Good morning. Everybody unwelcome do cause who's got Scott a high. height of human civilization and if you think it was going to be good, I mean even before you signed in here, wow It's going to be so good and all you need is a cup or mug or a glass tankard jealous a stein, accounting, joke or flask of vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee enjoy Now for the unparalleled pleasure or the dopamine the other day, the thing makes everything better is called a simultaneous sip, and that happens now. Ah, ah, delightful.

Alright, let's talk about all the news as fun and exciting. Today is one of those. The news is more funny and interesting than tragic. I don't like the tragic news so we're going to skip all the tragedies talk about the fun stuff. Do you remember that I told you that I could feel the Zeit geist telling me that camping was going to be really big. This year said my roommate saying that that invested don't do what I did. This is not a recommendation, but I bought some stock. Can I think company cause. I just have this: I just had this overwhelming feeling and I don't know why exactly the camping was going to be good. Now. Here's the persuasion, reasoning, persuasion reasoning is everytime. You turn on the news, they are showing homeless encampments and there are always camping and it looks

and if you have the same reaction, I do it's like. Oh, I feel so sorry for those homeless, people that have to be in those awesome, tents and then I think what is a nice tent. This is a nice tent and there's part of me that envies them, as I play had that feeling at is that he probably had a little bit of an irrational feeling, the, u n g, the street people cause they're living free, they're living life on their own terms. They don't report to anybody. They don't pay any taxes. They don't live Clear rules that are in our laws really is either a little civilization. All they do is Amazing drugs that make them feel incredible and then they go live in their debt are happier than you are.

Now I don't really want to change places with them, but I believe is an objective fact that are not doing so poorly. If you were to look at how much in the day a homeless person enjoys versus how much you your day, you enjoy. What do you think that would look like? I'm pretty sure they sleep in everyday so uttered, although they ate it immediately. Someday you at eight, if you're doing it, but now there's a lot of choice involved in that. But anyway, the wall street journal had an article that campaigns, camping, really big. So I did correctly read the I gazed camping spring this year, I asked this question on twitter. Just as I was curious, Half a million people look at it, so I guess people thought the same thing

that was a dumb question. I said: is it true that men are not approach and women to ask for phone numbers in person in twenty twenty three, but then I got the boulevard treatment. You know the boomer treatment is right. Let me give you let me give you my example of that. Former treatment me me asking so the men as for women for phone numbers- oh boomer, oh boomer; no, they asked for their insta or their snap or their tiktok portrait. No, they don't. They don't know you're, so old, you're. So old. It's just funny! You, like Joe Biden tubs, do. Are they really who asked for a phone number anymore?

And, of course, my critics are right. I was dumb enough to think that people would imagine that those were just texting apps and that it's all kind of the same and that they would know that that would be included in the question automatically. However, upon thinking about it- critics are correct because it is a lower risk to ask for subsidies instead were snapchat. Am I right? If you ask your phone number is says: I'm probably gonna call you you're. Probably gonna get a call for me. Your problem, I get asked out on a date. So that's what the phone number is, but if you ask for somebody's instagram well, maybe they're interested, I mean it. Kinda seems like they are, but it's very noncommittal. Isn't it it's like how about? Why do we

Follow each other social media and then yeah, maybe I'd have the access to your dmz and maybe I'd said one be your jacket. Maybe want one answer and it's a lot of maybes involved yeah. So it is the is the weaker indirect low risk way to do it. So it turns out the question was moot because young people in the dating world don't need to ask for a phone call or phone numbers just sort of less useful. So I dunno that any of it matters. You know it's one of those interesting trends that have changed, but it does suggest the following is true. I saw somebody say this on social media sounders five

I saw subway suggest that if you were able to walk up and ask for a weapons for number twenty, twenty three, you would seem to have a superpower and you would rule the earth, like a god, because other people are I got so used to be. If you went up to the attractive woman and ask for a phone number, you know you'd be the tenth person that day and your odds would not be good, but in two thousand twenty three, I'm hearing this a lot, if you ask for somebody's phone number, they're, like oh, my god and finally. Finally, finally, somebody had the balls to ask for my phone number. Yes, of course there it is so it looks to me like you would get a different reaction,

twenty three, if you were to ask for a phone number alright. So, as you know, a lot of musk and Zuckerberg, or at least allegedly planning to have some kind of a battle. Zuckerberg of course knows jujitsu and lex. Fridman famous podcaster is also a jujitsu guy and he has wrestled with now, both of them so he's trained with elon tried to show him some moves and there's a picture of him trading with a zuckerberg. Do you think it's going to happen? What do you think you know? I was looking at the stats of a laden, vs Zuckerberg, and I think everybody agrees that Zuckerberg has a higher higher level brazilian jujitsu guy. So if you were fighting somebody on his same size, you'd expect him to win if they were not trained. But eli is six two and weighs two

the thirty pounds whatever it is, it's over two hundred ethic and Zuckerberg is listened to five or seven, and he is way it looks on boy. So five, seven and weighed on boy is probably like one, fifty five his weight. Something like that. I don't know much about brazilian jujitsu, but can of five seven person that ever beat a six two persons, if you're, not if you're not punching, if you're not punching so brazilian jujitsu would be strong enough that you could. You know you could get on top of him and get the advantage. Ok, alright, a lot of people who seem to know what they're talking about I'd say. That's the thing I mean the the disadvantage is pretty big, but here's the funny part there's a picture online of Zuckerberg having lex fridman in a chokehold it. It looks to me like exactly the chokehold that has killed two people recently. What

if the subway and one george floyd it's the exact same joke old. They do it for recreation, recreation and then the number of people told me. Oh that's a thing when you're practicing brazilian jujitsu it's not unusual to choke each other out so that you have experience being choked out? You know what it feels like it doesn't scare you is that real. Is that a real thing that the brazilian jujitsu people choke each other out for recreation people say: yes, that's a real thing. So do you feel that you've been totally gamed by the whole holding person? Somebody in that chokehold is going to kill them, or do you feel like you've kind of gamed by the the whole system here yeah, I feel like at.

The choking is not how people are dying. I think it's the drugs anyway, we've been over that so lex Friedman. I believe he is alive, but according to the news, he's dead at least twice here's a shocking shocking poll. This actually does shock me yeah. Usually when you say it's a big poll, I'm shocked. It usually doesn't shock you at all. This was shocked. Alright, this is Rasmussen sixty six percent of likely us voters are concerned that the outcome of the twenty twenty four presidential election will be affected by cheating, two thirds people, two thirds now. Do you remember back and let me take you back to two thousand and fifteen when there's there was this new kid

his name was tramp trump and I said, watch out, I watched him just a little bit and I can tell you is that most persuasive person in political life. And so I warned you back in two thousand and fifteen he's going to be your president. You don't see this coming. It is his ability to persuade his like off the chart and what did people say to me ye who idiot? Oh my god? Oh my god, would you just stick to cartooning? Oh my god. This is embarrassing. It's just embarrassing! You're you're, embarrassing yourself, Scott he's, not persuasive he's not going to win more than seven to ten percent of the primary vote and that's the ad then he's just doing it for his just doing it to get attention.

Don't take it seriously and I said no seriously, you don't know, what's coming the monsters right behind you like now after this, the turnaround turnout is ripe. I do just turn around and look there's nothing behind the scot. Just go back to guard duty, calm down a little bit willy, so trump loses the election claims. The election claims the election was fraudulent. Time goes by two thirds of the public agrees with him, or at least agrees that the risk of the next one being fraudulent is high, which would suggest that they think the last one was maybe fraudulent. Right I mean there's

it connected ideas. So now, do you think the trump is persuasive? Is there anybody who wants to have an argument with me about whether trump can persuade the public of things too? there's a them now agree with them. That way more than just republicans way more than just Republicans, they agree with it going further of forty. Nine percent of voters agree with the statement quote. There is no way, I then eighty one million votes in this twenty twenty election. Forty, nine percent of the voters believe twenty twenty four or twenty twenty was a fake election hoardings Rasmussen, forty nine percent. Now, when I said that I'm not often shocked by a pole, but this one shocks me

as everybody knows every experience, or is it just me, this is like mine blog. I had no idea I had no idea that the the idea of a fixed election have gotten that construction. Probably I wanna see at least one other ball. You have to see if other poles or come up with the same numbers, because Rasmussen is, is pretty heavily say engaged in retweeting, the other, the voter stuff whether they're pretty much on the other side on this issue. So I'd wait for at least one more poll, but this is pretty shocking. Alright, I saw some tweets that google

It has a habit of hiring a lot of extra engine people, how many you say, hundred and sixty five of theft, so a court at least according to a tweet. I dunno. I suppose this needs some fact checking, but Google's trust and safety team is managed by three ex cia agents. So three extra cia agents, cia agents- are in control of what you see so so what is considered misinformation? Is determined by three ex cia people, eggs say there are no longer in the cia bottoms. I guess the cia does not pay them any kind of a salary, so there are completely acts as if they don't work for them anymore, nope nope! So don't worry about that

cause they don't work for him anymore, yeah, the cia there's twenty seven x, cia people. Fifty two x, f b, I thirty an essay of fifty dhs and six odeon. I. Does it look like? Maybe they are looking for these people feels like they Marie recruiting them more their recruiting themselves or each other? It's a lot, it's a lot now. The other way to explain it would be. These are highly qualified people. Google offers them more money than intelligence work. It could be the general there just actual and people have on your staff they have There are highly qualified. They know a lot about the world that sort of thing maybe experience in other countries. That would all be stuff. That would be insecurity, security, so that would all be stuff that would google

want so. It wouldn't surprise me that there were hiring a lot of people from that world, but it does seem right to me. it. Doesn't it as in there's something going on here. That's not exactly what it looks like. So we got questions, don't we first of all. First of all, I cannot confirm that these numbers are correct. So before you get too excited, may not even be true, I dunno, but symbolic offer them online. I also better of key junior youtube band. One of his videos just took it right off a conversation with jordan, peterson.

Can you even a whole that in your head that this just happened, I just I just told you emily x and tell people work for google who owns youtube. Then youtube just took a major candidate in one of the biggest challenges to bite and just took him off Just removed his video completely now they would say there was some misinformation error, something dangerous, but do you imagine welcome your while those dreams. Can you imagine a conversation between Jordan petersen and are of gay junior? That would literally be dangerous. Does I feel like a thing, and even if it is dangerous,

we're allowed to see it were not allowed to see anything that might be dangerous. I dunno that that's a standard when did that become a standard? There's lots of things I look at that. You know you can make an argument, could be dangerous one way or another. But what about that free speech? And you know letting everybody decide for themselves business? What about that? Well,

I think I'm aghast as most of you are our escape junior- is a serious candidate for president of the united states. Then just took down his message as they didn't agree with it, because what because they're all scientists- and they know it's true and what is and what is they just disagree? What, if our of gay junior has his experts, and maybe you to bear some other experts to say his experts are wrong? What makes their experts right in his wrong? Who gets to decide that do? Do you get decide which presidential candidate we get to see? That feels pretty extreme to me pretty extreme, now, lonely declare I do not endorse all of our of gay juniors. Let's say assertions about.

medical stuff? I don't know that I know them all or that I know them with the right new wants the way he explained them in the current year. I don't know that, but so I haven't seen anything that he's explained lately that I disagree with, but I'm sure there's stuff their son. As I agree with him, I'm just saying that why the world can't you see it s insane. And this also goes under the umbrella of outrage, fatigue this, where the only thing this going on this- that's not right with the world. We'd probably get more excited about it but there's so much in the news. This like this,

I don't even like aims. Do you wanna make a pot guest spotify has got a platform that lets you make one super easily then distribute it anywhere and even money all in one place for freight in sculled spotify for pod gasters and here's how it works. Spotify for public asters, less you record in edit outcasts, right from your phone or computer. So no matter what your set up is like you can start creating today, then you can distributor pod cast a spot of high and everywhere else. I guess her. Video pod gas are also available on spotify, and what are you gonna take conversations with the offence to the next level you and I, and holes in the best way to get them. Dokken with spotify republic s, whose you can earn money in a variety of ways, including as an outcast subscriptions and best of all, is totally free with no catch ever since I discovered bottles,

spun. Five robot guessers, I feel like I've got more options and everything has been operating smoothly. I recommended goodbye all caps and getting rid of the ice caps and it doesn't matter what you say: you're what use, even if you just talking if it's all caps is itself, is distracting to the the host, sir I'll just delete everybody uses and no matter what the purposes of game

I knew silver was saying now. If you don't know nate silver, he would be one of our nation's most credible statistical polling. You know kind of people and he gets a lot of hate from the right. But I've been following for a long time and I believe his opinions are about as close to objective as you can get he's he's got some bias sneaks in, but he's really close to objective. you're better than most. So I always recommend him as a good follow. He has good comments to him on twitter, but he said that he said this. He said there's this notion that Kennedy's doing kind of well in the polls- and he just isn't.

Now here's polling shows Kennedy lower than that twenty percent shows him at like nine percent and his bowling is done well compared to other polling in the past, so maybe maybe he's right on it and you may have seen Jen jessica tarloff on at the five on fox news. She often says she has never met a Democrat who supports our. In junior is just a it's just a republican thing, she says: she's never met one in the wild like an actual human who's. A Democrat who supports it now I say that is not predictive seems like it wouldn't be right. It seems like it would be the single most predictive thing you could ever have, but I don't think

I predicted, because as rfk junior points out, whoever ends up being the the nominee is going to get the democrat vote, because the Democrats sure, as Hell, aren't going to vote for the republican they're going to take what they can get with a with a d next to it. Anything yeah, so he just has to be the nominee. But of course it is way way behind by for that, So it really comes down to other binds really gonna be running. Do you believe is really gonna run now you may have seen that tackling cross and dropped another video and east.

Is that a new some is being groomed to be the last been a replacement for by? This is something you heard me say for a while now, but what would make much more sense for the timing, thou six to ninety six to nine months before the democratic convention. So, in my opinion, some too sometimes towards the end of the year. maybe three february will be the time that Biden will have a sudden turn of health. I gotta say well. I really did plan to run. I really did, but it just you won't work. My health is failing that'll be too late for anybody else to give serious, but but

Newsome will already have been out there talking about dissenters, etc. So agencies, like the obvious one who is not our escape junior, so this may be the way to keep our escape junior out of the thing is to stick newsome in towards it up now. That seems very, very likely to me, but if it's newsome verses, R k junior doesn't get a debate,

Our only the interesting our way doesn't get a debate, because Biden can say no to a debate in the world can say our eye. We don't like it, but it is at least it there's some precedent. Trade. There is presently even even trumpets, considering not debating, because we think she hasn't locked up Y know it, but if you're, if you're the last minute replacement candidate and are of gay junior, spend their campaigning hard for over a year, how do you not debate I mean not debating, would be pretty devastating if you're.

and as the you know, the competitor, that's not even putting in the same work as the guy. That's been there. So what happens? If you put rfk junior in a debate with newsom here's, what I think happens, I think rfk junior would solve all of his reputation problems in one night, because newsom would say you think all vaccinations are bad and rfk junior would say something like I've never said that I've never said anything like that. You're just making that up and the news and the news is on your side, you're, all just making up an opinion for me. Here's my opinion, they're under tested. Anybody want to have an argument with the under tested, not tested. To my satisfaction, I don't think they tested to your satisfaction. Here's why that will really just change everything, because he

they easily sell under tested or or you could easily easily. So I would like to introduce standards for a more rigorous testing has, even if you think the testing was good, who's, gonna, objective, more rigorous standards. Just think farmer right, that's it, but if you're, if you're, just a reasonable democratic, listening your news and make a claim you, are of K. Junior call a man is a liar nope, that's not my opinion, and why do you in the news keep saying so my opinion is the need to be tested better and that there is a lot of correlation stuff, the scary enough. We need to look into it, but I don't know I mean it looks like you could be causation, but I can say that for sure I'm saying it's scary and you should not ignore it.

It was a wins I think give, and there is also a contrast problem. This really bad what is new sums biggest advantage as a politician policies that name recognition and he's tall good, looking guy with good hair, was our F K. Junior have all of that, but better. All of that. All that, but better is he's a slightly better verse.

Newsome as the poor man's are engaged, you are asking junior, says things that sound me genuine when he talks. Who knows I'm not I'm not a minor right. So if there's any politician lied to me by doing a good job of it, I wouldn't know. I only know what they say, but when our of gay junior talks he sounds like you're telling me the truth, as he understands it doesn't mean, is right about everything. Just sounds like he's telling me the truth and means when, when newsome talks he sounds like he's lying all the time he always sounds like he's lying even one he's? Not even one he's, not you just, that slimy politician the two big of a smile thing, ladies and gentlemen,. This question. For the ladys, only if you

in a relationship which which of those two men would you rather go to bed with newsome or of gay junior you're, not a relationship. Imagine your single, the other. You have a shot which one is like solid are of gay junior solid. Now you don't think that matters. You don't think it matters that the ladys would choose or of gay junior as a sex partner over newsome. You don't think adders does yeah alright, not now here's one for the men you get invited to have a beer. You know alcohol is poison, but let's just go with us.

You can have a beer and see that, with our f k, junior order was governor newsome. When he got back it's not even close, one of them would be fascinating and the other one would be newsome mri. One of them would be fast, it is like you would. You would just like hang on every story and everything and the other would be just some foolish greasy guy. That's got good hair and he's tall and he's got a tan there's just nothing there. It's just an empty suit, so the match the match up between rfk, junior and newsome is some

it's devastating for newsom and then rf kitchen has the other advantage of not having governed, which is weird that that's an advantage, but he doesn't have a bad track record as a governor newsom's going to have to explain why you can't walk down the streets of san francisco and why the borders opened and all that stuff. So I I think that the match up is Really favorable to one so it really comes down to. I would disagree with nate silver on this he's. I think he again, I can't read his mind, but in context it looks like he's looking at the polling as the major indicator of what's going to happen, and it usually is yeah. I would agree that in most cases the polling is your best best way to determine what's going to happen, but in this one weird case because Biden's health is such really the key variable in all of it, the polling doesn't pick up his health, so

that sort of a blood spot anything but was a right but light fired. It woke marketing department, so the first woman who was hired to market for a major beer and is now the first one also fired. So Would you consider this a sign of peak weakness and the walk the walk? This is reaching its highest level and now there's gonna be pushed back, I think so dear to me, it looks like a signal of the end about the fact that Larry think ceo of black rock and the biggest pusher of yes, she has said that he doesn't like to use yes she now, because it's embarrassing because descends has made it a dirty word.

It wasn't just a tent dissenters, you didn't do it alone. Dissenters would have never even said it, except that his base solidly on the same point on the same side. So now you ve got the biggest pusher vs J saying utterly like to use the word it so demonize. Now you ve got bud life firing its weakest marketer, and this morning I see a tweet that controversial republican stephen Miller is what is involved in ITALY. I guess he's promoting this nonprofit american first legal is a hotline for american workers. families victimized by illegal racist equity policies. So there's there is now a line you can call if you're, white or asian or mail. I suppose

and it looks like you been discriminated at work for being white or asian or male, and now you can get some legal representation. What do you think. Of all for it, yet I could have used that at least twice in my career that existed, I would have had a number to call and I would have done legal representation and still be working to the big some blood I didn't have the legal representation is I'd still reworking of the big bang. So now, do you see a pattern developing it? So now you ve got a number to call if you ve been discriminated against for equity and added,

I like the fact that you can just do a tweet on this. You can just say that loud, hey, there's a lotta people being racist against white people. So now we got a phone number that way people can call an asian americans- and I guess, males and straight people, I guess to say that you've been discriminated against. You see the pattern, yet what woke is definitely broke. There'll be lots of more woe. So I'm not I'm not saying you're, not saying that you're seeing the end of it or anything, it's going to be whack a mole forever, but in terms of the peak is now discredited. I'm going to I'm going to call it. I'm gonna call the top calling the top woke is discredited and is now actually.

Harrassing to be on our side. It'll take a while for everybody, the message but has actually embarrassing about bow. That was good news. I did it, a poll asking who's that who's, the bigger racist me or larry fink, ceo of blackrock and Larry, think won hands down e, u bb, and then I tweeted that I think he might be the biggest racist in the country. Now, how would you measure who's the biggest racist? Now some people said, but what about David duke and what about the ku klux klan- and I say maybe internally you know- maybe in their minds, they're bigger racist in the sense that they have the more more racist.

weeks, but they don't have much effect. Do they not much effect? So if you look at people who are racist and have an effect, I don't think I don't think you could possibly be Larry. Fink is the main pusher of e s. G e bay, equity, equity being racist. What would you argue I didn't know somebody said joy, ann reid, but do you think she has as much impact on the real? world because I think people watch the news is just entertainment. I dunno that they watched, so he was at risk for people to be racist all over the place, so he was leveraging his power to make the entire industrial base racist. I've never seen a bigger example of racism than that. Well, in the current times, obviously, Hitler had a monopoly,

and things, but then somebody said randi Weingarten would be a bigger racist because she is the biggest protector of institutional or systemic racism, but so it's a little hard to measure. You know the various racism against each other by thing is down to that. I think Larry Larry think we're ready. Weingarten we'd be the biggest racists. You could argue Biden, maybe maybe some people said obama, but I'm not going to count anybody who's, not currently influential and he's not really in a sense alright. So what do you think of the fact that I can casually retweet that Larry fink is the biggest racist in the country and people? Just people simply think about it, whether that's true, that's all they did the I dunno see the biggest. Alright. I see your argument. Yeah yeah, I dunno. If he's the biggest cause, you know randi Weingarten, but yeah you will be in the top three for sure it was just one

It's about the fact that I can just say that casually use the biggest racist in the country and you all just go yeah yeah that sounds about right is peak wellness. Do you? Do you think there'll be any pushback tomorrow, like there'll, be a big viral video about how I called Larry fink a racist? No, no, because it's not shocking, it's not even interesting. It's just a fact, and everybody can see it now. harvard is introducing in a teacher, so students will have Some kind of a science teacher tat bought for at least one course, the sea s fifty course

and also experimental, of course, we'll see how it goes. But isn't there an obvious question here? May I ask the most obvious question: why would you pay to go to harvard if you're going to be talking to a robot? Is it like the special every train robot. Do you get too? Are you get a network with a robot later? well, I didn't really people, but I guess it's great friend is a robot who is teaching me. Science. Is it the harvard eliminating itself. If I were armed Lastly, I do is introduce a robot the robot has not, you know, none of the qualities that harvard does can be easily reproduced down to the community. You know community college level,

It just takes all of the value in harvard, but I guess they don't have any choice. If they don't do it somebody's going to do it to him, so they yeah. Maybe they can build some kind of a hybrid situation that makes them look like they have some value But interesting that they would go first eyes, others of course, more rumours and whistle blowing and speculation that, by the investigation into hundred biden, was blocked So now there's a whistle blower their says that they were told to not pursue leads. There would go certainly go directly to the question of whether Joe Biden accept today, bribes, ordinary bad stuff and there were told not to and then there's a story that weiss the prosecutor

I tried to get some prosecutions going in Washington DC and also in l a but in both locations they rebuffed him and they said, go away. We're not doing that, but merrick garland, the boss of this whole situation, has told congress that there was no no obstacles. Nobody blocked the Well, they had free reign to do what they wanted. I don't know if those are necessarily opposites, because garland is not in charge of. You know the two other states this and now, but collectively collectively the picture is becoming very clear. It looks like there is no question whatsoever that hunter Biden was selling access to his father, taking huge amounts of money and finding waste.

Not paid taxes on it. It looks like it's all true, it's like it's exactly what you thought it was timestamped is, and I think we all know it now, but we, but we we got totally cat on the roofed. You know what I mean we got so cat on the roofed. so the cat on the roof is like. Oh, your cat's on the roof trying to get her down. Oh the the cap fell off the roof. You know it's a little bit injured, but we took it to the vet and we think it'll be fine. Oh the cat died. So so the hunter thing get started with the laptop, probably and then we're all

his stories and time goes by and story stories it time and time and stories until you get to this, and you realize that every worst assumption you had was true. They were all true that the Biden's have been a criminal organization for decades. They've had a criminal organization for decades and he's still president nobody's talking about impeachment were about. I guess we talk about it, but it's not serious and and we're just we're just going on like this as a normal deck as just a wednesday that we, Now the president is actually crimes and to get kind of a guy, which also makes sense why the Democrats try so hard to paint trump as what the bindings are. As we ve learned tuckered out. This is the.

as always accuse you of whatever their doing, and if you look at all the accusations against trump, they do seem to mirror all the things that trump is not doing or did some small way and Biden is doing a lot. well. That's for sure, alright, how many of you? Let's talk about the increase in the trans community, so as a vague tweet this percent of americans adults under thirty identify as trans five years ago, it was point six percent- said- is huge percentage increase in number people identifying is trans under thirty. now, his conclusion is somewhat obviously a mental illness driven phenomena. How many of you would agree with the assessment that the increase in trans

is a primarily a mental health contagion, and we would accept that as the most likely explanation. So that was a that was my opinion as well, and I would point out quite confident, in my opinion I have to. I have to say quite confident in my opinion, That there was no other reasonable explanation other than it was just getting in people's minds, and they were talking themselves into it because so much in the press about it. How

However, how do you rule out the following two hypotheses, because I'm going to I'm going to fuck you up a little bit here and that's why you watch? I know I want to take something that you're pretty sure about and leave you with some doubt alright. So I think it was a was a jordan peterson somebody, somebody smart said the following thing: there's so much more trends happening in california than there is no heil? How do you explain that? Is it because last, how do you explain that other than did sir? It's a mental phenomena? Does you know that the mentality in in California is different than the mentality in ohio? right so isn't it obvious that if California has lots of trains,

I owe doesn't have, as many is kind of obvious, that california is more or less a mentally promoting of it, so that that would that would support the idea. That is a mental contagion would you agree that the high rate in california, relative to ohio, supports the ip address us. There's a mental contagion great there. Our two hypotheses that I don't think you can rule out number one is that it's just safer to come out and california or that if you suspected, you might later come out you my move to California instead of a little what's wrong with that policies? What would that explained? The difference between california in higher in california you're completely safe to come out.

I, oh, maybe not so much, maybe not so much so so. Are you so sure it's a mental contagion when it just coincidentally, coincidentally, just this- is a total coincidence right that the one places the safest? world to come out in any way you want to come out of california and that we have the most people coming out just a coincidence. I doubt it. I doubt it about the the idea that there might be something in our environment. This changing our sexuality, gay frogs theory. Do you think there is anything in our environment that changing our sexuality even to the point of sexual identification? Do you think well,

Have you heard that the the levels and then have gone down for like forty years in a row. What happens when, when you're no longer a mail me? What makes you feel mail is testosterone, I think. Doesn't it? there's one thing about: well, you look at how you're born you. Maybe your natural biological instincts, but on top of that, if you're, just ass rooms. I you're gonna, look and act and feel kind of male he's, gonna watch yourself, picking fights and you're doing dangerous shit and, like all the male stuff,

But if your testosterone was low, for let's say environmental reasons, something in the water, for example, wouldn't you feel less male and move, and might you reasonably be expected say I dunno, I'm not even sure, I'm totally male? I don't feel it. I don't I'm not doing what the other males are doing. You know they seem to be throwing shop, puts and climbing walls and stuff. I'm not doing that. I like to knit so maybe maybe I'm a woman, So there are three hypotheses and I think that they're all strong in their own way so. When I see a group of four friends and all four of them are questioning their sexuality and there are thirteen years old, which is the real thing somebody I know has situation dead? You really think that the for them,

like the four friends just coincidentally they're all non binary and maybe trans really, because that seems doesn't that seem completely psychological to me. It does but here's here's a nuance, I'm going to throw in there. I think the you could easily think without the mental health would cause somebody to be maybe a little non binary or not so sure of they're or not. I could see mental contagion doing that fairly easily, that that would be actually normal, not surprising in all his you ve been definitely chain People's was a non solid sexual preferences with persuasion. If you could turn somebody who maybe had a little inclination to be buy into somebody who lived the life of a gay man that that would be completely normal, you could do that.

I don't think anybody who is able to just would disagree with what I just said. Ways leading in the direction you the push him a little further, very normal, so you can do that with a mental contagion. I dont know that you can make somebody fully trans with mental contagion alone. Now, when I say anybody, well, probably somebody right, I just don't think it would be the. I think that this is just speculation, because I'm not trans, so I want to be. I would like to have appropriate, respectful humility. I don't know what it's like to be trans. So let's less all agree that I can't know what it's like But my speculation is just living in the real world and being a person who tries to pay attention that, probably if you're super trans like you are

born that way, and it's like a real thing: you're dysmorphia, that you know the experts will say: okay, this is the real thing. This has nothing to do with mental persuasion. This person is trans. Do you think they are I it seems- is used to me than those cases. Persuasion is probably not the key variable so I'm leaning toward a theory that has three different things. I think the environment is one of the variables I think whatever is dropping. Testosterone is clearly messing with sexual chemistry. If you know that the environment is messing with your sexual chemistry, at least for sperm, you don't think it would affect the others that that there would be something that only affects sperm, maybe maybe can't rule it out, but it seems to be the something

it's taking. Your sperm down is probably fuck. You up pretty good, like in a variety of ways that just are not obvious and one of them. The most obvious would be your near sexual identity. I would think that that would be assaulted by any change in your sexual chemistry. So I'm going to say all three things are probably in play? I think there's a social contagion that affects some. I think theirs is safer to come out in california, so you should expect more people to come out in california than wyoming. I wouldn't expect that, and you know some of the It's the environmental, I think it's probably in in the war water or there are food or something alright. So just like to leave you with a little bit of humility and doubt that you why anybody is coming out of trans or non binary everything you really doubt we just we just don't know.

But certainly all of those things are worth it. You know a close look and I don't think vivek is wrong. He may be overstating a little bit, but not wrong. There's a social contagion element to it for sure. Alright, I was rewatching a potent recent speech the other day about the alleged insurrection or whatever was, and he looked like a deep fake, thereby else have that experience. there is. Is video is speech? He looked. It looked like a deep fake now, I don't think he was. The difference between how we looked in his real world, because he was pale and concern and very tense and he wasn't acting like the relaxed happy burden that you can sometimes see.

and when he took what he takes away, he was happy layer and he's got his tense, serious layer, the difference between his tense serious. You know, presentation and a deep fake. It's just almost nothing Now, if he had been say, jocular and joking around a good, laugh and la shaken, hands and stuff That would be really are deep, fake simply because it is more more action. You'd see more things to go wrong, but what is just standing there? Looking at you up up up up up up up up up up, I looked at it again and I said if there had been a defect I wouldn't know again, and I think it was but is

and I don't think you could tell- I think we're already at the point where that could have been fake and you wouldn't know it and we're we're only five percent away from there at most. So that means that maybe the government can already do it the sight of our perversion. Do you know that the reporting is is plain took off from russia? landed belarus and look. then go ahead of belarus and saying oh yeah, yup easier. We got them yup, yup, yup used to only here. Have you seen a picture of him? You see that picture of him getting off the plane. confirming user does. You know? Lukashenko wants to confirm user because We'd, like you to know that he is an important deal maker and that he is the one who negotiated it and it worked out and here's here's here's my success area's boom. I told you, I told you

I would solve this problem, I'm the one who solved what could barely a mutiny against food I I'm the one that worked. That out here is areas yours, my buddy where's that picture kind of missing. Isn't it kind of kind of the most obvious picture you would expect he's there. Lucas janko knows where he is. You don't think in their friends, their friends they've been friends for years. You don't think he caught up with him when he landed and said: hey how you doing you know here's the deal and here's where you can stay. Here's what you can do yeah, but no pictures of his good friend, who is probably hanging out with them right now, couldn't just take out his phone snap, a little selfie for us, so we be sure, he's there

Alright, here's my fun speculation. First of all, he might be there right. So if, if tomorrow you see the picture, don't don't act like I'm surprised. I wouldn't be too surprised if he's there, but I think a slightly slightly bigger chance is the following: he's already in custody. That's what I think I think Putin already hasn't and he's probably he's. Probably russian. I think you'll never see a picture of him because if Putin just kill them in some way that everybody knew that putin kill them, you would have to deal with the wagner group itself, as the wagner group So probably has some very loyal people in there and their dangerous people as it is. I saw a cash patel saying that Putin wins has he gets his whole new army.

to put it into use anyway, you want, but I did we say that comment because he already had that Putin could make the wagner force do anything you wanted. It was under his control. They just pretend they were independent, but not really not even a little

so I don't understand the argument that Putin suddenly got a bunch of new soldiers. There were already his soldiers. You can make them do anything you wanted. So I don't get that so, but I do think that the wagon group might be dangerous to Putin and the very best thing he could do is say you know what your dog didn't die. No, no. Your dog didn't die though he went to live in a farm where there are beautiful fields and other happy dogs yeah. That's where he is yeah. You live forever on the farm. So my guess is that Putin had the airplane. He had his private airplane fly so that everybody would assume he was on the private airplane. There would never be any pictures. You would never know if he made it to belarus, maybe someday you'd find out he didn't, but at the moment it's the way to calm everything down, make it look like he's in control, but probably is in russia and having a bad day. That's my guess. I dunno about dead because they might be interrogating him to find out who's working with him. Now, there's also indication- and I believe he heard it from me first- that he would never have tried to march on Moscow with his. You know tiny force that

no chance of really taking over the city unless he assumed that he had high ranking people, we're gonna flip and the reporting today is. He had high level people he expected to flip and there were people who knew about it for a long time, including a senior russian general, a seraphic, and so he, Allegedly had advanced knowledge, but if he had advanced knowledge, did he tell everybody? Did you tell potent with his advanced knowledge? Because there is some indication he might be in trouble. So it's not clear that patents

happy with that guy, so it might be that he's the one they expected to flip and then he didn't flip. I remember I told you that if I were the cia and I were trying to help ukraine, I would try to make a perversion and putin mad at each other so that they would do exactly what they did. And so that's what it looks to me. It looks like the Genes agencies got more joined up to fight each other, but then I further said that if I were the cia, I would tell me,

erosion that he had allies that were going to flip, but don't contact them because you'll get caught. If you contact them, the the communication will be intercepted but trust us we've talked to him they're going to flip, and then he marches and finds out. That was all live, there's nobody flippant and then he's got to run back. So that's what it looked like to me. It looks like they expected. Flipping did not get any flipping and then the secondary question would be. Is it because somebody told them there would be flipping, but they lied or did the flippers actually plan to flip and change their minds? Dunno. but also it is likely that the families of the wagon group were threatened and the sailor isn't he turned back. I saw you tube duck.

The tree on the wagner, the group's history and purpose: do you know what the history of the wagner group is? It was way more interesting than I thought so apparently has started with russia taking over crimea and they wanted some force there that they can say was a local force, but really wasn't so that that's where wagner was they were basically military people are pretending not to be run by russia eventually formed into a group and they've done they've done a bunch of criminals, syndication things. So basically, as you know, some people say russia is like the mafia. and the wagner group was the the hitman. You know the people would go out and make the money they were the earners, so the way they would earn is the wagner group would go to, let's say syria and say the isis and the bad guys are going to take over your oil wells

but will protect your oil wells or even get them back from isis. If we, if we can keep twenty five percent of the revenues of the oil off forever and by we is russia and then then serious as well. We've got no choice because we can't get them back ourselves and nobody else has openness, so they hire now. You've got this russian military. That's starting to get important. It's like got a place in syria, so there is a little bit afraid of russia cause. I got a military, that's working with them, but will they always work with them, but the most clever play was in an african country. I can't remember one of the african countries, you never talk about, I forget, but they have some natural resources and so the wagner people go in, they say,

hey. You ve got lots of enemies and you you ve, got a little revolution. Brewing, weaken, protect you from your enemies. I wasn't chad. We can protect you from your enemies. so you'll be safe and all we want is a little cut of your diamond mines or you're. Here your mining operations so they basically cell security, the way the mafia, those. but now let's say you're an african leader and you, you ve, accepted help from wagner group, and the wagon group is by far the strongest military in your country stronger than your own military cause. You don't have much

sure and then you started working with them and they inserted into the government. How long does it take before wagner basically owns the country not long, so Russia has, as as business model where they can go into a struggling country that has resources. They can pretend to be the saviors of the leaders, but really they're, just controlling the leaders and taking twenty five percent of their money home forever. So it's basically a robbery, extortion, kind of situation. If you blackmail whatever you wanna call it, but but as always, it's always presented as helping the leader, but once they get in there they're the powerful force, so the leader doesn't have good choices. They take the least bad one, alright case, you didn't know that it's a very deliberate criminal enterprise- and I saw this at-

interesting, tweet from the prince of fakes or the prince of deep fakes, and some of you know him, I'm not going to say more than that and he was tweeting about a story that said now. This is an allegation which I believe is ridiculous. So I don't believe this allegation. I know you do so. You don't have to tell me that I'm being gullible and stupid and scott scott scott why don't you believe this is obviously true and the rumor is that bill gates, let out some mosquitos to create malaria that had already largely been handled, and

is causing the malaria outbreak, because he, coincidentally, is investing in some company that as a treatment for malaria now I do not believe there's any chance whatsoever that bill gates intentionally released mosquitoes to intentionally create malaria so that he can make money with his company. That did something for malaria. Now I know you do. I know you do. I know some of you do and I'm not going to talk about that today. Was going to talk about the comment made by prince deepest fakes, and he said this, I'm not sure how people who believe things like this. You know the bill gates. Malaria thing, I'm not sure. Oh people believe things like this aren't out there taking vigilante justice answer, though, enhance the lack of assassins,

Regions in the world makes me believe everyone is just lurking, in other words, just pretending to be in character there. A conspiracy theories regarding the if this were true It would be an evil beyond anything, meaning that if they, if case, had actually allowed mosquitoes out to cream Larry, It would be well beyond anything. What does about a believer that the most they do in responses tweet exactly what so reality and fantasy have merged. So when we get down social media were playing it like using game, but affectional being so, I say anything to anybody. You know I I I could maybe trade a tweet with the the richest man in the world. I mean it doesn't seem real. Does it

doesn't seem real. So when you're on social media, I believe that people adopt personas and then they play the character and that, if the, if the character would say oh bill gates, is releasing malaria mosquitoes. If that's what the character would say, then they say that, but it's not like, they actually believe it like in the way that you believe things in your. You know your actual physical, so called reality, and at this point is fair. If you actually believed, if you really believed the bill gates had just released viruses to create malaria, you should take your second amendment rights and go do something about it.

should kill heller but number one, I'm sure he never did that, I'm sure of it. If I'm wrong, if I'm wrong I'll tell you I'm wrong, but my confidence is pre. I that you did not do that and and the reason they didn't do, that has followed the money. Follow the money is very predictable and if you believe that bill gates would think it was a good risk reward to release malaria

in some way. That could be determined that you did it just to make money either on a new, smaller company. That would add what one billion to his two hundred billion. So you think he's really going to he's going to take a chance of being in jail forever to make one more billion. Do you really believe that, because that's not how money works, if you're, if you're going to follow the money, you'd say he wouldn't do it follow the money says he doesn't do it because it wouldn't make sense as an investment. It wouldn't make sense as an investment. So he's not going to do something, that's going to put him in jail where he can make money, He is going to at the very least stay out of jail, so he's not going to do that. So if you believe he is, I believe that you don't really believe it. I believe

so you believe it like a character. You don't believe it like an actual human being who lives in the world. What do you think I'll just put that out there? You can rest whether it s you as you like the usa stories for today. That concludes my prepared remarks. Worry but, above all others, malaria, vaccination. Here, probably, can you explain sam bagman free

decision making? Well one sam bagman freed got away with some stuff. I believe he came. He became blind to what he can get away with. So I think the same brakeman freed story is handed a slippery slope thing where they, they sort of slid into some sketchy things and they couldn't back out, and so it is done more sketchy. Things may be talking themselves into. It, wasn't so sketchy f well, so I think there was sort of a mental thing that happened there, but you could very easily imagine that they were following the money. I think that was the nature of your question. He was following the money because everything you did brought in more money, but to your point he was not good at risk reward ratio was a young guy and apparently a terrible business person. Bill gates is a very experienced. Businessperson already has his bill.

it's already as his reputation such that it is, he doesn't need that so for him he would look at the risk reward as he does for everything and he would really say. Okay. This is not a good risk reward. It's not a good investment. Sam bagman fried clearly was not good at risk assessment. Would you agree he wasn't good at so you can try to be pursuing your best financial interest, but if you're not good at it, you still might make a mistake. Okay, oh the Epstein, yeah, there's more Epstein stuff, but I'm just bored, but

it is a planted stooge. What do you touch you can block reports is is above the law. Do you have a mosquito problem? Just look at your comments. If anything I missed and fried has been freed, I think we're good for today so Youtube thanks for joining, and I love you to my hack I'll talk to you tomorrow.