« Real Coffee With Scott Adams

Episode 2247 Scott Adams: All The Fake News (And Maybe Some Real Stuff) That Is Fit To Sip

2023-09-30 | 🔗

My new book LOSERTHINK, available now on Amazon https://tinyurl.com/3bd4pjfm

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Content:

Politics, AI Torrent ChatBot, Mike Pence, Kaitlin Collins, Nikki Haley China Policy, TikTok FaceHittingChallenge, RFK Jr., Steve Schmidt J6 Debate, IRS Taxes Leaker, Bill Maher, Thomas Massie, Single Topic Bills, Government Shutdown, Nate Silver, COVID Vaccination Outcomes, Rob Reiner, Stephen King, Scott Adams

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This is an unofficial transcript meant for reference. Accuracy is not guaranteed.
The rock band good morning, everybody and welcome to the highlight of human civilization, as we know it. If you'd, like your experience today to be elevated to levels that I can't even describe, it will feel so good. Well, all you need, for that is a cup or mug or a glass a tanker jealous or stein, a canteen, jug or flask of vessel of any kind filling with your favorite liquid, I like coffee. Join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dope rid of the day, the thing that makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous zip happens now, that was delightful. Well, how many of you have you have seen my
interview with megyn kelly, and I thought I did my clearest job of explaining my cancellation, but we talked about lots of other stuff from hypnosis to persuasion to trump to you know what so I I tweeted a link to it just this morning. at the top of my sheet. You should also look for my interview with Michael malice, also trigger a tree and roseanne. Those are those are some good ones if you want some entertainment well, the hollywood writers strikers over. Finally, finally, the hollywood writers rikers over well,
so I guess I can get back to what watching a three hour again again. Thank you watching scripted tv shows. I don't remember the last time. I did that, although I do like some serious, sometimes. but I didn't really notice. Did anybody notice? There was a writers' strike. Cause movies came out. I didn't really notice, but it's so now it's over the good news, that will More of those same one movie that they keep writing that involves somebody tied to a chair immediately after a car chase that involves a helicopter helicopter car chase tied to a chair. There's your movie
Now part of what the writers got in addition, do some more movie from screaming and more upside. If things do well, They also got some restrictions on using a. I derive scripts, so now another big, Studios won't be able to raise scripts with ai and that's a problem, because what is the easiest way to rewrite a script and make it woke on parishioners ai? You can just take any classic movie and say hey. I rewrite this, but make sure that.
believe character is black and female. Do you remember a series called the boys was about these superpower, these people with superpowers who were not all good people? Well, that's. There was a version of it that came back gen five, it's called and it got fixed because the old version was deeply flawed, but now they've fixed it by making the lead character a black woman so much much much improved, she's a good actress actually, but it does feel a little bit on the nose that we're just taking things that were popular before and changing. Just that. One thing I
why were you ever worried that ai would sort of get outside of it's guard rails and that it would be an ai that was not? You know, awoke and controlled by people, and it could answer any question well that's just happened. So if you are ever worry, the a I should escape from its guard rules would be an existential threat to the entire planet. That's where we are so others a well funded a company, their release Unbelievable chat, but so they released it alone. Put it what
at a service where it's all distributed torrent. So it's sleep I'll, listen to as a torrent, meaning that is distributed on various computers and as long as there is. One person is the lesser one computer anywhere in the world. Anybody can get to it so there an unbelievable, uncensored on guard railed, ai available to anybody who wants to get to it and based on word is will be mostly.
If people with bad intentions, so apparently this one will give you instructions for self harm. It'll. Tell you how to reintroduce Jim crow laws, and I dunno how to do ethnic cleansing. I mean just awful stuff- and I didn't know this, but apparently there have developed two schools of philosophy about ai one is you've, got to keep all those guard rails out there and the other is you gotta release it and let the public do what it does and that's the only way be safe. I have to admit that there is some intellectual appeal to training. I, like you, treat free speech when you're doing right, which is you let the free speech. Take care of the other free speech
If you had an ai that was unrestricted and I ai that's restricted, they could sort of play with each other. In other words, you might get to a better place with having at least some unrestricted ai. Just so you can see the difference you're permanently banned from excess week. What the hell did you do to get permanently banned from x? That takes some work. Yeah torrent is uncensored That is that's the idea behind it we'll see. If that destroys world there, some news new research Says trees give off some ghana chemical that we don't know about, or earlier we didn't know how effective
things as some kind of influence on MR clouds and the big implication of this is it means our climate models were wildly. Let's say wildly ignoring a big variable now. Do you think it's the only big variable know? Do you think that is a real thing? The scientists can see the future cause models? No, it's not a real thing. Do you think this sunday will look back at this era? And we will laugh at the fact that everybody thought models could produce could predict the future. Yes, we will. We will someday, look back at this and laugh at ourselves that we ever believed that meta analysis was real or that you know you could predict the the climate in forty years, it will all looked funny to us and then we'll say? Ok, that was mostly for persuasion. They did that,
so musk is taking on germany feels like a fair fight goes there is a german ngos or non government organizations, ships Did you see that are apparently picking up illegal immigrants off the coast of africa and delivering them to italy? so, they're german boats, but not german government or non government entities, but they're massively to he loads of immigrants to ITALY. Now elon musk was you know pointing out the let's say the bad idea here: the bad idea. ignoring borders and just dumping immigrants anywhere, and the german government to clap back out of and look like idiots they looked like aliens is.
Elon musk is sort of our person, the clap back at in public stock and work out for you didn't work out for them. But I dunno why they're doing it other than maybe to make sure they don't end up in germany or it isn't a trick to, and then I thought well what, if we did that, what if we took all the immigrants and put them on boats and shipped them to cuba or something I dunno wherever you chip, But they will just come back. I guess that wouldn't work, alright, so yeah caitlyn Collins was talking to mike pence on CNN. I thought MIKE pence. Finally, as a use, I liked him as a vice president.
Are you? Finally, as you use now and the uses he couldn't be invited on shows, so they could ask him his reaction to their opinions about trump. That's all he is now he's the guy. You invite say if you say you have an excuse to talk about trop, that's why he is he's the trump excuse, person or excuse to talk about so gay linda to either this we pressed my pants tonight. I'm donald trump rhetoric lately for claiming that general milly committed treason to saying these networks should be investigated further, such and also marking the brutal attack on Paul blowsy. Now do I need to explain to Caitlin that those are not bugs. Those features. How many of you like donald trump less because he
it was general milly was treasonous. You like it less right because of all that now now you like more because he's. How about what he says: bad things about the news networks of god, the bad taste in my mouth I get when he says that the news is fake, though I like that that about when he marks the brutal to hammer attack on Paul Pelosi. Oh such bad! Well, it's gonna funny!
We're bad bad manners that make me laugh so stop being so terrible in ways that make people clap and laugh and stuff. So I feel, like I feel, like trump, can just do his saving trick a million times in a row and it will work a million times. I think I'll say something that the news has to cover, because they think I went too far. Let's see Paul Pelosi, hibbert attack, yeah yeah that could work alright, locals I'm going to turn you upside down. I I I contact.
isn't the wrong place here? Oh did it turn it off? Of course. Yes, of course, it turned it off. There were back hi. Well, that's why trump is leading the field because he says all those things that cnn doesn't like, and why is that. Not leaving the field because he doesn't say those things. For example,. Well, Nicky early is given tough about china's sentinels between this, stop all normal trade relations with china until they stop killing americans with sensible poison. Like the cut a virgin, I kind of like that. I don't know about all trade relations or normal trade relations, but maybe diplomatic relations, Maybe send back the kids of the elites that are in our colleges. Maybe
in the deadline and then remove all of our diplomats. I've always thought we should remove our diplomats from china until they stop fentanyl, because why would he have diplomats just acting like his business as normal, when tens of thousands of our people are being slaughtered? I I say we should remove our diplomats. We can still talk to them. Obviously, there's a million ways to talk to, but I think we should shame them. I think this should be about it instrument. So we should be embarrassing. China not hurting them economically, because that probably hurts us as much. But I like er, I like the toughness on that. So there's a new trend and tiktok, I guess is not actually that new
apparently areas. Subject: tiktok believe they can pounder own faces with hammers to change the shape or their faces. Really
So I guess for a year or so this has been a growing meme of people pounding their faces with hammers to change what their face looks like now. Let me ask you that last you this. Do you think that if tiktok can convince some people to pound their face with hammers, which you would imagine would be among the very hardest things you could ever talk? Somebody into hey, you gotta, be a good idea to see they ever you see your face, you see where I'm going with this. That's right pound your face as hard as you can with a hammer and watch a good look at you, because then people started doing it now. If you can convince eddie percentage of the public to hit themselves in the face with hammers a lot, not just a little, but a lot, do you think you care program, a child to change their priorities, their political opinions, their gender assumptions about themselves, their desire to procreate their will to live.
Of course, you again, if you can convince people to build themselves and that, in the face with a hammer there are no guard rails, there's nothing. You can talk them into at that point. So it seems to me that china, literally as it kills which for the united states and they ve, already pushed it. If we leave tik tok in place, it will be guaranteed to destroy the country. and congress is unwilling or unable to do anything about it completely useless, completely useless. Is like we don't even have a homeland defence? How much do. Spend on homeland defense. We should just eliminate through budget just eliminated
If you're not going to do the most basic thing, bam, tech talk, all the military in the world won't help you if you allow their propaganda and without without any filters, so we wouldn't even need a military if we could allow tiktok to run unfettered because they can just win that way without without if the shop- and this was happening so apparently the only people who don't understand the risk of tiktok are are elected members of congress, or so they would tell us they think it's about data security. It's not it's really not about data security, never was while Rfk jr says he will
I guess on october, ninth he's expected to announce he'll run third party independent and then the big question is: who will he take votes from what I've seen? Smart people say that he will take them from trump, and I understand that because there's a lot of crossover appeal. I just read your comment about him:
That was pretty funny and I think maybe but Newsweek newsweek says that a third of democrat voters are likely to vote for Kennedy if he runs, which would be. I assume a lot more than the percentage of republicans and here's where that trump solid base really really matters, because as basis of going anywhere, yeah they're definitely not going to vote for somebody who's pro abortion, for example. So I've got a feeling. This could be way easier for democrats to switch over to kennedy than for republicans. So if I think is completely unpredictable, so I'm going to stick with it's unpredictable, but if you forced me, I think you'll take more votes from democrats.
What do you think? What's your best guess takes more, you will take more votes from the Democrats, sort of edge says it hurts trump effort. Other people say that as well yeah the numbers are, the numbers will will probably have pretty good numbers for this by the time. You get analysis because you have to wait till it's like really running before people get to take them seriously. Jack episodic thinks that he'll take votes. Well, he will take votes from both. So I certainly agree he will take votes from trump, but I dunno. If we know the net, I really don't think is very unpredictable could go either way and I think people are. I think the public has not really paid much attention once results and yeah. Alright. So we'll keep an eye on that hello. This is Scott Adams and now's your chance to reply to questions hot takes and calls for feedback from myself and all of your favorite podcasters on spotify. Every new episode could have a cure day or a poll with a topic for you to weigh in on so let your voice be heard. Personally, I plan to
these tools to get you to enjoy the gaunt and, even more so had over two spotify search for coffee was got atoms or your favorite broadcasts in view of the latest episodes and respond acuity and bowls on spot. If I only did you see tat, Steve schmidt, who is the big anti jumper, lincoln lincoln logger, whatever what it says lincoln project, so is a well known, anti jumper pretence who used to be republican. Guess he used to be a republican, but now is the entire jumper And he was on the podcasts and bd I'm dyslexic or what are the letter pbt people use other at
Bob guest air really got into a shouting match because he believes the january sex was just thou wert slay, the oars. worse than pearl, harbor, worse and worse, lateral that dunno about but worse in january, six. And he got really angry and was like your yelling, and I saw. Two at well: I guess there were four or five people in the panel, and I saw some of the worst debaters I've ever seen in my life on both sides. It was like they couldn't debate themselves out of a paper bag. How can you not be that guy in a debate about whether it was the insurrection now that that's the easiest argument in the world, here's how you do it so steve, and so you say january six was an insurrection and the country was
was lost. Yeah shows what why they are all ox. That's my best impression of statement. So if you go hard at them the way the other podcasters. Do you end up in a shouting match with a or is a shower? You get in a shouting match with a shelter you're not going to win right, so So here are you should play it? I let me have them steve. I wonder whether you agree with the statement that the second amendment is definitely not going to protect against the military of the united states. Would you agree that this is not war? Republicans like it's not what I think but democrats think that at least is joined. That aside, so I don't I'm not sure if he's where he would answer on this, because he's used to be a republican this'll work better with people who are always democrats.
just say. Alright, your belief is- and I think I believe Biden has said this clearly- that your second amendment rights are going to be useless if your government turned fascist because the government has nuclear weapons and whatnot. So you first get your democrat to admit that guns, an individual those will be useless against the country with the military. And then you ask them to explain how people who didn't have guns for the most part word overthrow the military, the united states by trespassing and some of them getting violent, but basically staying in one room. Why can a game that through and then he would say something like? I imagine all four fulfils all about
well. They were trying to to to cancel the progress of the the government to who is going to certify the vote and I'd say: okay, where were they trying to cancel it forever? Oh yeah, kessler forever. Okay, but you know nobody said that right literally, nobody said, cancel or forever
That every person there plus trump just wanted to delay are you aware of that there were. They were talking about a delay or all, but they had those those fake electors so wouldn't be temporary because they had that was fake electors, and then you say where they fake electors or was it completely transparent, alternate electors who would be used as a placeholder in case the process? You know, went in that direction well, yeah, but deal that you can call them alternate if you want, but they're fake, they're fake, he was trying to get those fake electors. Are there okay, but suppose he did try that what would happen next, where the entire game
I meant just stay and then everybody would just obey the government that did not win the election according to the officials. Do you think that would happen well at all, you're always got the military too yeah, but the military was just going to follow the person who didn't win the election well yeah, but to fake all. You know the fake electors, so you don't think that would have gone to the supreme court while, but the supreme court is filled with a bunch of young trump supporters to which I say so. You believes that the original lists, the people who follow the constitution to the letter would play fast and loose with
if the electors are you think that that's the group of people who's going to get creative in their interpretation, literally the opposite of why they were hired and everything about them all the way to regroup. So that's the conversation I want to say. I want to see somebody game it out at and show that somehow trump could have won if they had ever bet. There's an intention to overthrow the government. How would that work and who would believe it would work alright? Yes, I'm drunk people already this morning, some drugs. In the comments- I dwell not about that. So barely
the g gea J is charging the person who leaked trump's tax returns, as well as thousands of the nation's wealthiest individuals and leaked it to be the organizations. Thousands of the nation's wealthiest individuals and their private tax returns were stolen and given to the media and he's charged with one count. One can show you go to jail for a really long time, for that feels like a little bit better than a january. Six person strolling around it was a little bigger. So, yes, I think MIKE sort of bitches maybe close to right here that if the republicans lose baby,
and maybe everybody who's republicans go to jail, including me. You might be right about that, we'll have to say I do, but I'm not going to jail. So don't worry about that. Shutting down
well, we'll get to that bill. Maher is a back on his show and says very directly and clearly and in a whole piece about it, that button's too old and he needs to step down, and so he doesn't become ruth bader Biden and bill Maher goes on to say what a great job Biden has done so far. For example, he handled ukraine- that was one of his on his list was Biden handled. Ukraine did a good job handling ukraine. That's bill, Maher's opinion. He did a good job. You know what a good handily ukraine would look like no war with ukraine. I'm pretty sure that the war itself was the mistake, not how you handled at once. The war started about,
I have in or war would have been a much better outcome. And I'm reasonably positive. I feel positive that trump would have not allowed that war to happen. Do you agree? I mean that's just speculation, cause who knows, but everything about him suggests that there wouldn't have happened, and maybe that would have waited for years, but I don't think they would have done it under trump doesn't feel like it would have happened. So that's weird Well thomas massey, tweeted today said I have always fought for a single subject bills, so he's fought against the idea that they put a bunch of bills together so that you can say no to any of it. Otherwise you show them Isn't it- and he says, and the efforts of my friends who are stopping republican bills from passing this week, might be rooted in the same conviction, so he's still very much in favor of a single topic bill?
but it goes ices, but I believe there are well meaning activity is going to lead to opposite an undesirable outcomes. So I simply undesirable outcome. Is that it crashes the government, the government closes in bad things, happen, to which I say I challenge the assumption that failing to pass bills and thus plunging. the country into chaos, is the bad outcome? What makes you think? That's the bad outcome. We can certainly see that very specific and predictable bad things will happen. But how do you compare that to the benefit? Because the benefit is unknown.
I would say if you have assist if your cruise system is designed to destroy the country, then changing it is the only risk. Free thing you can do is the only way you can reduce your risk. You could increase, you could increase the rate at which we fail. If we close, the government never opened it up again, I suppose, but if you broke the system temporarily, like just destroyed it, so people are wandering around and you know everything's just gone to hell. If that leads to fixing the system as an alright. Alright, we give up all the bills will be single topic from now on. It's the only way we can agree if that happened. I would say that we'd be way ahead, even if, even if there was a tremendous cost to get there, because our current design guarantees obsolescence of the country. The current system allows every politician to be safe in their vote, voted for things. They shouldn't be voting for, or at least budgets the size they should not be voting for. So you have to make it hard for the politicians to hide their support or lack of support for various topics. So you get something closer to a free market with some kind of transparency, but short of that you have a system design problem. If the design of the system is to hide what people's intentions are, it also to make it nearly impossible to vote against an enormous budget, that's a guaranteed failure. So, yes, I would take complete chaos over a guaranteed failure, because guaranteed failure might be the only way to get to a better system just doing what you're doing is just guaranteed to fail.
So under those conditions, it's easy to make a decision. You take the big risk, because the big risk is actually smaller risk than doing nothing accelerate make it worse. That's the way to go. I and I love tweeting at doing a response to thomas massie, because there's always a non zero chance he's going to respond directly, which he did in minutes.
The the these are. The moments that make you feel confident in your government. You know you, Thomas Massie puts his opinion out there. I add something to it and he responds right in front of everybody. He responded to it now. Why did he respond? There were a whole bunch of other comments. You know he doesn't have time to respond to all the comments. Why did he respond to me simply as I made a good comment in my opinion, he responds to other people, but only if they make a comment that is worthy of the response. Now I've said before that, and also the large audience average audience, but he responds to a lot of people. Small audiences. If this thing they said is worth elevating and either agreed with or elevating for disagreement, because a represents other people this agreement is well so the way he interacts with the public.
Is a real confidence biller because he seems to recognise the important comments and then focus, and I dont really see a lot of other people doing others are, I say, a little bit more purely political. The way they tweet hee hee tweets, like he's informing people. Unlike is genuinely interested in their response as well, and that is learning something
from it like he's using it as a tool, the others are just using it as like a hole in the wall where they're shoving stuff through open. You see it so as a as a whole different, all different mindset, and is this the goodwin alright? But it's more to my point that I've made before this is one of the reframes in my book, the person with the best ideas always in charge. This is one of the most important things you'll ever remember in your life. The person with the best idea is always in charge, so this didn't happen in this case yeah. This is not what happened, but if, if Thomas Massie had tweeted something if I had added something that was valuable, it could have actually change the outcome if it were smart enough. Now, if I said suddenly and already thought of- and everybody is already talk of, all there's no value there, but if I had come up with
New idea, or a new twist or a new way to look at it, it absolutely could of James things. I didn't I didn't come up with an idea that changes anything, but I could have Harry I gonna, I might have added a little value, but that's different than changing. Well, no silver is one of the most interesting people who follow annex, I think he identifies more, was the left as an rats, I think, but he's one of these rare characters or of a bill more like character, but with better mental processing like way better like really way way better so use? It is a data guy and a statistics guy and a fact guy doesn't mean he's always right and I'm sure he would claim he's always right all right. So perfection is not what anybody shooting for here.
But he did something interesting, which is he thought that the smoke had cleared enough? I can finally answer. This question do not get angry before and up because I'm going to say some things that you believe I'm agreeing with, but wait. Don't assume, I'm agreeing with anything I'm just reporting so what he did was he looked for. Their data basically how things work were vaccinations plus or minus same thing with social distancing and business closures and masks now, the good news is that somebody who, in my opinion, I don't if he would say that this is himself, but in my bed any limbs leaves more democrat, and the first good news. As he says, the data is very,
Clear about whether the closures amassed in the social distancing, add any value at all and especially contrasted to the fact that the word tremendous costs and distant. Just so. Basically, I would say that opinion is straight up republican thinking. Would you agree straight up republican thinking? The data doesn't show that that stuff worked or even if it did, the data doesn't show it and then beyond that yeah. So you don't do it again if the data doesn't show it and beyond that, the cost of it is harder to measure and the, but there were substantial so under that
Those are the facts, you would never do it again. Would you re so he is on the right side, because the facts are the facts. So again, this is a compliment. To you know a productive mind in a mirror it is on the side of the data plus. he knows how to analyze it in he knows was left out and he calls out was left out says we know now. This big suffers left out. Therefore, does it make sense to do it again good thinking now. Here's the part you won't like as much- and this is not my opinion and I'm going to tell you what I think is wrong with it when I'm done so, don't get mad at me. You know no Ben garrison stuff going on here, please, according to nate silver, looking at the data that he trusts and again he would be better at knowing what data to trust
his job is way better that and he says that the death rate during covered was bout, the same in the blue states as the red states. Do you believe that death rate was about the same in the blue states and red states until vaccinations, so prior to vaccination is being available? The death rate was comparable. Do you agree that so far and why wouldn't it be Why wouldn't it be right so that their suggest there, all the mask he used often make a difference? Is the masking the social distancing area, Those were well in place before the vaccinations, so that further supports the fact that young nothing else was matter and then the vaccinations happen, and there
nay, silver points out that pretty immediately after the vaccinations, the blue states at great drop in the death rate. Well covered and the red states did not have as much of a drop in the presumption is that they were less vaccinated because they were so. If this, so I'm gonna ask you two questions: if the data were accurate and by no means do I trust data, just any data so assuming its accurate that I'm not making that assumption, so I dont assume its accurate, but let's just follow through with Thinking here, so we're not getting an answer is following. The thinking is, this were accurate, would tell you something useful.
Would you feel that you learn something useful by knowing that as soon as the vaccinations head, there is a big difference in the survivor building. The people most vaccinated have where the most revived, but the data does factor in lockdown, saw the data factors and locked down some masks, because those were ineffective for the vaccinations and they showed no effect. So all of the other factors, besides vaccinations have been accounted for.
And now age? Presumably you could you could measure it by age right? Presumably they know what age groups were the most problematic and we do know that the red states have older people. The blue states have younger people, so I would not care anything about the covert death rate by vaccination. I would say that that would not tell me anything so if the only thing they studied is people who died according to the hospital of covered,
And the only thing you know is whether they were vaccinated or not, even if you did it by age. That would tell you nothing in my opinion. That would tell you nothing was left out. No, even if you did co morbidities, even if you separated by co morbidities, even if you did it by age, would it be useful nope, no, not even a little what's left out the biggest factors left out, the biggest factor is: do you die from the vaccination because there's no way to sort that out and you're here, and you also don't know if any long term problems are caused by the vaccination or the the covert. So what you don't know is, if you checked in ten years from now with the red states have regained an advantage compared to the blue states that were more heavily vaccinated. So you don't know that and that's the whole question. The whole question comes down to. We do
I think we do know that on day, one of the vaccination and some people died, but most of the problems were sort of later. Whatever problems are were so, if you don't know how many people would eventually die if any the number might be zero. I dunno, but if you don't know how many people died because of the vaccination, and you might not know that for years I didn't know anything. I didn't know anything. So maybe no silver be much smarter than me on this topic. Maybe he's taken all that into account in ways that are not obvious to me, but I think that you can't tell anything by measuring the death rate of vaccinated verses on vaccinated during the band of it. To me,.
that doesn't tell you what you need to know what you re. Would you agree that we don't have the data we need now suppose you had spoken at all costs mortality And you also add all course moat or cause mortality, but it was also broken down by co, more abilities and age. So you not worrying about co. Mobility is an age if he had all cause you it for five years. Would you know, then, if the vaccinated or the unvaccinated did better, would you know then, five years time.
No, you, wouldn't you wouldn't cause, you wouldn't know the cause of everybody's health problems. You wouldn't know the cause, you wouldn't know if it's, because they got coven three times or because they got boosted six times which which of those is the cause, is that the long over this killing them is that they go over this killing them? Is that the lack of exercise because they got locked in? Is it because their life changed in a bad way because of the lockdowns? How would you ever know anything? Maybe it was all just ventilators and rum desert beer could be so anyway. I think the silver is a good follow, but you gotta be careful about anything with data. If it's about climate change, don't believe it if it's about covert, no believe it I'll tell you what data is good for. Actually, here's the good news, the fact that the data can't show any difference with masks.
That's good news. If you don't want a mask, that's pretty good news. Yeah the data is too confounded, you're right, the silver predicted hillary would win. Well, yes, he did. There was one point you said there was a ninety eight percent. She would win and that's when I came up with my estimate that there was a ninety eight percent chance that trump would win just to be the opposite of him, and I got that one right.
The yeah, the suicide of fentanyl are way up, so if suicide and fentanyl are way up, is that because of the pandemic wow, I'm seeing a comment from someone that locals as seven people close to this one person committed suicide during the pandemic. While it's pretty bad? Alright, I don't think I don't know anybody who died at coven. So my my track record was zero people. I know died of covert, but most of you do yeah most of the
I know people that have covered. I don't know anybody that not a single one, so I went through a pandemic without seeing a single death of everybody. I know, and also nobody. Nobody, my age or younger, who was a celebrity died from covert proved me wrong. There's no celebrity or they don't get to define celebrity as someone I've personally heard of you can't be some country music star who was eighty. Five, but there was nobody who is my age or younger, who is also a public figure who died to covert right, yeah john prine I'd ever heard of so he's he's my that's my argument. Not yeah you're you're, giving me names. I've never heard of Hank Aaron was older, yeah they're older, I mean right. I are all older.
Nobody, my age or younger, who was famous, ever died during the pandemic. Herman Cain was older yeah. All these people are older, they're, all in their seventies or older. So alright, Colin Powell, older meatloaf with seventy four, probably have cancer. First, I was going to make a prediction about rob reiner, I feel like there's some scandal in his future. I don't know what it is, but I feel like I feel, like he's been in the news too much for there not to be someplace there and here's why
He tweets like somebody who's under duress. That's it he tweets, lay somebody who is under duress. Now. Let me let me compare that you saw, or maybe you saw John Cusack who's, a giant and eyedropper to the point where he's crazy, but he recently, I believe he came out against buttons track record. Am I right on that can be a fact check? I think he came out against violence track record, which demonstrates what it demonstrates that his mind, is fluid and that, while you might disagree wildly with his opinions, you can see that. Is assessing data and changing you're, changing with the data a little bit you'd like to see more.
but then that's a sign of a healthy mind that might be biased in some way, but rob writer tweets like it's his paycheck. You know what I mean he tweets like. He was getting paid to tweet, I'm not saying he is, and I'm saying that the you know the impression one gets is that there's no thought process involved whatsoever and that I mean I don't think he's doing it for the money. Probably not, but it looks like he's under duress same with Stephen king, Stephen king doesn't look even like those could be his real opinions. It looks like he's under duress. Now that's just speculation, so speculation is not based on any facts. I'm just looking at him saying John Cusack looks like somebody who's involved in politics, and I disagree with him. Rob Reiner looks like somebody who's doing it for a paycheck, because it doesn't look like a thinking human being at all. Alright, we didn't know anything for months and.
The katie hobbs, avoiding by then I'm just not interested in katy ups, somebody saying that Stephen king's tweets are poorly written, but I hear that about his books as well. I've never heard a more famous author who the people who enjoy his book says and writer. She is the only one I ever heard that about yeah. I read all his books is a terrible writer, but let me let me give a plug for him, though, at Stephen king's book called on writing. It is one of the books he wrote and maybe the only one on how to be a writer. That's a really good book and it's one of the one of the ones I recommend to people if they want to be a writer fully.
Totally practical advice on becoming a writer I'll tell you the main secret in case anybody wants to become a writer as some of the things I remembered or take a job. That's super boring if you want to be a writer, because you're going to need your best thinking for your writing. If you're going to go anywhere and if you're, using up your brain. All day, you're, just not gonna, have enough left in the tank, so he says, if you're really serious about it, will be something like a maritime security guard. Where are your literally just standing around and then you'll have plenty of mental capacity left. Doesn't it that was an interesting tip.
The other one is even more useful. I mean this one's totally practical that if you want to become a writer you just start at whatever is the lowest level that somebody will accept your writing and you can always do it. So there's always a local publication that wants to pay nothing. So you say well, I wrote this thing is my article about the benefit of salt or somebody? I know who is trying to become a writer, actually wrote an article on salt and got it published locally. Now, if you could get published locally in things that pay nothing, then you can eventually collect up your works and take it to a slightly better publication and say: okay, I did all this work. You can see my work,
Then you can prove that you can write that you can do it and produce volume, and then the new thing will say. Oh yeah looks like we're getting a good deal here will get you early, so it's very easy to start writing for nothing and then use what you've read and, if you're a good writer to ratchet up- and you know you keep showing it to the level above, So that's consistent with my other refrain that your job is not your job. Your job is to get a better job. So all the writing you doing is to show it to the level. Above us good advice,. Because you can always find the level that wants you to write for them, for free might be a website might be a blog. Maybe start your own sub sub stack or something, but you write for free until you have samples to show somebody who might be interested in bay's, good advice, all right, yeah, so at a big big impact on our species.
that's true! All right, substantial! It's like a blog, whether a paywall. I have now seen the the live stream in philadelphia, so the the live stream is. The intention is to show how bad it is on the street. Is that what it is? I feel like, I feel like that's the only answer,
The answer is surveillance of the streets, so everybody could watch. Have you seen the new drones that the police are getting so it looks like the police will have drones that if let's say there's a you hear shots fired, so I think the police in the big cities already have these monitors, where they can identify where shots have been fired. Give me a fact check on that. That's a real thing right. I dunno. If it's all the city is but most of the big cities, they could literally listen to the shot and triangulate approximately where it came from, so they can dispatch a car now they could also
Dispatch a drone, but the drone can be a lot faster because it doesn't have traffic, so you can get a drone sitting over a crime pretty quickly. It seems to me that if you had a process where somebody could take a picture with their phone and send it to the police, it would activate a drone cause. Wouldn't you like to see a let's say, a nine one, one dispatcher, but maybe a separate one. That is just looking at photos coming in like a text like there's a robbery going on right here and then the nine one one person sees it, takes the address and simply pushes one button with the address and a drone goes up and goes to that address and hovers above it until police get there now. You could also imagine these drones will be armed at some point. Am I right yeah those those drones will eventually be able to shoot a real bullet or a tranquilizer dart or something so at some point, the drones are going to have a ion and they're just going to show up and start shooting people, so maybe not right away, but robocop is coven. There's no way to stop it. I don't think.
Yeah I was, I was also thinking that a great design for my house would be a a rooftop drone landing site that I also had access to easy easily and that anytime there's any kind of security cameras get tripped. It automatically launches the drone and it goes to where that cameras and and turns on the camera. That would be cool cause. I don't think people fuck with you if that, if your drone catches them outside your house, I'm alright.
If you're like, I think I could break into this house, and then you hear he and right behind you there's a drone looking at you and you know, they're filming you're, going to get the fuck out of there like right away, you're not going to try to shoot down the drone. I mean you might try, but you know it's going to be kinda hard at it and it's already taken the pictures by the time you see it is all you so so you're. So the only thing I would add to the drones is something that can shoot like a dart into them. That would collect a specimen for you if you
you want to be. A super asshole have like a little like a little blow dart, and if it comes down to just the ego and that you know the first thing you do is like you'd pull it out and you throw it down and run right. You would pull it out and you'd, throw it down and run, and it would have your dna in it, and then you just collect it, because it's right right, where you got hit because nobody's going to take it and put it in their pocket or they if they do just shoot him again. They'll they'll stop putting them in their pocket. eventually or or maybe it just takes your dna and falls off and zone o a better better better as it hits you and it just falls off the ground so that it penetrates you guess a little pinprick of your dna. But it's not designed to stay into you, so it's only got like a little pin prick. So it's just like how
I think he got stung and the later you go out and get your d they're not bad. Is it not bad? It's not bad, alright, the other thing you can do if you wanted to collect their dna, is you could just drop like a bud light they'd be like ooh bud light that could work as well.
yeah, but like it's a callback, it works out. It works in every joke. Alright is really a topic. I forgot. We, we did talk about, make sure witches tweets lately. He might not be wrong, but he's also signaling a warning so that people remember to vote coleman hughes, just scott yesterday as paranoid of the cia. Well does he do that to think he knows what the cia is and is not doing if you're, not parent,
If you're, not paranoid of the sea, I dont think you been paying attention. I would agree with him that I have no way of knowing what the cia is and is not doing. So I I think, I'm usually careful to say like I, I don't know what else to do, but if you suspect them the seems quite reasonable and if you believe they should not be suspected. Given everything that were saying, I would say that would be naive, but I did hear what he said. So I can't
respond to it specifically and yeah yeah. This is keeping them out of your tweets. I dunno what you're talking about reframe for a great day. Alright, I don't see any buffering. We need neither,
yeah probably Kelly's says we love you scott, but please toned down on the praise of elon annex. Why why? Why would you ask such a thing? I think he is basically the most useful person in the world right now. So was it what's the problem with yeah, I'm never going from you again,
I think you're done wearing wariness of billionaires. Of course, yeah combines what I'm just looking at your comments for a minute. Oh Jordan, I should talk to jordan harbinger, oh yeah it'd be the perfect one to talk to. I think that I should I did send a dm to Glenn lowry. I hope he you didn't create that he exposed it. I dunno what you're talking about. I miss kelly's response. Did I let's go back khalid khalid so hard to find a response. Let me just see if I can find it. I can't find it khalid khalid. Where are you.
Well, there's a lot of people talking, I didn't realize. I don't believe I'm going to find it alright. Well, I tried, but I don't think I sir Cyrano says he will be killed khalid the backdoor portal for a government. Why you think I don't know that. I don't think that elon musk is sanctioning that, but I wouldn't surprise be surprised. It's happening said: please don't phone to know your phrase alright! Well, I'm not going to do that that that's kind of a common
It just pisses me off it's one thing to tell me facts, you think I don't know or arguments you think I missed, but when you say tone down your praise of somebody without any back up support, that's just manipulative and isn't it is not received. Well. But will more swedish girls hang there are soldiers that sounds like a story. I missed only available in the amazon. Now it set a boar, barnes noble as well and some other places. The o prager talk to verification.
Well, here's where I think I'd like to do like to interview or of kivu and teach a man to speak correctly. Cause. I have a non zero there's a non zero chance that, with the procedure he already had for his voice, that all he needs is that a tweak to his production technique, in other words, just use a different part of his face and voice to speak cause. He looks like he's breathing and producing voice in the wrong part of his body, which would essentially the problem. I don't know that to be true, but it looks like it so there's a non zero chance that I could fix his voice. While you watched in less than a minute and.
That would probably make him president and change the course of civilization, but I can't guarantee it I'd say the odds would be in the twenty percent range that I could actually do that it would be the most viral thing you ever saw in your life. Just just trying to hold listen to your mind. Imagine me fixing his voice in real time that that that video would get around with it and I think, there's a non zero chance. I did. I did a long time ago. Id em do some instructions on different voice production and it's the way I it's the way I talk. It's. A big reason that I haven't had a recurrence of my problem is that you learn to talk up in the mask of your face and you don't use your vocal chords.
Do that. Right now it sounds like his volvo cars or eighty percent fixed, but he still talks with them. If you bring your voice production up to what is called the mask of the face, so you feel your scientists near your nose vibrating, instead of talking down here in the right now, I'm talking in my throat. Can you tell the difference? I'm done in my throat. If I were a little bit tired, it would sound constricted and you've heard me do it. When I get tired, my voice production goes down my throat and then you feel you feel a little a little of that. Coming on a little weakness. here, but as soon as I bring it up to the mask of my face, my voice,
is not only good. It's almost perfect and the only difference is unchanging. The production up to the front of my face. So I can feel that vibrating and I I know the voices coming out of here and I feel almost no effect on my vocal cords. There are involved, but the pervert productions move them. So that's that's a little trick and that's what voice? Coaches teacher and that's what the humming happy birthday is humming. Happy birthday is how you teach yourself to use the mask of your face. So if you say hmm hmmm, you can actually feel your lips. Vibrating naked, feel around your nose. Vibrating now and now you have your production
perfect and your voice comes out right where the hum was, and that's how you how you find it Joe blow is asking if I'm by Joe blow that's actually his name Joe blow just asked me if I'm bi and if I said yes Joe blow, what would be your next offer? I dunno. Alright, you don't think you. I can do the camera is so easy that you could you actually could do it on camera in like a minute. Alright, that's all for now I'll talk to you later youtube.
Transcript generated on 2023-10-01.