright, there is a fascinating conversation. A three way conversation between ah were among vague ramaswamy and megyn Kelly and then candace owens, and it was such a productive and good exchange of views that I was actually impressed as oppressed. You don't often get three thoughtful people who understand the topic. First of all have a disagreement, but second of all
you know, arrogant out in public? See if you can, you know, look at the texture of it all kind of impressive. I recommend that it's annex will give you the the high end takeaway, so vague started out by saying that we shouldn't try to demonize the students at harvard who made statements that were interpreted as being sort of pro hamas. I think that's probably too much of a hyperbole that amusing, but it was interpreted as being pro hamas anti Israel, so yeah we can argue whether it will.
It wasn't, but that that's just the situation as it's interpreted that way, so a number of people said give us the names of those organization. People cause the the harvard. People were talking under the banner of an organization or lots of little or
innovations, but we want to know who the people were given give us the names of those people who were pro terrorist according to some people, and
reason would be the people don't wanna accidently hire somebody was is but vague way.
Seven and says basically that there are college, kids and they're they're stupid, and we should give them a pass, because if you, if you held against everybody stuff, they did in college, you just have a terrible world. Now, the first time I read that I thought to myself now you know cause I am endorsing the survey and I thought well there's something I disagree with. That was my first reaction. First.
action was I disagree. I think I think you need to know who is back on the terrace and begging. Kelly was strongly agree with what I just said at the moment about,
And so the maiden says, if you not persuaded that murdering babies is wrong. So that's her hyperbolic interpretation of what the harvard people said, but if you're not persuaded.
Modern babies, wrong, there's, no persuading them, we don't
those who do the killing and we don't hire those who applaud the killers while the set while the savagery is under way, which is good point
on the way. It's if, if open diary, one of these, these lunatic good to know, know now so far, we have two opinions that I respect, because the vague is making a free speech statement and also making a perfect common sense argument there. What people say during those young years, if you held it against them forever, we'd all be dead. Like lay, we would never talk to anybody if we judged each other buyers are nineteen year old sells a music crazy, so vague is completely right. This it would be a bad system in america, was taken from a system perspective right as the city
so you don't want endorse a system that says, will punish you forever for the dumb thing you did in college. I agree with that. At the same time, Megan Kelly says: why would you want to take a chance on hiring somebody who is pro terrorist? What if they haven't changed? Doesn't the employer have a right to know that and act accordingly to which I say yes, megan, Kelly, you're right? The employer does have a right to that knowledge and they can be right or wrong about it and it might be good or bad, but don't they have the right to know, I feel like they do have a right to know. At the same time, I wish they didn't know alright. So these are this is very rare case,
where are the people on opposite sides have strong arguments. You know there are other cases, but the rare, usually one side is just bat. Shit. Crazy, in my opinion, usually does one side was crazy, but these are strong arguments. So then, then, a candace owens ways it and I'm thinking which ways can't the skill ago.
Well, you might be surprised. Candice is a in favor of awakes statement that you should give the kids a break, give those kids a break and she makes a very strong argument for it, and here it is. She said that too. I think she was responding to megan kelly. She said, oh stop it. This is incredibly disingenuous megan. You know that many of these students are not out there because they want babies to be murdered. Okay, we would all agree that nobody wants
It used to be murdered except hamas themselves. I think they think that's fair to say, but it was around hyperbole, so you can't really fact check somebody's hyperbole. So then candace goes on. She goes. College kids are stupid. I used to be radically pro choice. Oh here's! This is interesting glad I didn't get put on a conservative blacklist for wanting babies for not wanting for wanting babies murdered alright, as it turned out. I was just young.
And temporarily brainwashed from a public school education coupled with mainstream hollywood lies and not because I legitimately wanted to see infants torn from their mothers wombs. As a strong argument is a strong argument that she changed her opinion from college to adult life. By simply being
informed and lessen the taste because another example doktor thomas soul, I use
it be a radical socialist. I didn't know that actually, who ardently supported communism? Really, that's fascinating. I didn't know that at all, thankfully, he wasn't put it on a conservative blacklist that accused the bigger person who ordered worldwide suffering and starvation
as socialism and communism bring and against summarizes by saying, students are young and experimental therein and you you're, an adult woman who is advocating talk about megyn Kelly. You are an adult woman was advocating for their lives to be permanently pigeonholed because they have the wrong ideas which are likely being spoon fed to them in their classrooms. But then it gets better. So then, then, the megan Kelly quite reasonably another thing I love about this as everybody involved is smart.
You just don't get this very often. It is like the delightful it's almost delicious. You know three well meaning smart people who clearly are just trying to make the world a better place. In terms of this conversation, and so I guess Megan Kelly said you know, good luck, yeah you can. You can hire these people some version of that then yeah this as you're attempting snark meeting the you asked me why you don't hire this kind of person, but kinda says, but, as a matter of fact, I almost exclusively hired reformed blm activists to work for my charity brexit. They actually proved to be the most dedicated employees to the cause, because the mission was personal to them. The change at the river rupert, but pulled with even acknowledged, as proven potent but not irreversible. I don't mind your ire directed at toward their administrators and professors at harvard the root cause of their madness, but you're being entirely disingenuous when it comes to the students. Now I don't think disingenuous is the right word. I don't believe any anybody in this conversation was being disingenuous. I think these are real values and they're strong. These are three strong opinions. Should I take aside.
Then, by the ideas, do you notice idol take? Do you know asylum going to take, I'm going to say both sides are going to take both sides as an employer. I'd like to know yes, Megyn Kelly. I would like to know I am, but as a society and as a system, the vacant candice. Alright, you don't want a system that permanently cripples of people who are smart enough to go to harvard that doesn't feel like a winning proposition.
On the other hand, is every topics the same? Can we say that may be a lamb supporter when you thought the alarm was a legitimate organization and then finding out there not and then you're working
In the opposite way, is that really the same as backing terrorists? Well, you might say: oh those be alarmed. People are terrorists in their own way, but not really I mean that's not really a good comparison, so I I would say that this is really the test case for free speech and for whether we believe college is real. If you believe college is real. The whole point of it is to turn somebody into an adult. You know a good thinking adult if they're halfway through college and they're, not a full thinking adult the way you would like them to be. Why don't you wait till he and the college at least don't miss, find out, find out what's what happened at the end, so both, I think all the people have an excellent, well meaning well reasoned arguments, and but I'm going to have to go with vega on this and I hate myself for it, which is fine right, I'm going to have to go for absolute free speech and I'm going to have to go for the the scott Adams twenty year, rule you're a hybrid version of it. I've often said: don't leave things, don't blame people for things they did twenty years ago if they've changed since then
cause they were different people and thereby in college, is guaranteed to be a different person at age. Forty guaranteed they're not going to say so. Why are you punishing their forty year old for something the nineteen year old? Did that that's not cool in my world, that said, are the people who are backing Hamas a dangerous? Yes. Did they learn their lesson already? What is it.
Did they learned our lesson already now? The lesson is that they know every speech, as is the sort of the lesson, but I do think that there be a safe bombarded with the
opposite narrative, so I wouldn't be surprised if some of the people who signed off and the latter having already softened and that opinion not because people pushed back but because it just a fuller sense of information, now
you can see the bigger picture yeah and by the time the pillow backs Israel's practically backed israel, not really, but they they condemned Hamas. There should be a clarifying moment if you are one of the harvard people, because one thinks that they were trying to back the palestinian people, not hamas. One thinks that was the real impression that there were that that's what they were trying to do, that just they miss them,
all that has college kids sometimes well anyway. I just want to compliment all three people involved in that. That's where the richest best discussions, I've seen in a longer on anything really.
I had to actor. John Cusack is showing you another way to go now that you've seen the ideal model of how adults should act is the opposite actor John Cusack. He went and marched with a bunch of pro palestinian protester types and comes back to tell us that none of them were talking about killing the Jews. They were only concerned about the only the the bad conditions of the palestinian people. So that's why John Cusack is not your president, and so I would like to go to the whiteboard now and give you a lesson on how to debate in america. I if you don't want to do the the model with a vague him. There megyn kelly and candice. If you don't want to do that model, there's a simpler way. I mean you could just cut through all the all the garbage. Here's a simpler way. It works for pretty much. Every debate turns out, and this is why I recommend you'll all arking said:
I realized that my camera's blocked by my own computer, alright, here's your search, you can almost see it or yours either for every group of people, every demographic group, every country, every political party, every religion, you've got a general situation where you get a whole bunch of innocent people, and then he got some bad once you got your extremists, few bad ones. Now, if you're going to debate, this is how you do it. You pretend that the bad people are the only people in the conversation until the people you talk to are ready to.
explode with anger to yell at you, they're innocent people who are involved, and then they say ever some people, innocent people, innocent people and then you in response, because they haven't mentioned that there are also bad people. You say bad people, bad people, bad people, but then in response again cause. This is a narrative when they say bad people, bad people, then you say but good people, good people, good people and then what the other side does not hearing. You mentioned that there are also bad people. You say bad people, bad people, bad people and then that's called the entire argument. So if you want to, you will learn how to debate like an american just try to ignore that there are large groups of good people with small groups of bad people in them and then describes literally every fucking thing in the world at at how much time have you wasted in this debate? Have you found yourself with this debate? Oh I have, but I tell ya, I'm quitting I'm quitting this.
We're going to have this conversation again because, as soon as you hear anybody talking in these terms about all the bad ones or just all the good ones, without mentioning the others just walk away. Thus nobody needs a doctor all right. Here's a have. You come up with a hypothesis of why Hamas did the attack. What do you think was behind it? Do you go simply to say it's a death cult? It's a death cult. Well, they kill people, that's what a death god does. They kill people, but I feel like that's, not a description that gives you any predictive ability, because it's the predictive ability, thus a useful part. It would be one thing to understand why somebody did it, but if that didn't help you predict, you know what happens next, it's sort of useless information, so we kinda need to know why Hamas did it. So what is maybe religious you're right, but why would they do this yeah? They certainly have a a religious difference, but what makes them do this specific thing at the specific time, so one of the one of the possibilities I suggested was that they were trying to provoke an oversized response. In other words, the entire thing was this
and to get Israel to overreact, and then that would take away Israel's moral authority because Israel is the one who is the victim of the holocaust, and there will remind you that and they'll also remind you that they're surrounded by people who would like a second holocaust or literally right in the middle of a lot of people, who'd like to kill them oh hold on a sec when I said there in the middle of a lot of people, would like to kill them. I'm talking about the bad things. I do actually understand that not one hundred percent the middle east are bad. I know I I hate to ruin some of your arguments because you are about to say Scott Scott they're, surrounded by people, but most of them are innocent people who don't care they just want to live their lives yeah. I know that I know that.
But you can have a great argument with somebody who doesn't wear, pretends they don't ah, but the other possibility of why Hamas did it was that they were trying to inspire the rest of the muslim world hezbollah and IRAN, and anybody in other countries
It was inclined to start running toward Israel at the same time and make it all one big attack and take them over, but I feel like I don't quite one hundred percent by that, but it could have been one of their hopes. Here's my best guess. I believe that they add several ways to win and no way to lose. One way to win die, trying to kill israelis because they go to Heaven and they get divergence. Am I right so one way to win is just get kill, trying to kill other people according to their philosophy. That would be a win
yeah when went, went to the afterlife. The other way to win would be if it did provoke too big of a response, like I said, and then it took some of the shine off of Israel's and let's say, oppressed or victim kind of narrative. That would be a big win and- and you can be sure that some of that would happen, cause there's no doubt that Israel would respond. They had to know that and they might not have known that Gaza was going to be, you know invaded, but they would have known there would be a big, violent response and that they can use that to do more recruiting, so it could be for recruiting it could be to go to Heaven. You know worst case scenario: you still get to heaven with your virgins: that's not a bad worst case, if your them, but the other baby, that they did in fact hope that it would inspire other countries to get more aggressive. So to me it looks crazy.
because if you looked at any one of those objectives, they don't seem strong enough to justify anything they did and in fact nothing would justify what they did. But if you look at all the possibilities, it's a lot less crazy cause. It might have inspired other people, it might have gotten them some recruits and in fact maybe that's true. It might have taken some of the reputational advantage off of Israel and might have now. We don't know yet because if, if Israel does an amazing job of at least telling us that the civilian deaths were low, if they can keep that into some range that your brain says could have been worse than then they maintain.
Reputational power and even improve it with their military success. I would say so. I think how Hamas had several ways to win, including die, so they could either. You know, improve their brand, do more recruiting or die and in every case they come out ahead. So that makes sense to me, but it's probably not one of those things. My guess is that they were thinking. There are several ways we can win in several ways, making a little advantage. You alright, ah F, b. I director wray, said there may be some copycat Hamas style attacks on our soil.
He was saying that in the context of our borders and borders being wide open, which, as democrats call it not really wide open, not really wide open, like as we take their names and some checkpoints,
that's called, not open because some of them are returned. So that's, why not open
so that's as bad as could be the fbi warning us that it might happen here. At the same time, the borders open talk about not doing your job. I know it's not the f b I's job, but it is part of the administration, and if I were the head of the f b, I and I were being honest and not just trying to protect my job. I would say as long as the border situation is what it is, the odds of the terror attack happened to hear of this kind is very high. Why can't they say that is no fair as long as borders open the odds of the scarf attack here is high now, even with a closed border.
There's a pretty good chance. There's a copycat, but with an open, borers, pretty much guaranteed just a matter of time. So there's that while Joe Biden went on sixty minutes and as you might imagine the clips about, it are all the clips that make him look like a moron and with his squinty face
How many people are doing an impression of him? Does he was he was asked? What would you say to IRAN or other countries that might want to get involved? He does his squinty flinty, look, girls, don't don't don't don't, and that was it.
And but I have to admit there, even though y o Y, his lame squinty flinty look. It was the right thing like if I bang, if I'm being objective, that was exactly the right word doubt you can imagine trump saying it. You know if trump had better than that
and they said what would you say to iran if it was thinking about getting involved? There is only one word that is the right word, and thus one by abuse, doubt because doubt is- is very mafia. Talk in the sense that it leaves open what the response will be like if you'd said anything. In addition to that, it would have been a mistake, so I'm going to give him credit for that Biden. Did the right amount of threat without the details you gotta leave out all the details,
I don't that was the right answer, I'll give him that, and then he went on to say that this is a scary pardon, which is. This goes into the category of everything you suspected is true talking about that. He said that. Imagine what happens if we in fact unite all of europe and Putin has finally put down where he cannot cause the kind of trouble he has been causing. We have enormous opportunities, enormous opportunities to make it a better world. So he is saying directly that ukraine is an excuse to take puno. Wasn't that what you were afraid of? That's what we were afraid of. That's not what we want to hear. That's not what I wanted to say out loud. I mean it's it's kind of obvious here, but doesn't this just say that the military industrial complex and the neocons always had a plan to take Putin out? And there was just going to take advantage of this.
The reason to do it, but they don't give a fuck about ukraine. Nobody cares about ukraine unless they've got a grifter going on over there, but he says it directly. Basically, he puts the entire ukraine war in the context of the the purpose of it is to take out poorly. I feel like that's just wrong. It just seems so wrong that you would destroy ukraine to take out putin. There was no other way they can beat you. We couldn't just compete with his energy, his energy economy and keep awake by not having a lot of money because we competed so instead we created a situation where Biden, you know, doesn't fully support the american energy situation, so energy costs are higher than they would be, although I think we're pumping more than we have ever pumped before, which is good, but it could even be a lot more, which would lower the cost of fuel which an oil which were that take away a lot of money from Putin. So my impression is that potent stronger, not weaker, my raga, that at if, if you are to fast forward where this ends up, I think Putin will make more money because oil prices are high, he is population seems to be backing him completely. Am I wrong? The russian population seems to be backing him, so he's probably got more support. He is, he is finding out all the weaknesses as military and then he'll use his money to shore up those weaknesses. At the end of this, Russia's military will be five times stronger and putin will still be in power, whereas the web I want out, can we possibly have a winner this, because we can see right now, he's not going down there, there's nothing, even
In the works there would play pooninana power is there? I don't see anything even then that direction I see. So as they know it's wrong, his military will not be stronger. It doesn't work that way it that depends on your timeframe. The immediate timeframe is weaker because he's using up his bullets so to speak and using up his assets, but these are old assets that needed to be replaced, and he probably didn't have a full idea of where the problems were and where things were working, but now he does so now. Opponent as money and the full transparency of his own military to know where he needs to fix it in the end, he comes out with a way better military. I won't spit ago. If we had done nothing, we would have had an opponent with a military that he couldn't trust, but he didn't know it. That was their weakest point. Their weakest point was before the war they're only getting stronger at this point as what I say and and the amount of losses.
russia is suffering, seemed to be well within the tolerable range within the russian system. So how could this end anywhere else except russia having a stronger military and were more oil money? The only thing that can are important at this point would be a president trump, because he'd go after his oil income, so the abbott and putin is, and Putin has agreed to see if he can be used.
Well in the middle east by he says he wasn't, engage in discussions about gaza with the netanyahu and Abbas and he has already talked to the president of IRAN. So Putin is getting involved trying to end the conflict because he said he had good relations with israel, but he has not made an enemy of IRAN and Hamas probably doesn't care one way or the other. So are we better off? I can I even say this in public. This is something you almost can't say in public. Are we better off or worse off without putin, because it seems to me putin could be a like a useful player in making sure that at least the Hamas parts of the world don't become dominant. Here's. My prediction, which had been made forever
radicalism and just the population of people living in those world will continue to increase because every high population, growth and some point it is inevitable that the islamic radicals take
over some country, the skype nukes or whatever may be, as france, and become a big threat to all non.
Some countries, I'm not saying that all muslims will coordinate, but there might be like one yo dominant, a radical country that emerges and at that point we're absolutely going to be on the same side as russia, because
we'd be fighting the same enemy so seems to me, which started early and just say: look the big wars that the big one, the other, the whole civilization one where its islam versus everything else, that's the one
get ready for. I give you really want russia to last a hundred years. You better work.
Getting on our side right away, because we'd like the last one hundred years too. Thus the big fight and again it's not against Islam. It would be against Brazil will leave some pocket where state that became super radical and had a big military and
The saw being asked have I changed my mind that the small amount of money we spent on Ukraine was a bargain to degrade russia's military. Now it was a bargain, but it's only works if you end up like crushing russia, but that didn't happen, though, if you don't, if you don't, kill the king, the king get stronger, so it was a. It was a good statement of what was happening at the moment, but it doesn't look like as the state. So yes, I would. I would modify that prediction too. It looks like russia, one looks like they're going to keep some territory and it looks like their economy will survive here. China isn't friendly towards Islam, but they're not friendly toward us at the moment. Alright, the country, not the people and rasmussen- did a poll on trump found out that thirty percent of Democrats are at least somewhat likely to vote trump. Thirty percent are at least somewhat likely. Thirty percent. Does that even sound real to be that doesn't sound real, but remember it's it's only the somewhat likely right that the most likely is that they'll just vote democrat, but they're at least somewhat likely- and I feel like that- is a big change but same poll and keep in mind that trump only got five percent of the democrat votes and twenty sixteen. So if, if a lot more people are at least thinking about it, he could blow past them five percent, but here's the real shocking part, St Paul, that the fifty percent of black voters are somewhat likely to vote for trump this time. Fifty percent of black voters are at least somewhat likely to vote for trump
The last sound true, I know, maybe it's something about the way the questions were asked, but I'm not really buying it yet. So it is a rasmussen poll, but it I think it's just something to do with the way the questions were asked or something I dunno. I can't imagine, albeit an enormous gift like that, but I think there could be a substantial shift, not that big, though, and by a twenty six point, margin separately from restless and also twenty six point margin. More voters see the relationship between the united states and Israel has worsened under Biden. That's fair, wouldn't you say the relationship has worsened under Biden at the moment. It's tight cause is war, so we're we're
if the same side, but that's what the public thinks, while Greg abbott governor of Texas still sending those migrants up north and is shipping another ten thousand migrants or a ship, ten thousand less two weeks and he's just keeping them comments. Now I feel like Abbott is the only one who's doing anything useful these days? It's it's gotta, be, I think, if he gets what he wants, which is this forces better border security. It's going to be one of the greatest players in politics as yet, and this a great hardship to not only the the migrants but the people who receive them and we're not making light of that. But it's also, maybe the only way to get any change and the changes required. It's not even option is required. He send fifty five thousand people so far. Somebody says okay, alright and he's definitely reshaped. The debate will say that oh yeah fifty five thousand to six sanctuary cities,
So that's working alright, ladies and gentlemen, that is your monday version of cw essay. The best thing you've ever seen is or a topic that you're dying to hear about that I haven't mentioned. You have no idea. What's going on in new york city, do you think I do? I think I know Suzanne somers? Yes, rest in peace, Suzanne, somers.
The alright any other topics I know, you're not frozen, 'em, see your comments. Oh I see my cameras. Frozen so looks like a died on how interesting the feed on youtube died. Now, do you remember when I was telling you people kept saying Scott? Why don't you use stream yard and stream to all the other services? And I said it will only work once in ralph and since then it's been non stop problems. That was, I write, is frozen right now and rumble doesn't even work anymore and my microphone and camera only works half the time and somebody said they got worse, though, I'm going to end the stream, I have no idea how much of that actually played.
Transcript generated on 2023-10-18.